Flamingo Park Monday

craig1974 Wrote:

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> Koenigsegg one for the day for me


Im with yoy craig is in my L16 eway for today...

appie zackey one ride for the day ???

R1 I was with Fit To Flight... I make Poor Man's Pride possibly the biggest danger and he was 4.5l behind the selection lto over c n d. One to consider if a big price is Daddy's Luck who has run better over this d than over further in recent outings. None of the newcomers have anything to suggest to me that they will be stars of the sand so I'll stick to those with the experience... POOR MAN'S PRIDE x DADDY'S LUCK

R2 Potentially tricky contest with a few possibles. Both Secret Delight and Brother Sublime were finishing well over 1200 last week but there has to be a question as to how strong that form will prove to be. Gunter also stays on Back To Bowler as opposed to BS, though there may be more to that than simply BackTB being the stable elect. Still, he seems more effective over this d and although he has a high draw to contend with, that was also the case in his previous two c n d runs when he was beaten 0.5l and 3l. If taking to the c then Cherie's Boy enters the equation but did not show much on the Vaal sand and a watching brief for me. Fort Dixy has been performing better since arriving at Bingo and had BackTB well back lto but whether the drop in trip will suit is questionable. Beyond The Burg makes his sand debut and there is something in the breeding to suggest he could take to the surface. His best turf run came over this d and from a good draw in 2 he could well be competitive if so doing but comes off a 15 week rest. Planisphere was reported not striding out lto and drawn 14/14 so that run may be best ignored. On his debut effort then he would appear to have strong claims here, SD and BackTB were both behind him that day but the 10 draw won't help his chances. I'll be interested in seeing the prices and BeyondTB may be worth a look if the price is right but otherwise I'll overlook the last run and go with... PLANISPHERE x BEYOND THE BURG x BACK TO BOWLER

R3 Take Two Turns performed well lto over c n d when drawn wide and returning from a 12 week rest. His circumstances are similar here but, he is seemingly not the most consistent and this time the rest is 37 weeks so he may need the run. He also finished behind Set The Scene that day and STS has both fitness and draw advantages. STS is another who is seemingly not the most consistent but a repeat of his penultimate run over c n d would give him a definite chance here. He holds Return To Basics on that run but that was the latter's first run at Bingo and though he pulled and faded badly lto over 1200 (and is well held on that run by others here), he might be worth a small e/w interest if the price is right. Heaven's Causeway has run two decent staying-on 4ths over 1000 and 1200 since relocating to Bingo and, assuming he stays, must have a decent chance on 3rd run after a 14 week rest. He is however held by Victoria's Veil who showed huge improvement lto over 1200 when returning from a 30 week rest and if repeating that run over 200 further must have a big shout here from the 1 box. Interestingly though Gunter jumps off and rides the stablemate's sand debutant Savannah Wood whose breeding suggests a good chance he will perform well on the sand. I am never quite sure on how Gunter's rides are decided but the fact he has changed here is perhaps a decent pointer and I'll take a chance on that... SAVANNAH WOOD x VICTORIA'S VEIL x HEAVEN'S CAUSEWAY

R4 A fair few of these simply don't look good enough and should not feature. Of those I give a chance, Dashing Queen was an impressive maiden winner on her sand debut lto and though that was a weak looking maiden and this is 200 shorter, she could easily go in again in this field. Arabian Princess ran well on her c debut lto over this d but has a wide draw to contend with. Dare To Be Grand has been in good form of late but the combination of a 400m drop in d and a wide draw in 12 is enough to create doubts. All The Tens was well behind AP lto but is better drawn here and should go closer. Reserved Lady is the one at hopefully a big price that may be worth a second look. Well beaten in her last two starts, if she could return to the form of her last three maiden runs she would have chances from the 1 draw. She was reported not striding in her penultimate run and was returning from an 11 weak break over further lto. She could of course continue to disappoint but, in this field she might be the one to chance assuming big big odds. DQ most likely for me but let's go a small e/w on one that is hopefully a complete idiot price... RESERVED LADY x DASHING QUEEN x ARABIAN PRINCESS

R5 The d is the issue for Sudden Surprise with only one 2nd in 4 d runs but that was a decent effort in his last attempt at the trip when tiring late and narrowly being beaten by Sky Marshall. He followed that run up with a strong win over 1200 and is very likely to be involved in the finish. King of Mountain was disappointing lto but is usually also about at the death and could go close. He was beaten 4.75l by Captain Siderius 3 runs back though, albeit over 1600. CS returns from a 10 week break after 2 consecutive runs where he was reported as not striding out. The drop in d is something of a concern but if all is well then he should be thereabouts and depending on the price, could be some e/w value. Desert Breeze is another with consistent recent form and could challenge. Giant Strides is one that interests me most at hopefully double-figure odds. Three runs back he was a staying-on 3l 3rd to Sky Marshall over 1200 when returning from a 12 week break. He was receiving 0.5kgs that day, SS was giving SkyM 2.5kgs when beaten 0.25l over 1400 in the race mentioned above. GS now receives 12kgs from SS, has a good draw in 2 and was only beaten 3l lto over c n d when drawn 13/13. I would not be surprised to see SS win but at the potential odds, GS is definitely worth considering, as is Capt Sid... GIANT STRIDES x CAPTAIN SIDERIUS x SUDDEN SURPRISE

R6 Open looking handicap and plenty in with chances, many closely matched on recent outings and some that might be able to turnaround 1200 form back over 1000. Not going to go through it all but Kirtling Towers won well on sand debut when heavily supported and though the drop in trip is a slight concern he may well prove good enough again. I expect Prolan to run him close though and Authenticated to be much nearer over this d... KIRTLING TOWERS x PROLAN x AUTHENTICATED

R7 Assuming a big price, I will have a small idiot e/w on Flavio. Although hammered on sand debut when coming off a 10 week rest, the breeding suggests he may go on the sand, he has the 1 box here and has run creditably over this d on occasion on the turf. He may not enjoy the sand but, if the price is big enough, I'll give him another chance to show something, shouldn't hurt. Of the principals, Super Groove has been a little disappointing since his maiden and subsequent wins, he would be a contender if recapturing that form but not worth the risk for me here. Cadillac Baby and Silken Sea are closely matched on their runs behind Blushing Grey, the draw could well have been a big factor in the d between them lto and with CB getting the better of the draw this time, I expect it to be close again between them. Both are up against the boys here though. The e/w value in the race could be Prove A Point. Although only coming out of the maidens at the 13th attempt when running on strong over 1600 lto, he has been performing consistently around this d and is now on 3rd run after a break. He was only beaten 1.25l by SS when the latter won her maiden and PAP is now 7.5kgs better off and has a better draw. If he holds that form then he must have a very fair chance at hopefully a good price. That said, I find it hard to oppose Stone Reeves on the strength of his last run when he won quite convincingly over c/d and if he breaks well again then I think he could prove hard to beat, if he doesn't, as has often been the case, then an e/w on PAP may save the day... STONE REEVES x PROVE A POINT x CADILLAC BABY

R8 Another with plenty possibles. Badi has seemingly lost all form of late but a return to his best would give him a big chance here, possibly worth a small e/w if the price permits. The consistent Tripartite is likely to be in the vicinity yet again but, once more, might find one or two stronger on the day. New Circle would have a chance if repeating his effort of three runs back, the 2 draw gives him a decent chance if doing so but he hardly seems the most reliable. Call For Change comes off a 19 week rest and is probably better over further but is not entirely without hope while Ethemba probably prefers the minimum trip but the 1 draw will help his chances. Random Al also probably prefers 1000 and the 8 draw is enough to make me overlook him here. Typhoon Tash was disappointing lto but if that run is overlooked then would have a chance but is not for me today. The one I have been following lately and have been slightly unfortunate to not see him win at a big price is Wind At Your Back and he looks to have strong claims here. Probably best over this trip he was unlucky lto when finishing very strongly over 1000. The pacifiers come off here but the biggest concern must be the 10 draw, it is enough to create doubts but he is still my slightly tentative selection... WIND AT YOUR BACK x TRIPARTITE x NEW CIRCLE

R9 Neo Jet has not shown much, including on the Vaal sand, and though he could improve at this venue, he will be no more than a watching brief for me. The one at a probable price that peeked interest a little is Noah Forever. There were signs last week that Ziets is possibly having a positive affect on the stable and he has not shown badly in his two c runs to date, particularly when going down by only 5.5l lto over 1200 despite a wide draw and reportedly not striding out (though Ziets seems baffled by this!). Unfortunately, he has another wide draw here but he may be worth a small e/w nibble. Koenisegg showed well on sand debut and the drop in trip may suit, with a much better draw here in 4 he could be right there at the death. Miesque's Critic can't be ignored but a 17 week rest and wide draw is enough for me to pass him over. History indicates Dubai Destination is not the most consistent and normally needs a run or two after a rest. Midas Magic must have a chance if taking to the surface from the 1 box but nothing in the breeding says to me that will definitely be the case and he is coming off a 16 week rest. Jaguar has a chance but there is no obvious reason why he should reverse the form with Black Platinum. The latter won well lto and possibly Maleking is rewarded with keeping the ride while MVR rides MM, if that is not the case then it would be a strong pointer as to the chances of MM. Tibisi looks held on collateral form with Mountain Rush but a combination of a better draw and possibly being more race-fit here could well see him go close... BLACK PLATINUM x TIBISI x KOENISEGG

Be(s)t of luck to all (tu)

Cheries Boy turf form looks appealing compared to his field. 2.5 l behind louis the king. But 1st run on this surface and 50th run in the maidens today - far from a certainity but worth a punt .

Englander Wrote:

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> R1 I was with Fit To Flight... I make Poor Man's
> Pride possibly the biggest danger and he was 4.5l
> behind the selection lto over c n d. One to
> consider if a big price is Daddy's Luck who has
> run better over this d than over further in recent
> outings. None of the newcomers have anything to
> suggest to me that they will be stars of the sand
> so I'll stick to those with the experience... POOR
> MAN'S PRIDE x DADDY'S LUCK
>
> R2 Potentially tricky contest with a few
> possibles. Both Secret Delight and Brother Sublime
> were finishing well over 1200 last week but there
> has to be a question as to how strong that form
> will prove to be. Gunter also stays on Back To
> Bowler as opposed to BS, though there may be more
> to that than simply BackTB being the stable elect.
> Still, he seems more effective over this d and
> although he has a high draw to contend with, that
> was also the case in his previous two c n d runs
> when he was beaten 0.5l and 3l. If taking to the c
> then Cherie's Boy enters the equation but did not
> show much on the Vaal sand and a watching brief
> for me. Fort Dixy has been performing better since
> arriving at Bingo and had BackTB well back lto but
> whether the drop in trip will suit is
> questionable. Beyond The Burg makes his sand debut
> and there is something in the breeding to suggest
> he could take to the surface. His best turf run
> came over this d and from a good draw in 2 he
> could well be competitive if so doing but comes
> off a 15 week rest. Planisphere was reported not
> striding out lto and drawn 14/14 so that run may
> be best ignored. On his debut effort then he would
> appear to have strong claims here, SD and BackTB
> were both behind him that day but the 10 draw
> won't help his chances. I'll be interested in
> seeing the prices and BeyondTB may be worth a look
> if the price is right but otherwise I'll overlook
> the last run and go with... PLANISPHERE x BEYOND
> THE BURG x BACK TO BOWLER
>
> R3 Take Two Turns performed well lto over c n d
> when drawn wide and returning from a 12 week rest.
> His circumstances are similar here but, he is
> seemingly not the most consistent and this time
> the rest is 37 weeks so he may need the run. He
> also finished behind Set The Scene that day and
> STS has both fitness and draw advantages. STS is
> another who is seemingly not the most consistent
> but a repeat of his penultimate run over c n d
> would give him a definite chance here. He holds
> Return To Basics on that run but that was the
> latter's first run at Bingo and though he pulled
> and faded badly lto over 1200 (and is well held on
> that run by others here), he might be worth a
> small e/w interest if the price is right. Heaven's
> Causeway has run two decent staying-on 4ths over
> 1000 and 1200 since relocating to Bingo and,
> assuming he stays, must have a decent chance on
> 3rd run after a 14 week rest. He is however held
> by Victoria's Veil who showed huge improvement lto
> over 1200 when returning from a 30 week rest and
> if repeating that run over 200 further must have a
> big shout here from the 1 box. Interestingly
> though Gunter jumps off and rides the stablemate's
> sand debutant Savannah Wood whose breeding
> suggests a good chance he will perform well on the
> sand. I am never quite sure on how Gunter's rides
> are decided but the fact he has changed here is
> perhaps a decent pointer and I'll take a chance on
> that... SAVANNAH WOOD x VICTORIA'S VEIL x HEAVEN'S
> CAUSEWAY
>
> R4 A fair few of these simply don't look good
> enough and should not feature. Of those I give a
> chance, Dashing Queen was an impressive maiden
> winner on her sand debut lto and though that was a
> weak looking maiden and this is 200 shorter, she
> could easily go in again in this field. Arabian
> Princess ran well on her c debut lto over this d
> but has a wide draw to contend with. Dare To Be
> Grand has been in good form of late but the
> combination of a 400m drop in d and a wide draw in
> 12 is enough to create doubts. All The Tens was
> well behind AP lto but is better drawn here and
> should go closer. Reserved Lady is the one at
> hopefully a big price that may be worth a second
> look. Well beaten in her last two starts, if she
> could return to the form of her last three maiden
> runs she would have chances from the 1 draw. She
> was reported not striding in her penultimate run
> and was returning from an 11 weak break over
> further lto. She could of course continue to
> disappoint but, in this field she might be the one
> to chance assuming big big odds. DQ most likely
> for me but let's go a small e/w on one that is
> hopefully a complete idiot price... RESERVED LADY
> x DASHING QUEEN x ARABIAN PRINCESS
>
> R5 The d is the issue for Sudden Surprise with
> only one 2nd in 4 d runs but that was a decent
> effort in his last attempt at the trip when tiring
> late and narrowly being beaten by Sky Marshall. He
> followed that run up with a strong win over 1200
> and is very likely to be involved in the finish.
> King of Mountain was disappointing lto but is
> usually also about at the death and could go
> close. He was beaten 4.75l by Captain Siderius 3
> runs back though, albeit over 1600. CS returns
> from a 10 week break after 2 consecutive runs
> where he was reported as not striding out. The
> drop in d is something of a concern but if all is
> well then he should be thereabouts and depending
> on the price, could be some e/w value. Desert
> Breeze is another with consistent recent form and
> could challenge. Giant Strides is one that
> interests me most at hopefully double-figure odds.
> Three runs back he was a staying-on 3l 3rd to Sky
> Marshall over 1200 when returning from a 12 week
> break. He was receiving 0.5kgs that day, SS was
> giving SkyM 2.5kgs when beaten 0.25l over 1400 in
> the race mentioned above. GS now receives 12kgs
> from SS, has a good draw in 2 and was only beaten
> 3l lto over c n d when drawn 13/13. I would not be
> surprised to see SS win but at the potential odds,
> GS is definitely worth considering, as is Capt
> Sid... GIANT STRIDES x CAPTAIN SIDERIUS x SUDDEN
> SURPRISE
>
> R6 Open looking handicap and plenty in with
> chances, many closely matched on recent outings
> and some that might be able to turnaround 1200
> form back over 1000. Not going to go through it
> all but Kirtling Towers won well on sand debut
> when heavily supported and though the drop in trip
> is a slight concern he may well prove good enough
> again. I expect Prolan to run him close though and
> Authenticated to be much nearer over this d...
> KIRTLING TOWERS x PROLAN x AUTHENTICATED
>
> R7 Assuming a big price, I will have a small idiot
> e/w on Flavio. Although hammered on sand debut
> when coming off a 10 week rest, the breeding
> suggests he may go on the sand, he has the 1 box
> here and has run creditably over this d on
> occasion on the turf. He may not enjoy the sand
> but, if the price is big enough, I'll give him
> another chance to show something, shouldn't hurt.
> Of the principals, Super Groove has been a little
> disappointing since his maiden and subsequent
> wins, he would be a contender if recapturing that
> form but not worth the risk for me here. Cadillac
> Baby and Silken Sea are closely matched on their
> runs behind Blushing Grey, the draw could well
> have been a big factor in the d between them lto
> and with CB getting the better of the draw this
> time, I expect it to be close again between them.
> Both are up against the boys here though. The e/w
> value in the race could be Prove A Point. Although
> only coming out of the maidens at the 13th attempt
> when running on strong over 1600 lto, he has been
> performing consistently around this d and is now
> on 3rd run after a break. He was only beaten 1.25l
> by SS when the latter won her maiden and PAP is
> now 7.5kgs better off and has a better draw. If he
> holds that form then he must have a very fair
> chance at hopefully a good price. That said, I
> find it hard to oppose Stone Reeves on the
> strength of his last run when he won quite
> convincingly over c/d and if he breaks well again
> then I think he could prove hard to beat, if he
> doesn't, as has often been the case, then an e/w
> on PAP may save the day... STONE REEVES x PROVE A
> POINT x CADILLAC BABY
>
> R8 Another with plenty possibles. Badi has
> seemingly lost all form of late but a return to
> his best would give him a big chance here,
> possibly worth a small e/w if the price permits.
> The consistent Tripartite is likely to be in the
> vicinity yet again but, once more, might find one
> or two stronger on the day. New Circle would have
> a chance if repeating his effort of three runs
> back, the 2 draw gives him a decent chance if
> doing so but he hardly seems the most reliable.
> Call For Change comes off a 19 week rest and is
> probably better over further but is not entirely
> without hope while Ethemba probably prefers the
> minimum trip but the 1 draw will help his chances.
> Random Al also probably prefers 1000 and the 8
> draw is enough to make me overlook him here.
> Typhoon Tash was disappointing lto but if that run
> is overlooked then would have a chance but is not
> for me today. The one I have been following lately
> and have been slightly unfortunate to not see him
> win at a big price is Wind At Your Back and he
> looks to have strong claims here. Probably best
> over this trip he was unlucky lto when finishing
> very strongly over 1000. The pacifiers come off
> here but the biggest concern must be the 10 draw,
> it is enough to create doubts but he is still my
> slightly tentative selection... WIND AT YOUR BACK
> x TRIPARTITE x NEW CIRCLE
>
> R9 Neo Jet has not shown much, including on the
> Vaal sand, and though he could improve at this
> venue, he will be no more than a watching brief
> for me. The one at a probable price that peeked
> interest a little is Noah Forever. There were
> signs last week that Ziets is possibly having a
> positive affect on the stable and he has not shown
> badly in his two c runs to date, particularly when
> going down by only 5.5l lto over 1200 despite a
> wide draw and reportedly not striding out (though
> Ziets seems baffled by this!). Unfortunately, he
> has another wide draw here but he may be worth a
> small e/w nibble. Koenisegg showed well on sand
> debut and the drop in trip may suit, with a much
> better draw here in 4 he could be right there at
> the death. Miesque's Critic can't be ignored but a
> 17 week rest and wide draw is enough for me to
> pass him over. History indicates Dubai Destination
> is not the most consistent and normally needs a
> run or two after a rest. Midas Magic must have a
> chance if taking to the surface from the 1 box but
> nothing in the breeding says to me that will
> definitely be the case and he is coming off a 16
> week rest. Jaguar has a chance but there is no
> obvious reason why he should reverse the form with
> Black Platinum. The latter won well lto and
> possibly Maleking is rewarded with keeping the
> ride while MVR rides MM, if that is not the case
> then it would be a strong pointer as to the
> chances of MM. Tibisi looks held on collateral
> form with Mountain Rush but a combination of a
> better draw and possibly being more race-fit here
> could well see him go close... BLACK PLATINUM x
> TIBISI x KOENISEGG
>
> Be(s)t of luck to all (tu)

after a long time you back -D

Race 1
5 (0.00), 12 (0.04), 7 (0.53), 1 (1.42), 2 (1.75), 4 (1.96)
Race 2
3 (0.00), 1 (0.93), 2 (3.10), 4 (3.57), 7 (4.01), 8 (5.25)
Race 3
5 (0.00), 12 (0.04), 7 (0.53), 2 (1.75), 4 (1.96), 9 (2.42)
Race 4
1 (0.00), 5 (0.36), 3 (2.73), 12 (3.39), 6 (4.74), 2 (4.91)
Race 5
2 (0.00), 8 (2.57), 3 (5.16), 4 (10.12), 9 (16.46), 7 (18.02)
Race 6
1 (0.00), 3 (0.50), 4 (0.72), 2 (2.96), 5 (3.65), 6 (6.29)
Race 7
2 (0.00), 7 (1.21), 3 (2.96), 1 (5.62), 6 (8.66), 5 (11.67)
Race 8
1 (0.00), 3 (0.90), 5 (2.07), 8 (3.24), 4 (3.83), 2 (5.30)
Race 9
4 (0.00), 5 (0.03), 7 (0.12), 14 (0.60), 1 (1.73), 12 (2.50)

Best Bets
Race 5 – 2 Sudden Surprise

1% PA R27-00
5,12,7,2,4
1,5,3,12
2
1,3,4
2,7,3
1,3,5
4,5,7,14,1

10% PA R14-40
5,12,7
1,5
2
1,3,4
2
1,3
4,5,7,14

1% Pick 6 R20-20
1,5,3,12,
2,8
1,3,4,2
2,7,3
1,3,5
4,5,7,14,1,12,9

20% Pick 6 R9-60
1,5
2
1,3,4
2
1,3
4,5,7,14


Enjoy and have a Gr8 day ()

Great preview engels

Great call engels.. R1 and r2. - i got on with your selection for race 2. 6/1... Top price..

thanks for your synopsis E...always rewarding -D

Nap: STONE REEVES
Nb: Jaguar
Iwac: Jack Dan

Lovely heavens causeway 33-10 into 18-10 yeni up runs out the bi-pot stuffing it up for many a punter.Maybe he should take up mixed martial arts or write a book on swear words.

hibernia Wrote:

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> Dashing Queen Put n take

Hope you right. Have a nice double Nix Power onto Dashing Queen