How to spot an overlay?

Do you guys have any gems on how to spot a genuine overlay in the betting markets?

do your own tissue,any prices above your own = value

learn your betting percentages

"do your own tissue"... In English please.

Probably means create your own betting line.

do your own prices

"do your own prices" Easier said than done. Can any of you offer any advice on how to create your own prices then.

1st you have to become a really competent handicapper

Easier said than done

and then?

Lets do a mythical 8 runner race,if all horses were equal each horse would have 12.5 % chance of winning.Which means
each horse has a 7/1 chance of winning.Now you need add a percentage for each positive value of every runner.
If you use the following form elements,going,distance,class,OR,course,trainer form and jockey form we will give 1 point
to each positive
If a horse ticks all boxes you will be adding 7% onto your original 12.5,thus making say horse A 9/2 shot.
Having established this as your fancy you hope it opens up at a larger price,if it is shorter than 9/2 you leave alone.
Your basically looking for something over priced in your own assessment

davetheflower Wrote:

---

> Lets do a mythical 8 runner race,if all horses
> were equal each horse would have 12.5 % chance of
> winning.Which means
> each horse has a 7/1 chance of winning.Now you
> need add a percentage for each positive value of
> every runner.
> If you use the following form
> elements,going,distance,class,OR,course,trainer
> form and jockey form we will give 1 point
> to each positive
> If a horse ticks all boxes you will be adding 7%
> onto your original 12.5,thus making say horse A
> 9/2 shot.
> Having established this as your fancy you hope it
> opens up at a larger price,if it is shorter than
> 9/2 you leave alone.
> Your basically looking for something over priced
> in your own assessment

(tu)

thanks Dave....(tu)