Arlington Monday 22/7/13

Discuss the meeting below....

Surround Sound is fit and well but a poor draw ,fingers crossed

Boys Girls Distance MR
R1 1000 63-40 +
R2 1300 63-40 +
R3 1800 66-44
R4 1600 60-42+
R5 1600 68-51
R6 1000 105-71
R7 2000 73-57
R8 1400 71-49

general bkdown of an excellent card.Full marks to EC Racing.Should have mentioned # runners as well.Hope it helps one way or the other

My post didn't go as planned.Meant to show races 4/5 as for the girls

R4: 5-4-6-8
R6: 1-3-2-5
R8: 11-5-9-8 (* wide open)

All the best for tomorrow Bob, unfortunate draw. (tu)

All the Sham runners seem to be on the wrong end of the draws.

JP will be at his best tomorrow. Unfortunately with a small string like ours if you don't run when you get bad draws you may never run at all!! However we do seem plagued with the wrong numbers...

All the best to Dave and Bob, hope the nerves hold out..

Cheers guys need a wee financial injection

Yup, think it will be difficult for the Shams but hope they at least give a good account (tu)

I think the Tara Laing stable is a big player tomorrow and she could do well in a very competitive card. I must be mad but have attempted a brief overview of my thoughts, I do like a few of the more fancied ones but there is no doubt value to be found somewhere... please let me know if you find it!

R1 Some very tight form-lines and there are a few likely candidates. I'm going with Stallone though the trainer form is something of a concern. The horse also tends to tire late so hoping Wayne can help find that little extra required. If Jason Of Argonaut had a better record from the stalls I may have changed allegiance but any sluggishness at the start may cost him first, I'll go with him and Legatee to fill the places.

R2 Draw important over 1300 but none with any great form imo. Bertie's Weekly and After The Carnival drop in distance but should be thereabouts. I'll go with Kirkby Ninja though in the hope that from a good draw he can confirm the improvement shown last time out.

R3 Norvic back on good ground and from a decent draw looks like he could be the right one with both trainer and jockey in form. Plenty of potential rivals but the main dangers could be Grayson and Red Reserve, the latter appealed strongly but the distance may just be too short and is second run after a rest. Two at big prices that could show up a lot better than their recent form might suggest are Hurricane Hunter and Aspen Tree.

R4 Butterfly Child and Estrella have the two widest draws and though both are by no means out of it, the draw gives an advantage to Tara Laing's Daresay and Gibraltar Express who each have fairly good draws. Daresay has disappointed to an extent but with Muzi up from the 3 box this could finally be his day. GE has the inform BV up and is likely to be there at the death. I have a slight concern with the drop in trip for Bob n the Shams Sound Surround who is also drawn badly, will be interested to read Dorrie's comments. Lucky Lear is likely to be the better of the Bass runners with Impressef drawn badly but don't discount the latter back on good ground. Katrushka might have needed the last run and, drawn 2, is another who could improve. If his price drifts then I may nibble. Should Mystic Falls get a run then I may need to look again!

R5 Princessjacqueline looks to have a very decent chance on form but the price is skinny imo for a horse drawn 13 in what appears another competitive race. Mega Miel is often thereabouts as is Diva Taahirah who is now back to her favoured course. La Salle has again drawn badly but won her penultimate start from the worst draw and stable confidence may again lead me to side with her. If not, then the one that appealed most as an e/w is Diamond Emblem who has an ok draw and for the most part has been running consistently well of late. There are a few others who, if they wake up in the mood, could take the spoils and of the bigger priced ones I'll probably nibble at Mark Of The Divine, all records are poor, the trainer form could be better, the horse appears far from consistent and comes back from a 19 week rest. But, she has put in some very creditable efforts which are much better than the bare facts suggest and she went very close last time she returned from a rest despite a saddle slip.

Just lost the next three race write-ups to the depths of my computer so going to summarise quickly as obviously a bit p1ssed off now! lol

R6 Two horse race for me and I take Icemberg to collar London Perfect late on with African Alliance for the trifecta.

R7 I could simply state they are all in with a chance. I've settled though on Big Winter Chill e/w. I'm ignoring the last run on the assumption it was too far and he has close form-lines with some (including Strike A Light) on the runs with Drumminor, with the appie up he now has a weight advantage plus runs from poll position. With two top 3s in 3 course runs including a win over c/d I think BWC will go close. For the places I'll take SAL to continue running close with BWC and the other I'll go with an idiot and hope that the outsider of the field, Velocity One, enjoys the drop in trip on his favoured course. On his only c/d run he finished with silver and overall has two golds and three silvers in nine course runs.

R8 Another highly competitive contest and again I think the Laing runners, Laurie's Dancer and Hostile Takeover, are likely to be thereabouts. The places though may go to the Greef runners, Riveret and Dancinginthedesert. For the win, I like Pure Honey. Good draw in 2, returns to his winning distance of three runs back and also has a third in his two c/d runs. Muzi is up and although PH has been running well, I think he may improve a little again with a return to good going.

Be(s)t of luck to all (tu)

Insights from an uninformed amateur .. Race 1
Don’t know How Stallone will perform after the rest, but on form I like him. National Al I don’t trust, and could place but don’t think it will win. The mentalist Is maybe a better hope to fight it out with Stallone. Legatees third doesn’t inspire much confidence to me, but I will be keeping an eye on Counting house and Nile Symphony.
3-14-1-4

Race 2
After the carnival is my bet for the race, very unlucky to still be a maiden and may just be good enough for this field. It may be a bit to short for Berties weekly, but I will give him a chance after a descent first run on Fairview, I suppose experience may count in his favour. I rather watch Kirkby ninja for now. Ready for springs improvement in the last may give him a shout. Silver ace was just behind After the carnival on 5 july and could improve further.
2-14-1-3

Race 3
Norvic looks like he’s coming along the right way and may improve further to take this. Sky raider made dramatic improvement in the last, but im always cautious to see the follow up first. Golden Rorkus is consistent and can place here. Grayson may be the biggest danger to Norvic.
1-6-3-2

Race 4
Tough race but Im leaning towards daresay to take this on previous performances. Butterfly child must be in contention with the Greef Randolph combination. I like Arctic Desert as I think if it improves it may be thereabouts. Gibraltar express may make it 3 4ths in a row. Ill also be on the look out for katrushka and Estrella but im slightly cautious about them.
5-10-6-8

Race 5
I like La Salle in her current form with Descent weight and descent times. It may be too short for Princess Jaqueline but she should be in contention. I think Diamond emblem can fight this one out if you ignore the last run. Singana might sneak into the quartet
8-2-4-16

Race 6
Should be between Icemberg and London Perfect, but I will go for Icemberg to take this. Galileo’s destiny also has a shout. With African alliance in the quartets.
1-3-2-5

Race 7
Ming warrior looks like descent value on current form and weight and may win this. Soweto Dawn ran on well on 1600 and may like the extra ground. Vail should also be in contention with good performances on c&d. Maximo could be anything and could shake things up.
14-9-8-5

Race 8
Riveret drops in class and although high in weights got Randolph on and could contest the finish. Dancing in the desert hasn’t been far off and may shape here. This Could also bring pure honey into contention with Yeni on board. If lauries dancer can handle the weight he may be thereabouts.
4-9-11-5

Good Luck all.

Nice summary TonyB, thanks for some confidence boosters (tu)

Englander Wrote:

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> Nice summary TonyB, thanks for some confidence
> boosters (tu)


Hahaha thanks meneer, I was thinking the same, I was relieved to see correlations with the more experienced members such as yourself's summary! Lets Hope It works out for all!(tu)

Place Multiple @41/1
ARLINGTON Race 1 STALLONE Place 0.96 2400.00 2500.00 104763.90 - Active
ARLINGTON Race 2 AFTER THE CARNIVAL Place 0.88 4312.00 4900.00 104763.90 - Pending
ARLINGTON Race 3 NORVIC Place 1/5 2653.06 9212.00 104763.90 - Pending
ARLINGTON Race 4 DARESAY Place 0.72 8542.84 11865.06 104763.90 - Pending
ARLINGTON Race 5 LA SALLE Place 8/10 16326.32 20407.90 104763.90 - Pending
ARLINGTON Race 7 MING WARRIOR Place 1.92 70529.69 36734.21 104763.90 - Pending