Vaal Sand Thursday

Discuss the days racing below (tu)

R110 000 gift to a big owner

I have had a look through the card and only one Winner jumps out and that comes in Race 2 No 1 Mr Tobin , meets SAYADAW on level terms for a 11 length beating and XILOMANTE 4kg better off for a 13length beating, Should Cruise in.

Is Tarry pulling a UK move? Didn't Var Light get beat by Tayba yesturday in Scots?
Prices up at 7/10 tomorrow with Delpech up!?any1 know if it will be scratched?

ItsAllOver Wrote:

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> I have had a look through the card and only one
> Winner jumps out and that comes in Race 2 No 1 Mr
> Tobin , meets SAYADAW on level terms for a 11
> length beating and XILOMANTE 4kg better off for a
> 13length beating, Should Cruise in.


Thats my point should be 1/10

Striker treble
Mr Tobin
Neurose
Sermon
....

Hopefully this blind squirrel has found a couple of fresh peanuts - will double check before sharing (tu)

Lookls an GREAT card guys...VALUE wise...HONEYVIEW and SWEET CANDY in the same race....SC is Beautifully bred for the sand....

i think Mr Premier will give mr Tobin a run for his money.

Mr Tobin opened 1/6 and Hollywood are offering a stretch at 2/10!

VAAL SAND FACTS and FIGURES

COURSE VARIATIONS (CV) expressed in seconds per 1000m
29 MAY…0.40 FAST
24 MAY…0.90 FAST
10 MAY…1.80 FAST
24 APR…..0.70 FAST (Abandoned after 6 races)
05 APR.… 1.10 SLOW
27 MAR….1.10 SLOW
15 MAR.…0.50 FAST
01 MAR….0.50 FAST
16 FEB…..1.00 SLOW
31 JAN…..1.00 SLOW
19 JAN…..0.80 SLOW
12 JAN…..0.70 FAST

The first race regularly produces a cv figure significantly faster than any other race on that day, before the course settles / is settled down.

BARRIER DRAWS

The ‘going’ (cv’s) does not appear to affect draw statistics.

1000m – middle/lower draws now most favourable (3-.
1200m – lower draws remain most favourable (1-6).
1450m – lower draws remain most favourable (1-6).
1600m – no distinct advantage.
1800m – no distinct advantage.

The biggest change over the last few years has been in the 1000m races…high draws no longer hold an advantage.

Whilst low draws remain favourable in the 1200 + 1450m races this advantage is not as significant as it used to be.

Running styles of the horses involved, along with past performances on the sand-relative to favourable/unfavourable draws, can be helpful when making selections.

Speed ratings for main contenders with previous Vaal Sand form –

RACE 1
Brantwood 69, Handsome Dancer 64
RACE 2
Mr.Tobin 119, Ryan’s A Lion 105, Sayadaw 101, BouQuet-Garni 99
RACE 3
Festive Interlude 72, My Chelsey Girl 69, Queen Star 60, Stephanie 60
RACE 4
Class Captain 90, American Gangsta 90, World Record 90, Gun Powder 89
RACE 5
Hen Party 95, To Remember 89, National Danzig 84, Quick on the Draw 84
RACE 6
La Negrita 87, Ask Me 85, Rum’n Sugar 83, Velvet Jar 83
RACE 7
Returnee 92, Rulesofengagement 88, Dual Alliance 88, Holy Smoke 86
RACE 8
Key Word 90, Iron Legend 89, Berrymiller 88, Roll Call 88
RACE 9
Sermon 100, Kruger Gold 95, Combera Boy 94, Leprecorns Gift 94

Happy Horseplaying…a very tricky raceday, difficult to find a PA banker.