July log

Richie77
Elite Member
Posts: 1897
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Re: July log

7 years 2 months ago

shrek wrote:

Richie77 wrote:

shrek wrote:

Bokked wrote:

shrek wrote: With what is left of the field and currently carrying 55 kg's (if Coral Fever runs), IMO anything over 2/1 on ANS is a gift.

What is your reasoning, Sir?

I have no preference at the moment so asking from an educational standpoint

He ran about 14 to 15 points above his rating in the Met but never got a penalty as he finished 6th. His comeback run was excellent and by not winning did not incur a penalty. He will at the moment carry 55 kgs, 4,5 kgs less than the Met and this field is not in the same league as that of the Met. He will carry more or less the same as the top 3 year old colts and receive weight from the top older horses.

His Cup Trial run will be interesting as it is a MR race if he wins will get a penalty.

Shrek - on a line through coral fever I have liege and ANS finishing on top of each other. Hence why I think the 40/1 (now 35/1) is value. I am also in the camp of ANS and already clicked a few doubles. Let me know if my handicapping is wrong please.

Richie your handicapping is spot on, just both races were run in very different conditions.

Will be interesting to see if Gold Circle allow Liege to run on Saturday, if they do they might as well make barrier trials voluntary from now on as they will never be able to enforce it going forward.

I see now that the ANS loss to Coral Fever was over 1400. Thanks. Still think this is a classic Tarry move. Keep Liege out of the lime light and away from the handicapper.

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pirates
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Re: July log

7 years 2 months ago

#729106

richie by intending to run liege in the race on saturday at greyville it definitly wasnt mr tarrys intent to keep him away from the handicaper

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DOCTOR R
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Re: July log

7 years 2 months ago

#729129

Liege and Abashiri up against each other on Sunday..... is it a must win for either of them to GET INTO THE JULY

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Richie77
Elite Member
Posts: 1897
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Re: July log

7 years 2 months ago

#729189

Pirates, liege wouldn’t need to win Saturday to get into the July. Although running Sunday I do expect him to be close.

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Frodo
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Re: July log

7 years 2 months ago

#729201

DOCTOR R wrote: Liege and Abashiri up against each other on Sunday..... is it a must win for either of them to GET INTO THE JULY

On the latest July log issued, they are respectively no 3 and no 6 - so neither should have any trouble getting in .... 1400 on Sunday too short for both of them, so I think both stables will be looking for 'nice' runs - maybe a place; looks to me like Will Pays is the right one to win that race

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Sylvester
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Re: July log

7 years 2 months ago

#729221

At approximately the 1400m, CASCAPEDIA (IRE) (C Murray) which was over-racing, clipped the heels of FISH RIVER (AUS) (R Munger) which rolled out marginally.

THE VETERINARY SURGEON REPORTED:

a) CASCAPEDIA (IRE) abnormal respiratory noise.

Frodo wrote:

oscar wrote: What went wrong with Cascapedia last run?

Your guess as good as ours ?

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pirates
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Re: July log

7 years 2 months ago

#729266

Richie77 wrote: Pirates, liege wouldn’t need to win Saturday to get into the July. Although running Sunday I do expect him to be close.

richie let me try explain things very simple to you ..if liege were to have run in his intended race on saturday he would be running at level weights off a rating of 110..he would be meeting horses at level weights who have ratings up to 14 pounds higher than him,,,if he were to run in the top 5 and the handicaper deemed he ran well above his rating he would get penalised for this hence your statement that his trainer is protecting his rating holds no water at all...nada nothing

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