Scotsville 17/07/2013

I never saw Red Rosette...

Pirhobeta Wrote:

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> Happy for the appy....first win.....X(

Pleased for him, had become a lad to avoid but liked the horse today... so pleased for me too -D

Englander Wrote:

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> Pirhobeta Wrote:
>

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>

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> > Happy for the appy....first win.....X(
>
> Pleased for him, had become a lad to avoid but
> liked the horse today... so pleased for me too
> -D

good stuff...saw the money come for it....-D

Blouperd Wrote:

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> scottsville-
> race 2 nr 7 win 3rd
> race 3 nr 12 win 2nd
> race 4 nr 4 win 2nd
> race 5 nr 11 place 4th
> race 7 nr 8 place ,still running


very unlucky today(td)

Zietsman Oosthuizen Wrote:

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> Scottsville
> CATALINA BLUES 14/1 1.71w/p
> (4places)
> MISTINGUETT 1/1win 3rd
> CINEMA SCOPE 7/10win 2nd
> DUCHESS OF YORK 62/10 .81 w/p
> (4places)
> MODERN SPOT 1.62 places
> WUNDABAR 5/1 1/1 w/p
> BLUROUTE 3/1 .42 w/p
> BEAUTIFUL JET 4/1 5/10 w/p (4places)
>
> Multiple (7 Legs)
> MISTINGUETT 1/1 Fixed Win
> CINEMA SCOPE 7/10 Fixed Win
> DUCHESS OF YORK 0.81 Fixed Place
> MODERN SPOT 1.62 Fixed Place
> WUNDABAR 1.11 Fixed Place
> BLUROUTE 3/1 Fixed Win
> BEAUTIFUL JET 0.52 Fixed Place
> Stake:
> Final Price: 209.20
>
> Place Accumulator
> Leg 1 : Race 3 b]12[/b
> Leg 2 : Race 4 [3, 4, 6]
> Leg 3 : Race 5 [1, 2, 5, 11]
> Leg 4 : Race 6 [3, 4, 8, 9, 10]
> Leg 5 : Race 7 [1, 10]
> Leg 6 : Race 8 [1, 7]
> Leg 7 : Race 9 [2, 7, 11]
> Combinations: 720
> Times bet taken: .5
> Stake: 360

R2411 Well done (tu)-D

Englander Wrote:

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> Thanks guys... when I looked last night I thought
> the favs in the 1st and 3rd must be certainties
> cos I could see no reason for the prices!! lol
> glad I am not alone. I've done them in very small
> accumulators based only on the stupidity factor!
> lol Am highly suspicious of how the bookies
> arrived at these prices, Bettingworld were even
> going 1/2 on Arwa late last night... and its now
> 5/4??? :S something just doesn't "smell" right,
> win or lose
>
> Anyway, doing this patent as my main bet. After
> the maidens I thought outsiders were hard to find,
> possibly Paxmax in the last...
>
> R4 6 Cadillac Palace
> R5 12 Time Delay
> R6 10 Tycoon Touch
>
> Be(s)t of luck to all (tu)

Firstly, thanks to all who joined the discussion about the favs. Without blowing my own trumpet it goes to show what a little bit of discussion on here can achieve. Before the discussion started, if you looked at the market then the two horses concerned were highly unlikely to get beaten but, neither won and certainly the vibe from the clanners was, don't get involved at those prices. I hope it helped some. Of course, they both could have won but that isn't the point. Well done to all who thought we were being led a merry dance by the bookies pricing -D

Secondly, my patent... it just goes to show how strange this game can be. I actually was quite strong on all three of these, probably strongest on TT but that would have had something to do with value. All three ran very poorly. If you read my other posts you will see that I also mentioned that I liked the following...

R3 Caribbean Day (hence the OR (tu) post as we both mentioned this one in a PM about the price on the fav) WON
R7 Krackerjack Ace (mentioned to Shrek as the one I liked in that race when he suggested adding Wundabar) WON
R8 Bluroute (mentioned to Shrek as the one I would add to the above three for a yankee) WON
R9 Paxmax (I mentioned this one in my post as the only one I could see as possible value) WON

It is amazing to me that my three strongest run so badly and the ones I have little confidence in come home smokin' lol I don't think there is anything that can be read into it of course, but I do ask myself why is it that so often the ones we like strongly run so badly?

Englander Wrote:

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> Englander Wrote:
>

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>

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> > Thanks guys... when I looked last night I
> thought
> > the favs in the 1st and 3rd must be certainties
> > cos I could see no reason for the prices!! lol
> > glad I am not alone. I've done them in very
> small
> > accumulators based only on the stupidity
> factor!
> > lol Am highly suspicious of how the bookies
> > arrived at these prices, Bettingworld were even
> > going 1/2 on Arwa late last night... and its
> now
> > 5/4??? :S something just doesn't "smell" right,
> > win or lose
> >
> > Anyway, doing this patent as my main bet. After
> > the maidens I thought outsiders were hard to
> find,
> > possibly Paxmax in the last...
> >
> > R4 6 Cadillac Palace
> > R5 12 Time Delay
> > R6 10 Tycoon Touch
> >
> > Be(s)t of luck to all (tu)
>
> Firstly, thanks to all who joined the discussion
> about the favs. Without blowing my own trumpet it
> goes to show what a little bit of discussion on
> here can achieve. Before the discussion started,
> if you looked at the market then the two horses
> concerned were highly unlikely to get beaten but,
> neither won and certainly the vibe from the
> clanners was, don't get involved at those prices.
> I hope it helped some. Of course, they both could
> have won but that isn't the point. Well done to
> all who thought we were being led a merry dance by
> the bookies pricing -D
>
> Secondly, my patent... it just goes to show how
> strange this game can be. I actually was quite
> strong on all three of these, probably strongest
> on TT but that would have had something to do with
> value. All three ran very poorly. If you read my
> other posts you will see that I also mentioned
> that I liked the following...
>
> R3 Caribbean Day (hence the OR (tu) post as we
> both mentioned this one in a PM about the price on
> the fav) WON
> R7 Krackerjack Ace (mentioned to Shrek as the one
> I liked in that race when he suggested adding
> Wundabar) WON
> R8 Bluroute (mentioned to Shrek as the one I would
> add to the above three for a yankee) WON
> R9 Paxmax (I mentioned this one in my post as the
> only one I could see as possible value) WON
>
> It is amazing to me that my three strongest run so
> badly and the ones I have little confidence in
> come home smokin' lol I don't think there is
> anything that can be read into it of course, but I
> do ask myself why is it that so often the ones we
> like strongly run so badly?

Well done Englander:)-D

great calls E....(tu) you had me going through the posts with the OR reference....

Thanks guys but my point wasn't really do with my success, more to do with how we can like other horses so much more and they run so badly. Not complaining obviously and I guess it just happens that way sometimes but tis just a little strange to me. Hardly the first time its happened like that either :S

Pirho... lol... I hope you found it but, maybe just trust me next time

E it might have something to do with perception but wouldn't be able to explain.