Clairwood Saturday

agra Wrote:

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> Pirhobeta Wrote:
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>

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> > One Cool Dude...the looker for me...trifecta
> with
> > Futura and Royal Zulu Warrior
>
> Brilliant run ...I only put 2 horses in the P6

...(tu)

Tommy_Hotspur Wrote:

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> shrek Wrote:
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>

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> > So much for Futura being a Champ.
>
>
> He won't run in the July but I think you guys are
> being grossly unfair. The pace was a joke, the
> horse is a 3 year old against older horses and it
> is only his 6th run???
>
> come now, I'm not saying he is a champion but he
> is an exceedingly good horse. Don't judge him just
> on this one performance.
>
> Not many other 3 year olds have taken on the older
> horses in the tops........
>
> EDIT: The fact that a D division horse got so
> close (Serissa) should tell you what a joke the
> pace was.

Tommy, I think most agree he is a good horse, we previously discussed the risk of him missing the DN 2000 and if he didn't win this race, always a risky route to take because he now has little to no chance of qualifying. Don't get me wrong, again I stress, I think he is good.

Does anyone think maybe Hatt was trying to save him MR going into the July instead of focussing on winning this race?

shrek Wrote:

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> Tommy from what was being touted about this horse
> he should have killed this field regardless of
> pace and experience.


Shrek, my man. I respect you and your racing knowledge but please, with tears in my eyes, explain the run of Serissa in relation to the other horses in this field. Admittedly he is only 0.5kg's under sufferance on the handicap but he is nowhere near the class of any of these horses. He should now be put up to at least 100......no way this horse can ever again be competitive off that mar. The reason????? The pace of the race. Futura was way too handy because there was no pace in the race. He couldn't quicken as he needs 2000m+ to show his best.

I think they made a mistake by not going for the DN. It is all easy afterwards but he will be back, I have no doubt about that.

shrek Wrote:

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> Does anyone think maybe Hatt was trying to save
> him MR going into the July instead of focussing on
> winning this race?


I have long since given up on trying to figure out what jocks are doing

Kak ride

shrek Wrote:

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> Does anyone think maybe Hatt was trying to save
> him MR going into the July instead of focussing on
> winning this race?

I doubt it-I posted after his last run that I had him rated 98,and i think that is pretty much what he reproduced today.
Over and over we find horses tend to run to their past form more often than to their reputation!

Trying to close this double :-

2014/06/05 18:56:49 103403 HORSE RACING CLAIRWOOD Race 3 FORRIES WALTZ Fixed Win 3.75 Result
2014/06/05 18:56:49 103403 HORSE RACING CLAIRWOOD Race 5 CIRCLE OF SPEED Fixed Win 7.14 Active

Arghhhh, I was creaming Serrisa home :X ... great ride Bling !!! (tu)

Form never lies Futura beat no champions and no champions beat him today another overrated horse

hibernia Wrote:

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> Looks a plodder, Hatt might have been just a tad
> too confident on him aswell,will he get in the
> July?
>
>
> fbcdn-sphotos-c-a.akamaihd.net/hphotos-ak-
> xpa1/t1.0-9/10341513_4410626921317_221533488516122
> 2606_n.jpg


even if he does he cannot beat the top three-year-olds on that run

rob faux Wrote:

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> shrek Wrote:
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>

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> > Does anyone think maybe Hatt was trying to save
> > him MR going into the July instead of focussing
> on
> > winning this race?
>
> I doubt it-I posted after his last run that I had
> him rated 98,and i think that is pretty much what
> he reproduced today.
> Over and over we find horses tend to run to their
> past form more often than to their reputation!


I agree - but can't really blame the connections - case of damned if you do (take the higher rating and hope he is good enough) or damned if you don't - go with the lower rating, win easily and get into the July - at the time they took what they thought was the right option - turns out maybe it was the wrong one - but maybe better to find out if he is ready / good enough today than in the July ?