Turffontein Saturday 2/1/16

mr hawaii
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Re: Turffontein Saturday 2/1/16

9 years 5 months ago - 9 years 5 months ago

I thought SCARE TACTICS could run a place - the jockey, not my fav, has been riding very well and this horse get a draw today, has been out in the cold lately when it comes to gates. The 400m drop in trip will aid and best run was over this c/d with a similar draw. Has a nervous disposition though but I like the 233/100 place odds.
Another that is over priced to place for me is CAMBRIDGE CHOIR. Jumped from draw 9 and 15 in last 2 starts and showed she likes to finish with cheques in both events.In her last start she made up almost 7 lengths over the final 400m. 333/100 a place.
ENBARR should win as he made up 6 lengths on debut and will be better for that experience.
LUCKY GAMBLER should go into all bets as she has won half of her 6 races in this class.
TIGER TERRITORY seems a hit or miss type so cannot be ignored(One Man's Dream obvious)
LADY AL is my best 4 place bet -
Juxtapose (119/100 a place is worth a look), Nikki and Crystal Glamour should suffice in the 6th.

Last edit: 9 years 5 months ago by mr hawaii.

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Magi
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Re: Turffontein Saturday 2/1/16

9 years 5 months ago

#594314

Ptahotep wrote: I was looking to banker either Christmas Carol or Crystal Glamour in the exotics. The opinions ventured thus far seem to suggest that Crystal Glamour looks likely to win her race. Any other opinions on Christmas Carol? She won in the same class last time out receiving a 1kg penalty now over further. Superwoman and Polly seem obvious dangers.

I thought of the two Christmas Carol was the most likely banker... but the money for Estimation makes me tread warily. I fancy Nikki to beat Crystal Glamour... so perhaps neither are bankers (or both will win :sick: )

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Ptahotep
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Re: Turffontein Saturday 2/1/16

9 years 5 months ago

#594330

I looked at the betting and comments first before generating my own ratings which don't give either of my two potential bankers the top rating...so back to the drawing board.

Race 5 ratings
NAME OF RUNNER VALUES POWER TOTAL
3 POLLY WOLLY 335 1 180
8 ESTIMATION 330 2 165
2 SUPERWOMAN 285 3 120
4 LAUREL CHERRY 280 4 110
10 LUALA 270 5 110
7 CHRISTMAS CAROL 245 6 135
9 COOL FANTASY 230 7 105
11 DOUBLE SPIN 230 7 45
5 ELUSIVE PROPH 225 9 110
1 LUCKY GAMBLER 210 10 100
6 SHIRAZ CABERNET 210 10 85
12 LADY MUFFET 145 12 45

RACE 6 ratings
NAME OF RUNNER VALUES POWER TOTAL
8 NIKKI 425 1 175
6 JUNGLE MIST 355 2 175
3 CRYSTAL GLAM 340 3 125
1 JUXTAPOSE 325 4 120
5 INTERGALACTIC 320 5 140
7 ALLEGORICAL 300 6 170
9 BEAUTIFUL SHAY 295 7 130
4 GAIN GROUND 275 8 145
2 WAY OUT FRONT 250 9 85
10 OVER IT 240 10 125
11 GOLD SHADES 238 11 7

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kristieN
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Re: Turffontein Saturday 2/1/16

9 years 5 months ago

#594332

%age BP: 1/1,4,7,9/4,9,10/7,8/3,8,9/1,4,5,7

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ianwat67
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Re: Turffontein Saturday 2/1/16

9 years 5 months ago

#594337

Good comment THE BLUE PUNT. We need something. I am finding if difficult your racing at mo. Good luck to all today. LETS WIN.

TheBluntPunt wrote: any inspired doubles even trebles (doubles pref)?

come bayern, mr h or magi look into those crystal balls of yours please.

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bayern
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Re: Turffontein Saturday 2/1/16

9 years 5 months ago

#594338

There appears to be some solid support for Rebel's Diamond in the first, touched 18/10 on Interbet, now eased out to 2/1, for what it's worth.

Guessing has never been widely acclaimed as a good gambling strategy.

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Bob Brogan
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Re: Turffontein Saturday 2/1/16

9 years 5 months ago

#594340

Is there a delay at Turffontein ? Not seen a canter down ?

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Tim
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Re: Turffontein Saturday 2/1/16

9 years 5 months ago

#594341

Bollemakiesie first 3 at 13 to 10

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Saint Tropez
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Re: Turffontein Saturday 2/1/16

9 years 5 months ago

#594342

What is going on, no update from Tellytrack on the delay??

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Saint Tropez
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Re: Turffontein Saturday 2/1/16

9 years 5 months ago

#594344

Aha.....thunder and lightning about hence the delay.

Thanks Shaheen for the update!!

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mr hawaii
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Re: Turffontein Saturday 2/1/16

9 years 5 months ago

#594345

Tim wrote: Bollemakiesie first 3 at 13 to 10

Agree

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TSants18
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Re: Turffontein Saturday 2/1/16

9 years 5 months ago

#594346

mr hawaii wrote: I thought SCARE TACTICS could run a place - the jockey, not my fav, has been riding very well and this horse get a draw today, has been out in the cold lately when it comes to gates. The 400m drop in trip will aid and best run was over this c/d with a similar draw. Has a nervous disposition though but I like the 233/100 place odds.
Another that is over priced to place for me is CAMBRIDGE CHOIR. Jumped from draw 9 and 15 in last 2 starts and showed she likes to finish with cheques in both events.In her last start she made up almost 7 lengths over the final 400m. 333/100 a place.
ENBARR should win as he made up 6 lengths on debut and will be better for that experience.
LUCKY GAMBLER should go into all bets as she has won half of her 6 races in this class.
TIGER TERRITORY seems a hit or miss type so cannot be ignored(One Man's Dream obvious)
LADY AL is my best 4 place bet -
Juxtapose (119/100 a place is worth a look), Nikki and Crystal Glamour should suffice in the 6th.

Agreed with Cambridge Choir, Lucky Gambler & Lady Al. Though if you look at Beautiful Shay and Juxtapose, big weight favour for BS. That could be the true value. Think blinkers will help her loads coming down in distance.

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