Saturday Kenilworth 11 Nov 2017

Sylvester wrote: is this Live Life' 1st run for new owners??

Ok here's one for the books

can win but a high probability to place ...Twinkle Toes search for some 3/1 four places...and this is the nineteenth tab opened on me lap

ps ; omg i just see she's no 1 with WP predicted finish...

also note that Candice has Lyle riding Scandola

2 for me in the Laisserfaire stakes.

Sommerlied 7/1 - really top filly and barring her mishap in the Cape, she has a perfect record. Her last two victories have come over the males too. If fit enough, 7/1 is cracking value.

Casual Diamond 7/1 - been a real money maker since cracking her maiden win and continues to go from strength to strength. Big task taking on older fillies but I think she's good enough to be involved in the finish.

Im a big Live Life fan and she's deadly at Kenilworth but she's best over 1200m and im thinking this run may bring her on. Of the others, I think Scandola could be worth a bet @ 18/1, nice run behind TSIO.

Trying to be successful early in the day :-

R1, Refined Bachelor (9/2), think he was beaten by the draw last time (10/14), was fairly handy until late in the piece. From stall gate 3, if adopting the similar tactics, he could go on and win this.

R2, O'Keeffe (3/1), was a touch unlucky last time against stronger. Should be competitive off 50.5kgs, albeit carrying 2.0kgs more than her last outing.

Run Red and Captain America is a double to be with

SOMMERLIED for the Laisserfaire

pirates wrote:

bayern wrote:

Lionel wrote: Surprised Marcus is not going down to ride Edict of Nantes. I think he is going to be a big runner in most features down there.

Maybe just have a prep run and on the short side, distance wise. Look to see what is running in Joburg on Saturday, maybe booked to ride there.

marcus is suspended for a week

According to Striker's article in the Citizen, he is Edicts jock for this season (for now).

Princess Vicky my banker - they must beat her

Race 1: Counting Stars has not lived up to his breeding, and although he does have a chance, has to take on a bunch of improving 3yos. Run Red good debut and that formline is holding up, but I don't see value at the current 11/10- he is however the one to beat. Meraki and Cradleofgratitude have solid form and will be involved in the finish. Refined Bachelor has similar ability.
Race 2: the value here is Baroness Mary - very well in at the weights and it will be very tough for Meryl to give her 7kg. Very open race. Okeeffe only just failed last time and a repeat of that run brings her into the picture.
Race 3: Princess Vicky had two wide draws at Durbanville and with a good draw today and the expected improvement has a good winning chance.Bid Before Sunset is the main danger, but it's not a two horse race. Believethisbeauty has been knocking on the door, and Little Miss Me has had two good runs and also gets a much improved draw. My other filly, Bikini Model should be included in quartets- she cracks a draw after good runs from wide draws. She will be running on strongly.
Race 4: A very tricky handicap. Romantic Crusade won a nice race last time, and the one she beat has come out to win. Unfortunately a very wide draw, but she has an ew chance. Ostinato also comes off a much deserved maiden win and is again in with a shout. Go wide in exotics.
Race 5: Captain America is the right one at the weights if not needing it too much. Sail South won't be far off him. Table Bay is a bit out at the weights with these two but is racing fit and this is his optimum trip, so must include in all bets.
Race 6: An open handicap- my first choice is Percival
Race 7: A nightmare with the fitness of some of the top fillies in question. Anime ran well last time and is nicely weighted and is my ew pick.
Race 8: Another tricky race. Arabian Dynasty appeals at the weights, although not the most reliable.

9 Run Red in Race 1 is home and hosed based on the early money.

idiot 1st double Kenilworth..... Bernard / Bernard 97 / 1 can't get burnt at this price.

maybe place 2nd leg. win /place 36 / 1 not too bad !!

Having a cover with Edict of nantes....

Gyre in the last

Not touching sides in Cape Town today trying to beat the favourites thus far. Now or never, Little Miss Me - go Domeyer