HONG KONG RESTARTING

Zac Purton at one stage was less than 5-10 to win the jockey challenge.
In a battle with Vincent Ho going into the last leg.
Ho is actually in front now.

And as by his nickname,Zac has messed it up again.
He lost on 6 favorites today and 4 of them out the money.
A disaster of a jockey on favorites,I'm surprised the trainers in HK haven't picked up on this.

eramutsamaya wrote: @Heinrich. Remember the weight of horse issue i once raised on yo Outsider Thread here.
Did you watch Race 3 today, Rhapsody was smashed from 15/1 to 4/1. Trying to find out why since there is no form. Just picked up this decrease in horse weight/mass. Doesnt it trigger performance? I dont know.

I actually backed this horse today. Will explain my reasons later....going fishing now. 4 more similar horses won over CD with a similar 'system' this season so far

RHAPSODY...

let me start by saying I'm not a 'form student' so I don't have a simple answer like Horse A beat Horse B ect ect lol

A few reasons why I liked him...

His last run was 1 of 3 MAIN REASONS...

1) SECTIONAL TIMES

Hope you read SIMON ROWLANDS article about Sectional times(that helps ALOT with HK Racing)

Anyways...The average FIN SPD of a C4 1200M at SHA TIN is 101.02%. Rhapsody's last run race FIN SPD was 99.34% meaning it was run at a fast pace and in context to other races that that (although the Track was running fast) it was pretty decent for C4!

Any RACE where the FIN SPD is +1.5% faster an class average I mark up as these races produce good priced winners more often than not.

2) FITNESS/TRACKWORK

As you pointed out the horse dropped a considerable amount of weight and it SHOWED in trackwork!!!! His last gallop before the run he was cruising in 1 of his best track work times... First time out he wasn't as fit so he got only 1'thumbs up' from the HK FITNESS team whereas this time around he got 2 'thumbs up' when horses drop weight we can't just assume that they are fitter/or have improved...it normally shows in gallons.

3) Jockey Strike + Trainer

Trainer SIZE is normally 'slow' at getting his horses to their peak fitness wise giving them 3-5 Barrier trials. But when his drops weight so much so fast and he gets a TOP JOCK on-board...better sit up and take note.

That's basically my reasons...but it all started becoz the horse came from a race I RATED HIGHLY ...and than looked further into the form. It might sound long winded but it's actually a very fast process.

PREVIOUS FORM

I normally make a short list of 5-6 horses per race...Than check the last 3-5 runs of the horse. His 1st 2 runs was VERY GOOD indeed...and when I looked at it...for me the COMPUTER TEAMS backed him based on those two runs aswell.

Hong Kong great is my best bet today @10/1, besides the horse being a stayer he has been showing nice speed at the trials and with a handy position should give sight with inform Matthew Chadwick.

SHATIN CANADIAN


SHATIN BIPOT

Seems a nice card this morning, hope the earliest bird catches the worm.

PLACE CANADIAN


WIN CANADIAN


PA


BIPOT


JACKPOT

HONEST WAY/DESTINE JEWELLTLRY looks value in Race 3

Done in your first leg of your win canadian Eram,by Zac 'the chop' Purton.
He was running on the heels of horses a few times there and finishes second to last on the 11-10 favorite.
And now in race 5 he manages to run the 15-10 favorite out the money again.
How the hell did this oke become HK champion jockey?

Managed to stay in my PA just because Purton was on the favorite so I had to add a few more.

And another favorite ridden by Purton in the bush.

durbs wrote: Done in your first leg of your win canadian Eram,by Zac 'the chop' Purton.
He was running on the heels of horses a few times there and finishes second to last on the 11-10 favorite.
And now in race 5 he manages to run the 15-10 favorite out the money again.
How the hell did this oke become HK champion jockey?

I thought the wounds on his butt have healed..we will die poor surely lol.

Zac Purton lost on 5 favorites today.
Must have been very short to win the jockey challenge but lost that to Alexi Badel