Bingo Jottings Races 1-6

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Bingo Jottings Races 1-6

11 years 7 months ago
#405400
As ever, please post comments/selections on the daily thread rather than here... no apologies for the selections being short in the market, just can't see the bigger priced ones today and all done before prices put up...

RACE 1 - 1000 MAIDEN

1 EXTREME DREAM - Rugg/Brown. Two thirds in his 6 c/d runs and is consistently not too far off, not being beaten more than 8.25l in his 10 c visits with a second, 4 thirds and 4 fourths. Likely to be thereabouts but may again find one or two better.

2 OLD DEUTERONOMY - Visser/W'man. One 3rd in 17 career starts, 5 on course, Big drop in d but well beaten in debut run in only previous d attempt. Hard to see him winning but always weary of the stable.

3 ROCK 'N ROLLA - Rugg. Not finished closer than 11.1l to the winner in 7 career runs, 3 on c. Drops back in d. Seemingly not stable elect and hard to see him featuring in the finish.

4 BEACH BAR - Miller/MVR. Silver three times in 4 c/d runs and closely matched with ED, finishing 0.5l ahead of that rival in the run behind Mopoggo. Has to have at least an equal chance.

5 SECRET DELIGHT - 2 3rds in 4 c/d runs but well behind ED and/or BB in his last 3 runs.

6 HONOLULU EXPRESS - Well behind ED and BB in his only effort over this d when beaten 15l by Mapoggo. Beaten over 30l in his other 4 c runs. Could be a binoculars ride.

7 ECO KING - Lost 4/5l at the start in his only run and ended up beaten 40l over 1200.

8 NEW CIRCLE - Debut. Nothing in the breeding to indicate she will enjoy the surface. Appie takes weight off. Watching brief.

9 OPTIMUS PRIME - Miller. Seemingly not stable elect. Beaten 24l on debut over c/d and then beaten 40l over 1200 following a 27 week rest.

10 FIVE RINGS - Spies/Chambers. Only visit to the c saw a 1l defeat over 1400 back in July 2012. Has run respectably though on the Vaal sand since. 3rd in last 3 runs including the 2 most recent over 1000 on the turf. Likely to be very competitive.

11 LIVE A LEGACY - Not closer than 18.1l of the winner in 4 c runs.

12 RUSALKA OPERA - Debut. Nothing in the breeding to indicate she will enjoy the surface. Watching brief.

13 CLOUD RUNNER - Visser/Khumlo. Debut. Nothing in the breeding to indicate she will enjoy the surface but a combo to be "respected". Watching brief but possible small idiot e/w if a big price.

14 VEGAS LASS - Debut. Nothing in the breeding to indicate she will enjoy the surface. Trainer form poor.

15 SCIENTIST - Reserve. 4 2nds and 5 thirds in his 37 attempts to leave the maidens. Only came to Bingo two runs back though and has been second and third, both over 1200. The winner, 2nd and 4th from his last run have won since. Drops back in d and if that suits then a lively contender.

FIVE RINGS x BEACH BAR x EXTREME DREAM


RACE 2 - 1000 H'CAP-77

1 PRINCESS ALBERTA - Spies/Chambers. Good recent form including a 3rd on the Vaal sand and a similar finishing position in a very competitive race over c/d. Has a 2-0-1 record here in 4 runs with the two top 3s coming over c/d. Looks very much the one to beat and though not a certainty, I expect her to win.

2 MAGNOLIA PARK - Miller. 4l behind Victoria Park lto over 1200 when on second run after a 40 week rest and seems much better suited to the 1000. Has a 1-1-1 record in 6 c/d runs and if at her best is not without a chance.

3 TOBE'S LASS - Spies. Has a decent overall record of 4-3-0 in 14 c runs and is 2-1-0 in 7 c/d efforts but recently has disappointed and her 8.5l defeat on turf lto was the closest she has been to the winner in her last 7 runs, on varying surfaces and distances. A return to form would see her competitive but seemingly not stable elect and can be no more than a watching brief for me in current form.

4 WINTER FROST - Rugg. Not on formgrids but won MR66 lto. Was beaten 9l by PA on c debut 4 runs back but has seemingly improved since. Was 0.35l ahead of Victoria Park in penultimate, is now 2kgs worse off but latest was better so may confirm.

5 AMOROSO - Spies. Seemingly not stable elect. Comfortable win on sand debut 3 runs back but finished 2nd last and last in her two subsequent runs. Appie up allowing her to run off a very low weight but looks well held by a few.

6 LA FLAMME - His 1-3-0 record in 6 c/d runs is tarnished a little by the fact that they all came in her first 4 runs as a maiden. Although has a silver over 1200 since has struggled for the most part in her 4 runs since. Was 1.5l behind WRW lto and is now 2kgs worse off. Unlikely.

7 VICTORIA PARK - Beaten 4.6l on sand debut in penultimate over this d and then went down by 2.75l over 1200 lto. Two fair efforts and better off at the weights with WTW and HTW with on run behind Theory in penultimate but trainer form is a huge concern.

8 HAIL THE WIND - Visser/Khumalo. Was returning from an 11 week rest when splitting WTW and VP on sand debut, now 2kg and 4kg worse off respectively with those rivals. Reported not striding out when well behind VP lto. Given the return from a rest and the excuse lto, not to mention the stable, would not come as a big surprise if showing improvement here.

PRINCESS ALBERTA x MAGNOLIA PARK x HAIL THE WIND


RACE 3 - 1400 H'CAP-74

1 VESTAL VIRGIN - Sham. Capable on her day but disappointing recent form although seemingly better lto when 6th beaten 5.75l over 1600. Will need to show a consistent return to form though before I will get involved.

2 TUDOR STAR - Sham/W'man. Behind stablemate VV lto over 1600 but drop in distance and a better draw should see a better showing. Very closely matched with Gypsy Fair on their last meeting over 1200 with both finishing strongly and only 0.05l separating them. GF gets a 1kg pull and may not have to go as wide. Gf also finished 2.75l ahead of TS on the latter's c debut and no change to the weight differential. Despite that, I think TS has improved since that debut run and in the run-in over 1200 TS may have had to check slightly. Her record of 2-1-0 is better than that of GF and she may yet prove the stronger over the 200 more. Chance.

3 GYPSY FAIR - Lto was pipped by TS as mentioned above as was their previous meeting. Her 0-3-1 record in 9 c/d runs suggests though that she may lack a little late over this d. Nevertheless, definitely comes here with a chance.

4 WINGS OF AN ANGEL - Visser/Yeni. Two wins, two 2nds and a 4th in her last 5 runs over 1200-1600 and all with Muzi aboard, winning both c/d runs. Despite being reported as not striding out and a wide draw lto still finished a decent 1.25l 2nd over 1600. Though slightly up in class has a good draw in 3 and must have a very good chance if everything is on the level.

5 SWIFT BOW - Miller/MVR. Much improved lto on 3rd c run when beaten 5.25l by WOAA over c/d having been a distant spectator in first two c efforts. The 1.5kg pull though should be insufficient to see the form overturned but could be fighting for places despite having the widest draw of the 9 runners.

6 DESERT BREEZE - Von W. Beaten 6l on sand debut when drawn 14/14 over 1200 following a 12 week rest but somewhat disappointing lto when 3.75l behind WOAA (not striding and now better drawn) over 1600. Especially given WOAA's "excuses" in that race hard to see the form being reversed despite 3rd run after a rest, 1 box and trainer in very good form but place prospects.

7 DUCHESS CATHERINE - Woner maiden over c/d 3 runs back and is 1-1-0 in 2 attempts over c/d but beaten 15l and 13.75 in her last two, both over 1500, looks well held and hard to see her challenging for places in this field.

8 FANTASY HOSTESS - Not within 11l of the winner in 7 runs since her maiden success and should be one watching from the cheap seats as the winner crosses the line.

9 IZAANAZAMA - Spies. Not within 11l of the winner in 3 c runs in sprint and can't see any obvious reason why the step up to 1400 will bring about the required improvement. Should not win.

WINGS OF AN ANGEL x TUDOR STAR x GYPSY FAIR


RACE 4 - 1400 MAIDEN

1 YANKEE MASTER - Disqualified on debut run but as far as I could make out from the replay was well beaten and finished down the field. If he wants to be competitive over 200 further then he will have to improve... a lot.

2 ALL THE ONES - Beaten 14.5l over 1600 on c debut lto. Was drawn wide that day and with a better draw and appie taking weight off then likely to improve over 1400

3 JACOBUS MAXIMUS - Visser/Yeni. Better effort on second c run when a 4.5l 6th over 1200 lto. Was not the strongest field but given he was drawn 13/13 and may be better suited to this trip and has a much better draw then, especially given the stable, best not ignored. Has 1.25l to find with Ilisabetta on that run.

4 NICK OF TIME - Beaten 34l over 1800 on c debut lto. Drawn wide in 10 and trainer does not inspire confidence in the meganormous improvement required happening.

5 MORPHEUS ECSTASY - Miller. Sand debut. Nothing in the breeding to confirm he will love the surface and seemingly not stable elect. Good draw in 4 but no more than a watching brief for me.

6 ISABULL - Beaten 12l (8.75l behind Ilisabetta) on c debut when drawn 12/13 over 1200. Draw unkind again here in 13/13 and highly unlikely to feature.

7 KING OF THE CASTLE - Miller/MVR. Sand debut Showed little in 5 turf runs and nothing in the breeding to suggest he will improve here. Stable elect but though a combination never to be ignored and he is on 3rd run after a rest, a watching brief is probably best especially with the 11 box.

8 MR SEVEN - Rugg/Brown. Sand debut Showed little in 3 turf runs and nothing in the breeding to suggest he will improve here. Alhough a combination not to be ignored a watching brief is probably best especially with the 12 box and coming off a 14 week rest.

9 TUITIRA - Well behind a couple of these lto and 7.25l over 1000 is the closest he has been to the winner in 10 c runs. Unlikely to improve that statistic here and someone might want to give the jockey a pocket tv to watch the finish.

10 GEMMA - Consistent recently having not been beaten more than 6.25l in her last 7 runs over various trips. Two 2nds, 3 3rds, a 6th and a 7th in those runs with a silver in her run, in that time, over the c/d. Somewhat incredibly she is the only one in the field of 13 to have run over c/d. The opposition has generally been weak and no franking of the form but she must have a good chance given her recent record and the weak field. The 9 draw won't help but Khumalo up.

11 ILISABETTA - Finished a 3.75l 4th (turf) in her only try at this d in 11 career runs so the step up in d could suit. 4th sand start and not beaten more than 4l in her three to date, two over 1000 and once over 1200 and in two of those runs she got silver and was staying on with a few of these rivals behind. Has to be a lively contender given the weak field and the 2 draw but as with the other potentials, not come up against the strongest of fields. Greyling stays on and whether that is a stable "plan" or Gunter has other ideas, read on... lol

12 VEGAS DIVA - There are (very very rare! lol) times that I think I deservedly named myself the idiot on ABC. And this is one of those times. There is just no way you should touch a Bill Human trained horse at the moment and my opinion of that fact has probably become evident in my recent scrawls. None against the man, and I genuinely hope things improve soon for him... so let's hope it starts here! Ok, I am only going to put it up as my R1 e/w idiot shout but it is a start. Breeding suggests there is a chance she will like the surface, Gunter up (unknown whether the stable decided to keep HG on Ilisabetta or Gunter requested this ride) and well drawn in 3 and up against what looks like a very mediocre field. So there we have it, the idiot has passed sentence on himself!! But, he will go down fighting as I am dragged off by the men in white coats, with incessant American-style chanting of "Go Bill Go!!!" lol

13 FELAN - Spies/Chambers. Beaten 10.75l, 13l (both 1000 and includes a silver) and 13l (1600 and 5,25l behind Gemma) which does not inspire confidence but a combo to be respected and may be suited by the drop in trip. Has achieved little in 8 career runs though and apart from a 1.75l third in a WR event on turf has not been within single figure lengths of the winner. Could improve in this field but hard to have a lot of confidence in her.

ILISABETTA x JACOBUS MAXIMUS x GEMMA x VEGAS DIVA


RACE 5 - 1800 H'CAP-64

1 GLAMAZON - Rugg/Brown. Back to form lto with a staying on 2l 3rd over 1600. Her three previous c visits had all seen double figure length defeats. Had 4 of these rivals behind in that latest run, Dreamwalker being closest only 1.5l further back and gets a 1.5kg pull. That said, over the additional 200 Glamzon may continue to have the edge. Decent enough draw in 5 and if confirming the improvement then has every chance.

2 TOP TALENT - Visser/W'man. Yet to impress in 4 c visits and 6l behind Glamazon lto. Is 4.5kg better off, has the 4 box and Gunter up. On face value should not win but, given the stable and her inconsistent form on the Vaal sand, I'll do an R1 e/w idiot again in the hope she goes well on the day.

3 ACTION BELLE - 14l behind Glamazon on c debut when returning from a 14 week rest. Won her maiden in penultimate on the Vaal sand over this d but hard to see such a large reversal of form so quickly. Not impossible but not very likely.

4 WOODLAND FIRE - Finished alongside TT lto having been off 9 weeks and prior to that ran a 1.5l 2nd to Ice Kitten over c/d when on 2nd run after a rest but is now 1kg worse off. If coming on for that last run then a chance but a form reversal with Glamazon unlikely for me. SCRATCHED

5 AVATAR DRAGON - Visser. Poor form in last 4 runs and beaten a long way in each and was 17l behind Glamazon on c debut lto. Hard to see her featuring.

6 ICE KITTEN - Overall form appears little better than mediocre and apart from the win over WF (7 runs back) has not finished in the top 3 in 5 other c/d runs. Appears to be quite well weighted and Muzi up (8 wins, 9 2nds in last 35 rides for trainer) must give her a chance but I am just not convinced she is good enough although she does seem to do better at this level.

7 DREAMWALKER - Sham. Gets a 1.5kg pull with Glamazon for 1.5l when they met over 1600 lto. Likely to be close between them again and was possibly delayed in starting her run last time as appeared to struggle for a clear passage. Good chance.

8 FLO RIDER - Not disgraced on c debut when a 5.75l 4th over 1400 and from a draw of 9/14 raced wide throughout. Winner (WOAA) was well clear but gaining towards the finish and only 0.5l off the 2nd at the line. Much better draw in 3 here and the appie continues to give her a low weight. The more I consider it the more I like her chances but the d is an unknown and thus a risk.

9 SILKEN SEA - Consistent performer with no double figure defeats in her last 9 runs and only outside of the top 4 once in her last 7 outings. That said, she has run in some very mediocre fields. Has the 1 box which will help and likely to plug on in her usual manner but, though in with a shout, likely to again find a couple too good.

10 BLUSHING GREY - One third in 8 c runs but rarely disgraced and likely to be the same again as she does seem held on a number of recent runs.

FLO RIDER x GLAMAZON x DREAMWALKER


RACE 6 - 1200 H'CAP-78

1 BREAKSPEAR - Rugg. Is 2-2-0 in 8 over c/d and both golds and one of the silvers have come in his last 4 runs. Was 4th lto though beaten 4.75l by King's Glory and though he has a 4kg pull, he was also 4.6l behind Chiovanni and that pull is only 2kg. Not without a chance but does look held.

2 KING'S GLORY - Rugg. 5-4-2 in 15 runs over c/d and rarely runs a bad one. Won lto against a few ot these but a 4.5 hike in the weights makes a repeat difficult, particularly Chiovanni who gets a 2kg pull for only a 0.15l defeat and the draw advantage is now very reversed.

3 MEMGHAR - Visser/Khumalo. Had been in fine form but disappointed last two and beaten 7l by KG over c/d in penultimate before suffering an 8,25l defeat over 1000. Only one win (2 2nds, 4 3rds) in 26 d runs and yet to finish in the top 3 in 5 over c/d. On those stats and recent form can't be recommended.

4 CHIOVANNI - Rugg/Brown. Is 2-1-1 in 4 c/d efforts and has been in excellent form of late with 2 convincing wins followed by 0.15l 2nd to KG when drawn 13/13. Gets a 2kg pull for that defeat and now has the 1 box while KG goes from 1 to 8. Others behind look held and he must have a big chance of returning to winning ways here.

5 WOZA FRIDAY - Miller/MVR. 1-1-2 in 6 c runs and 1-0-1 in 3 over c/d. 8.25l behind KG in penultimate when drawn 10/13 and likely to much improve with the 1 box and 4kgs better off but, as with others, may find Chiovanni a tougher proposition with only a 2kg pull. Also beaten 3l by Tripartite 5 runs back with a 2kg pull but then defeated that rival by 10l when Trip was drawn wide. Chance but will likely need to be at his best.

6 TRIPARTITE - A very respectable 5-1-2 in 18 c/d runs and not out of the top 3 in his last 5 over c/d. Was 3.25l behind Captivator in penultimate over 1400 and is 2kgs worse off. Better this d but 5 runs back was comfortably beaten 4.25l by Chiovanni over c/d and is only 1.5kgs better off and subsequently well beaten WF but was drawn widest in that run. Good enough not to be overlooked but has lengths to find.

7 AUTHENTICATED - Lucky H/Yeni. Consistent if uninspiring form on the Vaal sand and has 3 silver in 11 d runs. If he proves to have a preference for this c then has a decent chance with Muzi up.

8 CAPTIVATOR - Sham. Very decent c form despite having had the rough side of the draw in his three runs here, won easily on c debut over 1600 and has followed that up with two silvers over 1400. Possible he may find the 1200 a little sharp against some decent sprinters but an interesting contender and I have a feeling he will go well.

CHIOVANNI x CAPTIVATOR x WOZA FRIDAY

Tired now lol...

RACE 7 - TRANSCENDENT x DERBAAS x WIND AT YOUR BACK
RACE 8 - HERE I AM x STARFIRE x WEATHER EYE
RACE 9 - RESTRAINT OF TRADE x DUBAI DESTINATION x THUNDERSTREAK

Be(s)t of luck to all (tu)

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  • shrek
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Re: Re: Bingo Jottings Races 1-6

11 years 7 months ago
#405405
Thanks E, great write up again. Hopefully Flo Rider will make you Whistle all the way to the bank. :D

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  • saldiani
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Re: Re: Bingo Jottings Races 1-6

11 years 7 months ago
#405411
that makes it already interesting, if even u found only no-value-values. hard to believe, alll the favourites to win. but hard for punters... thx englandre and good luck. on these days one has to be very careful...

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