bayern wrote: Trappy card, but then again, which card isn't? For me the value lies in races 4 and 5.
R4, I see CP is strong on Punta Arenas, and at the ratings he would appear be correct. However this horse has a lot against him winning, he should need the run, whilst he has a 110MR, that has been achieved over much further (distances), today's distance should be far too short. The list go's on, I think they prepping this horse, so I will give him a miss. Rikitikitana should not finish ahead of Ashton Park based on their run of the 26/12, there is a 6.50kg swing in Ashton Park's favour for a 3.05 length beating and Amazon King would have to be better than rated to win this. Ashton Park at 9/2 looks good value and is the one I think they all have to beat.
R5, I make a two horse race between Mr Winsome and Serissa. Race conditions and current form, Mr Winsome is the one they all have to beat. It's been a long time between drinks for Serissa, and may have to settle for second.
Finally race 3, if the Joburg horses are deemed to be fitter, then Rhyme Or Reason will gallop this field into submission from a decent draw.
Race4
Add into the mix Double Clutch,Lafferty is bang on form and they've found a gem in Ashton Arries.Will try and make all
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