Vaal Thursday 19th

Atc 95-1
Polar secret p
Wargames p
Prince jazeem w
Sarve p

gregbucks wrote: Atc 95-1
Polar secret p
Wargames p
Prince jazeem w
Sarve p

Seems like a nice bet, especially Wargames just not mad about Sarve over 1200m and on the turf but hope she comes home smoking a pipe

BATMAN wrote:

Winning_Post wrote:

BATMAN wrote: Race 4 seventh sister at 12to 1 the win and 15/10 4 places must be decent each way value.Would have needed first run from cpt, and the formline of the decent first run in jhb is quite good.Will shortern for sure.

VAN ZYL double Races 4 and 5.

I dont see any value in taking 15/10 a win on princess milo who ran a place in a weak race last time. Seventh sister comes from good formlines and to me is the safer option

I see where you coming from, if Seventh Sister wins I'll be the first to congratulate you, there is definitely value but sometimes it takes a little time for the penny to drop with some of these runners, in her subsequent runs she drifted 2/1 - 8/1, 8/1 - 10/1 and so forth for her next two, then she's backed from 3/1 to 15/10 which I believe is great value and Lerena jumps aboard. IMO I very strongly believe she will win by five lengths, maybe a little more, undoubtedly you'll see a very different Princess tomorrow.

on a line through Kingkovsky and Ultimate Tiger, I believe there will be less than a length between Finchatton and Pacific G. The 25-1 is therefore an E/W must for me.

Winning_Post wrote:

Winning_Post wrote:

BATMAN wrote: Race 4 seventh sister at 12to 1 the win and 15/10 4 places must be decent each way value.Would have needed first run from cpt, and the formline of the decent first run in jhb is quite good.Will shortern for sure.

VAN ZYL double Races 4 and 5.

Date Reference Sport Tournament Event Market Bet type Price Bet Stake Final Price Scratching Deduction Status
18/02/2015 20:18:54 540795 HORSE RACING VAAL Race 4 PRINCESS MILO Fixed Win 1.52 757.50 500.00 4350.69 - Active
18/02/2015 20:18:54 540795 HORSE RACING VAAL Race 5 RESPECTABLE RULER Fixed Win 2.86 3593.19 1257.50 4350.69 - Pending

Winning Post
I did the same bet... just added Seventh Heart ...worked out to 35/1

Point taken about Seventh Sister in the 4th

agra wrote:

Winning_Post wrote:

Winning_Post wrote:

BATMAN wrote: Race 4 seventh sister at 12to 1 the win and 15/10 4 places must be decent each way value.Would have needed first run from cpt, and the formline of the decent first run in jhb is quite good.Will shortern for sure.

VAN ZYL double Races 4 and 5.

Date Reference Sport Tournament Event Market Bet type Price Bet Stake Final Price Scratching Deduction Status
18/02/2015 20:18:54 540795 HORSE RACING VAAL Race 4 PRINCESS MILO Fixed Win 1.52 757.50 500.00 4350.69 - Active
18/02/2015 20:18:54 540795 HORSE RACING VAAL Race 5 RESPECTABLE RULER Fixed Win 2.86 3593.19 1257.50 4350.69 - Pending

Winning Post
I did the same bet... just added Seventh Heart ...worked out to 35/1

Point taken about Seventh Sister in the 4th

Good luck Agra, they will come smokin home. Four bankers in my pick 6 tomorrow

Prince Jazeem x Fortitude @ 37/1

For the guys on seventh sister b wary possible place chance

Any clanners can offer any insight into the azzie/mawing combination
For the first two races
Am hearing they throwing up a storm at home

RP can't help with Azzie but can I ask why you say be wary with 7th Sister?

For me she is definitely the value in the race. The one they are backing, Princess Milo, takes a big drop in d. She was 1.35l behind Eau de Creole over 2000 lto. EdC was beaten 9.25l (Polar Secret only 0.25l further back) by Rosalie nto over 1600. Prior to that run, in a time not too dissimilar, Rosalie finished only 0.5l ahead of SS over 1600 in what was SS's first run in the region. The money would suggest much is expected of PM today but on the basis of the above, SS looks very decent e/w value to me at 12s.

I am firmly with Englander and Batman, in the Seventh Sister camp. As Englander points out on collateral form with Eau De Creole and Rosalie, Seventh Sister is about 10 lengths better than Princess Milo. Princess Milo's only good run, even though the Computaform says good there was the sting out of the ground (formgrids state very soft that day). My only concern is that Smith is coming back after being out for a while and might not be fully confident as yet. I am far happier taking the 15/10 a first 4 of SS than the 15/10 a win on PM.

I like a bit of Formal Request in Race 5, decent debut when 3rd behind Sir Cecil (runs in race 3 today). The runner up was only 0.20 lengths ahead of him that day and De Melo chose to keep the ride instead of jumping on the form horse and likely favourite Respectable Ruler.