Kenilworth Wed 25th

Magi Wrote:

---

> hmmmm, fluked a good one ....
>
> Trifecta
>
> HORSE RACING > KENILWORTH
> Race 2
> 25-Apr-2012 13:30
> [1, 4, 7, 11]/[1, 4, 7, 11]/[1, 4, 7, 11]
> Type: Boxed
> Combinations 24

Good one Magi(tu)

Looking rather Dull

Thanks OR.... when I don't have a strong fancy it is my R30 bet... swinger boxed and trifecta boxed.

I will have a place bet on Trizas now @ 12/10 in the last as I was impressed with the run of Blarney Bay

saldiani Wrote:

---

> haha far too late, englander, yur chance has
> passed already.
> he gave us a 20-1 shot
>
> Englander Wrote:
>

---

>

---

> > Did anyone hear Justin Snaith's comments
> regarding
> > his other runners... any decent chances?

haha Saldiani, who needed to hear...?

Jet Supreme @ 20/1
£6.50 EW Single 25/04/2012 12:20:04 13.00 169.00
Jet Supreme @ 20/1
£2.50 Single 25/04/2012 12:17:01 2.50 52.50

Lucky_Dude Wrote:

---

> Trip Poker = Money in my pocket Saldiani &
> Englander

LD - pleased for you -D but still prefer Jet Supreme above and

Island Flyer
7.8 £8.00 £54.40
8.2 £2.00 £14.40
8.8 £8.65 £67.47

Bit more value

Agra , winner in kenilworth 5 , even a place will do:

Have double from Island Flyer going on Little Brianne...

INFULLFLIGHT Wrote:

---

> Agra , winner in kenilworth 5 , even a place will
> do:

Sent him an email, heres hoping (tu)

Sorry fellas, nothing for the Cape.

Heard the phrase - " winners know when to stop"

Haha

Sunday
1st four races -then Stop

Last night
1st 4 races then stop.


Next bet/s Saturday and Sunday
We fire then.

agra Wrote:

---

> Sorry fellas, nothing for the Cape.
>
> Heard the phrase - " winners know when to stop"
>
> Haha
>
> Sunday
> 1st four races -then Stop
>
> Last night
> 1st 4 races then stop.
>
>
> Next bet/s Saturday and Sunday
> We fire then.


will need the first 4 winners there as well mate (tu)

Some betting theory for Englander and Saldiani...

Favourite-longshot bias


From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

In gambling and economics, the favourite-longshot bias is an observed phenomenon where on average, bettors tend to overvalue "long shots" and undervalue favourites. That is, in a horse race where one horse is given odds of 2-to-1, and another 100-to-1, the true odds might for example be 1.5-to-1 and 300-to-1 respectively. Betting on the "long shot" is therefore a much worse proposition than betting on the favourite. Various theories exist to explain why people willingly bet on such losing propositions, such as risk-loving behavior, or simply inaccurate estimation as presented by Sobel and Raines.[1]