Fairview Friday 4/9/15

Lightning bolt -nap

Karma I like Cheeky question aswell .... Likes the poly and hoping just didn't like the grass last time

Brill draw

Runaway Time

Bob Brogan wrote: Karma I like Cheeky question aswell .... Likes the poly and hoping just didn't like the grass last time

Brill draw

I really think Khati is going to have an above average day today. Got some decent runners.

Lots of talk about Fortune race 1

Shams Comments


Race 1 no 9 eachway chance .
Race 3 no 5 place chance
Race 2 no 5+10 place chances
Race 4 no 7 win
Race 5 no 2+3+4+6 all working well pref 3 from 4
Race 7 no 1+8 eachway chances .
Race 8 No 3 big runner and no 8+9 place chances¡

Treble Pataudi/Leodocus/Samhaan

Race 4 I think number 9 war trail should run a big race. I wouldn't leave this one out exotics. Nice price 20/1. Only putting 3 horses in this leg 6,7,9.

Race 5 - My slight preference is for rustic romance, but taking the shams comments into account, I will probably include all their runners and also Kumiko and Withcery

Race 6 - Slight preference for Born for ballet. Crackpot, blue bay doll and miss imperial all decent chances.

Race 7 - My preference is for ottimo here, the roughie that i'm including is global express

Race 8 - Soleil Royal looks like one of the better bets on the card, the roughie for me looks to be hunter valley, although it has a shocking draw. Nice one to include for PA's etc.

My play for today is a jackpot and PA. Pick 6 looks like a mine field. Difficult card on the whole, lets try to hit them hard though.

King onasis in the first represents big value for me at 20/1...can only improve in a race against proven horses

My JP below for R630.

6,7,9
1,3,4,5,6,10
1,2,3,5,6,14,15
1,2,3,4,8

Race 2 Runaway Time 6/1...Make it hard to beat

R1 Pataudi the likely winner for me. Possible e/w value King Onasis, ignore last run with blinkers and form of first race not too shabby and on that run has some at much shorter odds held on collateral with Unbroken. Tough draw though.

R2 I really like Sly Tactics here, took at 14s but still some possible e/w value at 8s. Bare stats look dreadful but frequently not far away and a good effort lto returning from a break. On lines through The Night Away has a very decent chance imo. On same lines Grand Christine worth R1 but I think Clarkie's Only could run a good race and be a bigger danger... was awkward away lto and got a fair bashing early in the race but despite that, with the blinkers on for the first time, was a much improved effort, and fairly closely matched with a number of these on that run.

Ok, keeping it shorter lol...

R3 Agree with a couple of others that Cheeky Question looks very good e/w value. Winter Love (poor draw) and Moucha Gasolina are other e/w considerations at double figure odds and I suspect Night Away will be right there. Win vote though goes to Slip Stream Queen but it is risky from the high draw.

R4 Leodicus for me. Possible e/w value with War Trail and Toby Jug and The Leader Boy worth R1.

R5 Tough. Arabica.

R6 Smashville to fight it out with Crackpot. Possible e/w value with Born For Ballet. Sham's unmentioned in dispatches White Flower a nagger. Cassia will win one day! Not gone with it but also would not surprise me if Sendintheclowns won with a little in hand. Perhaps a race to avoid lol

R7 Samhaan but lots must depend on the start. At the odds not worth chancing imo. Ottimo the most likely to take advantage and Global Express worth R1.

R8 Gone with Soleil Royal again after he did me a favour lto. Grape Vine the danger. Possible value with Kirkby Ninja, Ming Warrior a nagger and The Stones the interesting one who could well pinch it despite the draw if bringing his best Gauteng (turf) form to PE.

Hope your runners bring you some dividends Oscar... but, of course, not at my expense!

Be(s)t of luck to all