I think a nice card at the Big T; thoughts (going against some popular choices - so face is being prepared for the flying eggs)
R1: I know Far Hills is the 1/2 sister to Noordhoek Flyer, but really she is running on reputation so imo 7/10 is a ridiculous price - I really liked the way Sacred Temple finished last time and I make her a good bet here
R2: Not sure what to make of this race; Rum and Raisin obviously improving but was beaten more than 7 lenghts on debut by Cherie Boy - who is no star - so the 2 yr old first timer Point Hope could be good enough if ready
R3: Triandra improving and is my first choice - Jewel Coast has found betting support in both her runs, but needs to do more on the track; Sateen is improving and could prefer this trip - place chance
R4: Weak field and seems a 3 horse contest between Venture, Warrior King and the filly Atmospheric - watch out for those that tries the ground for the first time
R5: Elodie stands out for me, but she hasn't run for more than 5 months - Delpech takes the ride which could mean that she is ready; if she fails, most of the others could pick up the pieces - for a roughie, include Bandera Nativa (backed up by Queen Mira in the P6) - she likes this trip and is improving after a rest; for what it's worth I'm worried about the 2000 for both Queen Mira and Stormy Coast
R6: Principle two must be Sharada and Himalayan Hill (who comes from behind, so the draw probably not that big a factor) - again for a roughie, consider the Woodruff filly Au Fond - blinkers come off today so improvement possible, and I'm including the St John Gray coupling in the P6
R7: Toughest race on the card imo - apart from the obvious contenders like Done Right, Desert Warrior, Wild Count and Sonic Gang, consider Danger Man (not sure what went wrong last time) and Silver Back (Striker rides) - some seemingly strange jockey arrangements here - Marcus on Royal Charger, Naude on the Matchett trained Sonic Gang, Simons on Super Red - load up
R8: S'ilvous Plait looks the right one after an impressive maiden win - however comes into a MR 88 straight off a maiden win, so 1/1 not great odds imo - for those looking for cover in the P6, include the Woodruff, Marwing and Matchett couplings
R9: Europa Point a filly against colts and has a wide draw to boot; really tough task here imo; Surfing Safari ran only 1.5 lengths behind Black Wing in March - so has the ability and with Striker in the irons must go close at best; Botes confident on USO about the chances of Mabuko Spirit, Finvarra a lightly raced 4 yr old son of Fort Wood for our friend Orange - so plenty of improvement still possible and coupled in the P6 with Millennium Wind, who is not chanceless either, and Al Felon has place credentials again
Play well
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