Turffontein, 21/03

P/a 1 x 13 x 3 6 8 11 x3 4 x 2 8 10 x 2 5 x 3 7 8 13 R192 Race 5 Al Firenze big runner. Race 9 Disco Boy big runner...

Dashing Scarlet last run was a run of a possible big improver, massive runner if on same form

Just playing a few small stake e/w accumulators today based around these...

R2 Roving Jet
R3 Goose Green / Arabian Bay
R4 Arabian Arrow
R5 Al Firenze
R6 Lady Of The Lords
R7 Exelero
R8 Dashing Scarlet
R9 One Yesterday

Be(s)t of luck to all

Arabian Arrow is a big runner.

And NOT saying she won't win but if anyone likes Pretty Special in the first, just be sure you are happy with her form away from the Vaal and/or when asked to run on a bend, just something that tapped me on the shoulder as I was browsing through lol

R2 1 King And Empire good e/w
R4 4 Arabian Arrow- wide draw- include in all bets
R6 9 Lady of the Lords-low mass- include in all bets
R7 8 Mr Mulliner- good e/w
R8 2 Classic Illusion-honest and consistent-include in all bets

triple tempo wrote: Arabian Arrow is a big runner.

Never been a winner from draw 16 on the inside track over 406 races, a place prospect at the very very best, if the draw was below 7, I would make it my clear first selection.

Winning_Post wrote:

mr hawaii wrote:

bayern wrote: R6 - Eva Tibbs (17/10), think she will appreciate going the 2600m. The second favourite, Kissimmee (28/10), appears to have struggled the further distance she has gone, don't think she's the likely winner. The Centenary (4/1), the form appears hard to assess looking at her last two runs, being a 3 year old, I'm going to brass her.

R8 - Arcetri Pink (11/10), is well in at the weights and has competed against much stronger. Should win this comfortably.

Going against you - I think The Centenary has proven staying form, albeit off a paper weight. She holds Lucky Gambler , who in turn has beaten Kissimee. I'm not certain if Eva Will stay -

Eva will stay, that ROSALIE formline is rock solid.

Which run?
Rosalie on Maiden win - 11 runnners one winner (Rosalie) 3 places that makes 7 unplaced runs including the 2nd,3rd and 5th - Weak formline.
Next start only one runner so far placed in weak MR 69
The Centenary won a pinnacle against an a 101MR Touch The Sky (Gr 1 placed), an 88 and 87. That race was over 2400m at this track and she is bred for ground. I think she will be hard to oppose here

Winning_Post wrote:

Deeno wrote: Taking a stab
Street Flyer / Respectable Ruler/ Jamming

Be careful with RR, JAY BOY a big runner in that race.

Thanks WP

Will take my chances.. will be adding Wandies and to the above.

Looks like one of those cards where it could be a great day if one gets it right - some thoughts:

R1: Wandies definitely too short imo - taking note of Englander's observation re Pretty Special, makes me think that Silent Treatment is worth 3/1 - if one has that urge to have a bet in a workrider's race

R2: Street Flyer despite a widish draw look the right one; both Wottahotti and Viking Castle came out to win and Cumberland did not disgrace himself in his handicap debut, so the form of SF last run looks solid; all of King and Empire (looks held on a line through Wottahottie), Talca, Rainbow Star, Counterstroke and Pataudi have jinks in their armour and are looking for 2nd imo

R3: Respectable Ruler and Arabian World stand out here for me; RR does have a tricky draw, but probably not that serious over 1800, so is my first choice. Dublin Rebel fancied by the stable to make big improvement, so a trifecta/quartet inclusion at big odds

R4: Arabian Arrow overdue to win and good value imo despite the draw; Jamming another who is much too short for me in the market - not far in front of the very moderate Miesque Storm in J's debut, so I think she is worth opposing - Carino could still improve with Fig Jam - would be a huge P6 result if anything else pops up.

R5: I fancy Arkansas strongly today - he has been running some good races in plated races (last time recorded a 70 on my ratings - so looks very well in here if repeating that run); only danger I think is Petrichor, who could surprise if fit enough after a rest to repeat his effort behind subsequent Guineas runner up French Navy in December; Tuvano has also come down in the ratings and could make the trifecta and quartet pay

R6: The Centenary still a bit high on the ratings imo, but should at least see out the trip and is my first choice in a competitive handicap; Eva Tibbs has stamina doubts, but is in form and the trainer said on USO this morning that he expects her to stay (in contrast to the jock) - can't be ignored; Avenue not far behind The Centenary a couple of runs ago (and a bit better off at the weights), so could provide some value in the trifecta/quartet; Kissimee seems held, but Lady of the Lords could maybe feature if she stays the extra
t
R7: Toughest race on the card for me; I do think that Platinum Jet is no slouch - no money for it, but I won't leave that one out of my P6/JP; load up

R8: Arcetri Pink the obvious one on ratings, but she is coming back from the Cape and the stable has said that she will be better after this run - could still be good enough of course, but she has also never won on this inside track, so I think worth opposing. Obvious one after AP is Dashing Scarlet, question is how much she had in reserve last time, I agree with the handicapper that she ran to 83, but she may well be capable of better. I also give Classic Illusion a chance on her run behind Supreme Sunset (which also brings Negev into the race) - those 4 to fight it out

R9: Not the easiest race to close, not a lot between Magic Trip and One Yesterday, with Stratagea looking for this trip - those 3 probably the pick from Antonius Charm whose draw could count against him again

Enjoy

Eways on moon lay hidden and negev.


Pa
1,5 x 3,4,13,14 x 7,8,11 x 3,4,6,9 x 5,8 x 3 x 3,11

BP: str line
1-1-13-3-9-8
All the best