23/03/2014 scottsville

Petite Master...a place with Paynes Bay

struggling to understand why illitshe is not favourite here

hibernia Wrote:

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> struggling to understand why illitshe is not
> favourite here


hope you got the lot bob

durb Wrote:

> Loopy your pa cost over R60 000!You play those
> kind of perms and if it is a fav day you lose a
> lot.

The ratings tells me when it's a favorite day pretty much Durb... if it's a favorite day then there are only 1 few in each race standing out with BIG points... I sometimes play a R48,00 JP/P6 but I let the ratings show me when there is a high probability for a small payout. And if you play the exact same value for all teh exotics (BiPOT/PA/JP/P6 you only need 1 to win at 4/1 then you still make a profit.

hibernia Wrote:

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> struggling to understand why illitshe is not
> favourite here


(tu) cracking stuff

durb Wrote:

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> Loopy Logic Wrote:
>

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>

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> > Loopy Logic Wrote:
> >
>

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>
> >

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> > > Follow De Kock, Kotzen, Van Zyl for most of
> teh
> > > results today
> > >
> > > I do like the 3 De Kocks Gharbee & the last 2
> > > races as a treble...
> > >
> > > Looks like a really nice day for racing and
> > > guaranteed Exotics to pay - P6 potentially a
> > C/o
> > > again today especially in teh middle races,
> > >
> > > BiPot above R2000, PA above R1000,00 JackPot
> > above
> > > R5000.00
> > >
> >
> > > BiPot
> > >
> > > 4,5,6,3,9
> > > 1,6
> > > 1,10,2 (12)
> > > 14,4,3,11,16,(12,9,1)
> > > 6,10,7,3,1,(8,13)
> > > 4,1,11,9,8,3,(13,10,12)
> > >
> > > THE BIPOT WON 16 x R9815,90 = R157,054.50
> > >
> > PA
> > >
> > >
> > > 1,6
> > > 1,(10,2)
> > > 14,4,3,11,16,(12,9,1)
> > > 6,10,7,3,1,(8,13)
> > > 4,1,11,9,8,3,(13,10,12)
> > > 2,8,6,11,14
> > > 9,8,2 (7)
> > >
> > >
> > > P6
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > > 1,10,2
> > > 14,4,3,11,16,(12,9,1,2,
> > > 6,10,7,3,1,8,13 (12,4,5,2,9)
> > > 4,1,11,9,8,3,13,10,12
> > > 2,8,6,11,14 (9)
> > > 9,8,2,7,12 (5,11,10)
> > >
> > >
> > > JP
> > >
> > > 14,4,3,11,16,(12,9,1,2,
> > > 6,10,7,3,1,8,13 (12,4,5,2,9)
> > > 4,1,11,9,8,3,13,10,12
> > > 2,8,6,11,14 (9)
> > >
> > > Have a great day ...
> >
> > The JPOT WON R9695.60 for R1575.00/R6480.00
> larger
> > Perm
> >
> > Waiting for PA & P6 to arrive still ...
>
>
> Loopy your pa cost over R60 000!You play those
> kind of perms and if it is a fav day you lose a
> lot.


So you lost R45 000 on your pa and nearly R100 000 on your pick six.Won R3000 on your jackpot and nearly R140 000 on your bi-pot.You do the maths.

hibernia Wrote:

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> struggling to understand why illitshe is not
> favourite here


nice one Bob(tu)

AD earned his riding fee there....

keniza999 Wrote:

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> hibernia Wrote:
>

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>

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> > struggling to understand why illitshe is not
> > favourite here
>
>
> nice one Bob(tu)
>
> AD earned his riding fee there....

(tu)

Maths 101 Durbs...

Put R1000 on each bet... on the LARGE perms... you do the maths...
BiPOT R1000 got me R7790,49
PA R1000 got me R444.05 back
JP R1000 got me R1496,23 back
P6 R1000 got me R534,43 back

So a PROFIT of R6265-20 on a initial outlay of R4000-00 I would take any day

Now do the 4 smaller perms (WITHOUT the brackets)
BiPOT lost R1000 (out 3rd leg otherwise would have won R10 000)
PA won R1326.22 for R1000
JP Won R6155,94 for R1000
P6 won R2814,48 for R1000

So a PROFIT of R6296,64 on an initial outlay of R4000-00 again I woudl take any day

I just roughly worked these out in my head so might not be spot on ... but you get the picture I hope?

Looks like its similar to flipping a coin in the last

IT'S simple GOLD ANGUS he either breathes OR He doesn't, shit in or nowhere.

Time will tell.

Loopy Logic Wrote:

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> Maths 101 Durbs...
>
> Put R1000 on each bet... on the LARGE perms... you
> do the maths...
> BiPOT R1000 got me R7790,49
> PA R1000 got me R444.05 back
> JP R1000 got me R1496,23 back
> P6 R1000 got me R534,43 back
>
> So a PROFIT of R6265-20 on a initial outlay of
> R4000-00 I would take any day
>
> Now do the 4 smaller perms (WITHOUT the brackets)
>
> BiPOT lost R1000 (out 3rd leg otherwise would have
> won R10 000)
> PA won R1326.22 for R1000
> JP Won R6155,94 for R1000
> P6 won R2814,48 for R1000
>
> So a PROFIT of R6296,64 on an initial outlay of
> R4000-00 again I woudl take any day
>
> I just roughly worked these out in my head so
> might not be spot on ... but you get the picture I
> hope?


I was looking at your big perms.Don't think you made much of a profit if any on those perms.But what i am saying is your perms cost too much and you just need one big dog that you did not have and you could of been nearly a quarter of a million rand down if you took the perms full.And if favs come in you would also show a huge loss.I definately don't play like you do and never will.

ElvisisKing Wrote:

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> Looks like its similar to flipping a coin in the
> last
>
> IT'S simple GOLD ANGUS he either breathes OR He
> doesn't, shit in or nowhere.
>
> Time will tell.

Got a MASSIVE quid going on him with the 2 Kotzens and Ilitshe in the previous so I hope he runs them ragged Elvis... I am covering on Housecarl, Intellect & Time for change because it makes business sense not because I believe Angus will lose...