Kenilworth Wed 25th

dead cert to place

it's a rematch between Brilliant Cut and Spy glass, SG to come out tops again......

IFF

It will not be the first four but four alright.

G&T either going to be a pace setter (normally runs much longer races) or R.Fourie is going to run away from the field. Start to finish or else no G&T tonight :)o

Polo Lounge e/w

casa bravo place

Lucky_Dude Wrote:

---

> Some betting theory for Englander and Saldiani...
>
> Favourite-longshot bias
>
>
> From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
>
> In gambling and economics, the favourite-longshot
> bias is an observed phenomenon where on average,
> bettors tend to overvalue "long shots" and
> undervalue favourites. That is, in a horse race
> where one horse is given odds of 2-to-1, and
> another 100-to-1, the true odds might for example
> be 1.5-to-1 and 300-to-1 respectively. Betting on
> the "long shot" is therefore a much worse
> proposition than betting on the favourite. Various
> theories exist to explain why people willingly bet
> on such losing propositions, such as risk-loving
> behavior, or simply inaccurate estimation as
> presented by Sobel and Raines.[1]

LOL! touche LD -D and all no doubt true but you still won't get me backing an odds-on horse in SA as a single except in extreme cases. If it works for you great, but leaving them well alone works for me

Englander Wrote:

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>
> haha Saldiani, who needed to hear...?
>
> Jet Supreme @ 20/1
> £6.50 EW Single 25/04/2012
> 12:20:04 13.00 169.00
> Jet Supreme @ 20/1
> £2.50 Single 25/04/2012 12:17:01 2.50 52.50


Very nice Englander.... you in fine fettle at present.

donbetright Wrote:

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> G&T either going to be a pace setter (normally
> runs much longer races) or R.Fourie is going to
> run away from the field. Start to finish or else
> no G&T tonight :)o


Comes from off the pace. They are running on nicely so I included him in a medium swinger bet ... 7x8x9x11 boxed.

Magi Wrote:

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> donbetright Wrote:
>

---

>

---

> > G&T either going to be a pace setter (normally
> > runs much longer races) or R.Fourie is going to
> > run away from the field. Start to finish or
> else
> > no G&T tonight :)o
>
>
> Comes from off the pace. They are running on
> nicely so I included him in a medium swinger bet
> ... 7x8x9x11 boxed.

In that case heres hoping its got extra gas in the tank (tu)

donbetright Wrote:

---

> Magi Wrote:
>

---

>

---

> > donbetright Wrote:
> >
>

---

>
> >

---

> > > G&T either going to be a pace setter
> (normally
> > > runs much longer races) or R.Fourie is going
> to
> > > run away from the field. Start to finish or
> > else
> > > no G&T tonight :)o
> >
> >
> > Comes from off the pace. They are running on
> > nicely so I included him in a medium swinger
> bet
> > ... 7x8x9x11 boxed.
>
> In that case heres hoping its got extra gas in the
> tank (tu)

Maybe another day, Magi any fancy in the last?

Magi Wrote:

---

> Englander Wrote:
>

---

>

---

> >
> > haha Saldiani, who needed to hear...?
> >
> > Jet Supreme @ 20/1
> > £6.50 EW Single 25/04/2012
> > 12:20:04 13.00 169.00
> > Jet Supreme @ 20/1
> > £2.50 Single 25/04/2012 12:17:01 2.50 52.50
>
>
> Very nice Englander.... you in fine fettle at
> present.

Nah Magi, truth is I heard Snaith's comments on the horse just before the sat link went I was asking if he'd mentioned any others!
very disappointed with LB, had both Jet S and Island Flyer in e/w doubles with it, also Oceans Edge from the first... so often the one you like the most lets you down!