Kenilworth Wed 22 Nov

Race 5 - Talk Of The Town 16/10

Highly regarded by the yard and showed why LTO. Really nice win, and he had any amount of lengths left under him. Looks a top sort in the making and not a stretch to think he might be the stable's best 3yo colt in time since Ancestry has disappointed. A few dangers here like Icon King but TOTT should be on the upgrade now and drawn well, should go well.

R9 Tsitsikamma Dance is one i will look to beat.
If WF's speed index is anything to go on Show Stealer is near his best and was good enough to win a 72 MR in July.Nice inclusion if pining on a better payout

The Wilgerbosdrift pair of 3yo have done battle before and In The Jungle and SS was in that race.ITJ still comes up tops at the weights with the Ressel/Shirtliff owned Siberian Husky to get closer

Suppose you cannot leave Mega Secret on that basis

Mr Lover Boy can also go in if you looking for an upset result on your live P6 ticket

Creme Soda Green ran a good race over this cd in his penultimate and his ratings has come down sufficiently to be a factor

Gimme Six my best bet for the day....love this horse

All to come Pata Pata - Vase- Doyles - Gimme Six

Good punting

The course has only received 7mm past 24 hours and 14mm past week, plus 15mm irrigation. The going will thus be good, and no further rain today.

interesting card today....


Strikeitlikeamatch
Western storm
Querari's secret

R1 PATA PATA ***
R2 OMEGA FORCE **
R3 EARL OF WARWICK *
R4 SNOW CRYSTAL *
R5 STRIKEITLIKEAMATCH *
R6 FIRE WALKER *
R7 GIMME SIX *
R8 MEGA SECRET **

R2: Perfectproportions

Vase is the obvious one but I wasn't overly convinced that she's a good thing here today given her debut run. She's obviously talented but didn't like her at the prices. Omega Force is very well-respected on her second last time and finished convincingly ahead of the selection. She did however get a much more forceful ride and I'm hopeful of Perfectproportions overturning that deficit with a much more promising run today. Very well-bred, she was weak in the market on debut and given an educational hands and heels ride to finish 3rd last time. With natural improvement and a more forceful ride, she's got a good chance of finishing at least in the first three. Back her EW.

R3: Proud Dynasty

As poster above I like the angle on Proud Dynasty, who didn't run badly in First Time Blinkers off a two month break last time and will probably be okay with the drop in distance. He's ran some good races without winning and has been behind some top quality horses only in August, no less Rocket Countdown that has won in Graded races subsequently. Wasn't far behind that day and although that was at a different distance, Proud Dynasty hasn't been getting home over those trips so this could help. Another positive is the inside draw, the rain won't have disadvantaged him (has some form on yielding) and at the prices looks a fair bet to run very close. What A Joker could need further but has the stable jock on today, with Doyles drawn in the car park and I don't think the form of that debut will work out too well.

R4: Blue Rhone Sky

Shown some promise without winning on previous two starts but now gets the perfect draw, much better jockey and a lot of the remaining market principals are drawn wide and need luck. Blue Rhone Sky wasn't far behind some of these on latest start and wasn't given a hard-time towards the end of the races, she improved significantly on her debut and I think she's been forgotten about in the market at present. Snow Crystal deserves to be fav but has had plenty of chances, while Symphony needs to prove latest front-running effort wasn't a flash in the pan. I'm happy with Blue Rhone Sky here, given good draw, improving profile and positive jockey booking.

Bad start for all double and treble punters.R1-20 on the tote beaten.Orffer could have given him a stronger ride I think but Fourie is different class.

durbs wrote: Bad start for all double and treble punters.R1-20 on the tote beaten.Orffer could have given him a stronger ride I think but Fourie is different class.

Saddle slipped as well....most jocks would have given up.

durbs wrote: Bad start for all double and treble punters.R1-20 on the tote beaten.Orffer could have given him a stronger ride I think but Fourie is different class.

Bookies must be over the moon!!!

Omega Force 18/10 for me. Was finishing powerfully last time and should have come on from that.

strong ride from Bernard - looked like the 2nd would pass her at one stage but nicely done