I see Lockheed Jetstar won't be running - pity because he really seemed a little bit special when he won his maiden; noce card imo where a few races look stratightforward while others look more complicated; thoughts:
R1: Come With Me looks a pointer after Mary's Pride followed up on Saturday; I make the danger Mega Lee Cha who ran a fair race last time when supported in the betting; respect the money for the Woodruff trained Fanzene, while Dazzling Moon and Pirate's Bounty have quartet chances imo
R2: This lies between Tap Tap Mahkatini, Disco Boy and Pessoa - hard for me to separate them; Platoon should still improve and has a quartet chance
R3: Sharp Design backed last time on sand - not sure how he will go on the turf; stable companion Captain Joe made a fair debut and Mienie has also taken the other Ferraris rides on the night. so may be the right one of the two; Torman is very moderate but could place in this field and Sir Swayze may have needed his last run and must have chance on his first two efforts; Top Priority comes back to sprinting anc has a quartet chance
R4: Thunder Strike has beaten Borodino by almost 4 lenghts, so the betting seems wrong to me, especially as there is no reason why TS should not improve further over the 2000; Janus Man also tries further and could also improve further this trip, and Black Aces comes off a good last run and seems good value for trifectas and quartets
R5: Potala Palace the obvious one, however this is probably a prep run and he should prefer more ground - I think Danny's Dream is on the upgrade and could give PP something to think about
R6: Conditions plate where both Link Man and Shea Shea returns after the KZN season - Link Man has beaten Shea Shea twice over 1450 and 1600 meters, LM has run well after a rest before and with Delpech coming to take the ride, I think LM will beat SS again - spanner in the works could be Moroccan who is 3 from 3 over this trip and has had a recent run - but he may be better on softer ground and there certainly is no sign of rain today
R7: Lowly fillies and mares handicap - tailormade for an upset - I like Canta Libre, Spanish Angel and Reigning Ruby, but they have all drawn towards the inside (and to me it looked on Saturday that the better going was on the middle and outside) so consider the chances of Azanian Magic (lightly raced so could stil improve) and Tempano (both drawn towards the outside) for the PA
R8: Another fillies and mares handicap - this time over ground - to close; the two that stand out for me are Avenue of Gold (who beat Turkish Delight - a winner twice since - by more than 5 lenghts) and Micro Jet, who had excuses in her last start; after these I think The Tiger's Sun (she finished in front of Avenue of Gold and now gets weight from her - but that was over shorter) and Tigress could fill up the quarted positions - not too sure about the strength of Amarantine's maiden win
So best bets for me would be Come With Me and Link Man; value bets (place chances at good odds) Black Aces, Danny's Dream and The Tiger's Sun
Play well.
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