SCOTTSVILLE - Sunday, 17 February 2013

hibernia Wrote:

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> pen 27 so will be softish
>
> 43 out of 112 favourites have won in KZN this year
> 38.4 % the highest return in SA
>
> Same period
>
> UK = 35%
> HK = 17.5%
> SING = 30.1%
> USA = 27.1 %
> ZIM = 31.8 %

Based on the above statistic, i will take a chance as follows :-

Izora X Alareef X Ivanka X Chosen Goddess

Izora X Alareef X Intense Intrigue X Chosen Goddess

Dutch Ivanka & Intense Intrigue, this would increase the odds, and hope the other 3 arrive:D

Englander Wrote:

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> Izora a NR in the first Dashing, 75% deduction
> (td)


thats total bullshit(td) strange how can they deduct 75% does anybody know why they deducting so much

Actually a 80% deduction on Izora.

Deduction table as follows:


ODDS OF WITHDRAWN HORSE DEDUCTION
25/1 & Above 0%
13/1 - 20/1 5%
9/1 - 12/1 10%
6/1 - 8/1 15%
4/1 - 11/2 20%
3/1 - 7/2 25%
22/10 - 28/10 30%
16/10 - 2/1 35%
13/10 - 15/10 40%
11/10 - 12/10 45%
1/1 50%
8/10 - 9/10 55%
6/10 - 7/10 60%
5/10 65%
4/10 70%
1/3 & Shorter 80%

dashing Wrote:

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> Englander Wrote:
>

---

>

---

> > Izora a NR in the first Dashing, 75% deduction
> > (td)
>
>
> thats total bullshit(td) strange how can they
> deduct 75% does anybody know why they deducting so
> much

Don't think yourself too harshly treated Dashing, I backed it and 20s and 32s on Betfair and their adjusted price has left me with odds of 2s and 7/2... work that farking out???!!! :S :X

bayern Wrote:

---

> hibernia Wrote:
>

---

>

---

> > pen 27 so will be softish
> >
> > 43 out of 112 favourites have won in KZN this
> year
> > 38.4 % the highest return in SA
> >
> > Same period
> >
> > UK = 35%
> > HK = 17.5%
> > SING = 30.1%
> > USA = 27.1 %
> > ZIM = 31.8 %
>
> Based on the above statistic, i will take a chance
> as follows :-
>
> Izora X Alareef X Ivanka X Chosen Goddess
>
> Izora X Alareef X Intense Intrigue X Chosen
> Goddess
>
> Dutch Ivanka & Intense Intrigue, this would
> increase the odds, and hope the other 3 arrive:D

.........except for 1 difference.the course will still be on the soft side.

Intense Intrigue formline doesn't look that strong
Ivanka back to normal distance should give them a hiding (Jock on USO didn't seem that confident tho ?)

Chosen Goddes & Orange Blossom exacta

R4 - Black Platinum place bet

R6 - Include Billy boy blues & Nothing Compares

R9 - I'm including King Alfred, Highland fling, Dancing Man in my q/t

hibernia Wrote:

---

> pen 27 so will be softish
>
> 43 out of 112 favourites have won in KZN this year
> 38.4 % the highest return in SA
>
> Same period
>
> UK = 35%
> HK = 17.5%
> SING = 30.1%
> USA = 27.1 %
> ZIM = 31.8 %


Wow, i would never of thought so....:

R1 Had (the now very aggravating) Lake Kerriston down as an idiot bet so with all the support I'll stick with it. Not a race to put Ziets' house or car on The Cormack pairing of Tara Dawn (was reported not striding out on debut) and Pole Dance (with 4kgs off) both have chances. With Cormack up I have preference for TD. The only other candidate for me is Rad Rock. Will be boxing those 4 in a small quartet and doing a smaller 13 x 15 x 1 x 4 straight

I like Rad Rock in that race

my quartet
1,4,15,13

Hi

I like Pole Dance (4) in the first to Place.

Happy Punting.