UK Thursday

Kempton Park


Race 1: 5. 20 – Jump Racing Here On Sunday Claiming stakes – class 6 – 3yo – 1m

Gabrial The Boss (USA) is the 2nd highest rated horse in the field and best in at the weights. He is a proven polytrack performer having completed a 4 timer at the end of last year. He has yet to win at this track but he does have placed form. he comes into this in decent heart having placed in his last 3 starts. He finished a length and a quarter in front of Zain Spirit (USA) last time out giving him weight so he should confirm the form on today’s terms. Taxiformissbyron arrives here in good form having won and placed twice on her last 4 starts all coming on turf. She is unbeaten at this track winning both starts over course and distance. She has a bit to find with Gabrial the Boss but she is in form and cannot be ruled out. Operation chariot (IRE) is the highest rated horse in the field and has by far the best form in the race from his juvenile year. He got within 2 lengths of Olympic Glory in a group 3 race at Goodwood but he hasn’t been in anything like the same form this year. He takes a huge drop in class and it will be interesting to see if he comes in for any support in the betting. Poitin got off the mark at the the 9th attempt last time out at Lingfield on turf. That was a very weak maiden though and she faces a tough ask at the weights.

Race 2: 5.50 – Download betvictor APP Nursery Handicap – class 4 – 2yo(0-85) – 1m

A cracking nursery with several of these in with claims. Spiritual Flame has improved with each run to get off the mark last time on her 3rd start, here over 7f. Her opening mark of 73 could well turn out to be lenient and she is one to consider. Hiking (USA) has won both starts to date on turf. She is stepping up in trip which is sure to suit. the form of her wins have taken some knocks but she is unbeaten and is sure to run her race. Edge (IRE) built on the promise shown in his first 2 starts to get off the mark last time at Chester beating subsequent winner Lincoln. He is making his polytrack debut which isn’t sure to suit. His sire Acclamation is only 11/187 for a 5.88% s/r over course and distance with his progeny. Adore is still a maiden after 3 runs and has 5 lengths to find with Crowley’s Law. Ryan Moore has chosen to ride Spiritual Flame which is a good guide to her chances. She is running off a lowly mark though and should prove to be better than a 67 rated horse in time. Crowley’s Law built on the promise she showed on debut to readily brush aside Adore last time out at Beverley. She is making her polytrack debut but being by Dubawi it should suit. Her opening mark doesn’t look harsh and she is one to consider seriously. Ninety Minutes (IRE) has improved with each run and broke his maiden here over 7f at the 3rd attempt. The form has taken a boost with 2nd winning next time. He is bred to stay the mile and another that needs considering. A really trappy race with several of these capable of progression. Hiking has done nothing wrong and has fair claims of remaining unbeaten. Ryan Moore has chosen to ride Spiritual flame which we feel is significant. My selection is Spiritual Flame at 11/2

Race 3: 6.20 – 325 Free Bet At Betvictor.com Maiden Auction Stakes – class 5 – 2yo – 7f

Moonspring (IRE) is more exposed than most but comes into this on the back of a 2nd last time over course and distance. She will have to improve again to land this but she isn’t ruled out. Copper Cavaliar has shown nothing in 2 runs so far and handicaps look more where his future lies. Beakers N Num Nums (IRE) makes some appeal on paper. She is by Ifraaj who has had a successful season as a sire and has a 20.63% s/r over course and distance with his progeny. Any sustained support in the betting has to be noted. W Jarvis also sends New Row who also makes some appeal on paper. She showed very little on debut but again any market support has to be noted. Christmas Wish has shown very little in 4 runs and will to take a step forward here to get involved. the market will point out those expected to run well. A difficult race to get involved in betting wise with so little form to go on. I anticipate a gamble on one of the Jarvis pair so we are going to take a chance on Beakers N Num Nums at 8/1

Why not change the thread to Dave jotting...

Race 4: 6.50 – Betvictor Back Of The Net Offer Maiden Stakes – class 5 – 2yo – 6f

Unless there is any significant support for any of the newcomers this looks a straight fight between Merletta and Potentate (IRE). Merletta is still a maiden after 4 runs but she has some fair form in the book. she finished 2 lengths behind Lucky Kristale in the Lowther and was beaten by a subsequent Group 3 winner last time out at Haydock. She is making her AW debut which should suit being by Ravens Pass. She sets the standard and is the one to beat. Potentate (IRE) shaped with promise on debut here over 7f finishing 2nd. The drop back in trip looks sure to suit and with progression likely he could give Merletta plenty to think about. Crafted (IRE) makes plenty of appeal on paper. He is by Shamardal who has a 23% s/r over course and distance with his progeny. A market watch is advised as Merletta sets a good standard so anything being strongly supported has to be noted. selection is Merletta at 11/10

Race 5: 7.20 – £25 Free Bet #Backofthenet Nursery Handicap – class 3 – 2yo(0-95) – 6f

Pure Amber (IRE) has hinted at ability in his maidens and is making his handicap debut of what could be a lenient mark. He is well drawn in stall 1 for one that likes to make the running. He is by Shamrdal so should appreciate the track. He has plenty to find with some of these but as we have seen over the years with runners form this yard a big step forward is not impossible. Musicora (IRE) is a course and distance winner breaking her maiden here on her 3rd run. She comes into this on the back of a win last time at Leicester ating subsequent winner State Anthem She is up 5lb in a hot race but she is going the right way and has to be considered. Dutch Interior was well backed on debut at Sandown but could only manage 4th. He made no mistake next time hough getting off the mark on his 2nd run here over 5f. The form has taken a couple of knocks but he is going the right way and it will be interesting to see how he fares in the betting in this much stronger race. Rosso Corsa has only won 1 of his 11 starts which came at Chester but he has been highly tried in all the big races and has some fair form in the book. He is making his AW and handicap debut off what doesn’t look a harsh mark and being by Footstepsinthesand he should have no problems on the surface. Meritocracy (IRE) broke his maiden here over 5f and is sure to run his race. He has been found out the last twice in lofty company but this is more realistic and he is not one to dismiss out of hand. Montaigne got off the mark at the 1st attempt here over 5f beating Meritocracy into 3rd. He comes into this having finished 4th on his next 2 starts both on turf and will need to improve to land this. he is still lightly raced though and a return to the AW is a positive. A tricky race tyo call with several progressive horses in the line up.The e/w value lies with Rosso Corsa at 13/2

Race 6: 7.50 – Follow Us On Twitter @Betvictor Handicap London Middle Distance Series Qualifier – class 3 – 3yo(0-90) – 1m3f

A really competitive race with several in with claims. Autun (USA) is up 5lb for nailing Jazz Master last time out over course and distance. This is a deeper race and he could of been better drawn but he is going the right way and warrants consideration. Theodore Gericault (IRE) broke his maiden on the AW on his 2nd start and looked a colt to follow winning of his first 3 races. His progress has stalled though of late and it will take a switch back to the AW to sprak him into life. He wasn’t beaten far last time at Warwick but this is a deeper race and he will need to improve to win. Soryah (IRE) is a progressive horse winning 2 of her last 3 races. She is up 4lb for winning last time out on turf and has to be considered whilst in this form. Majeed has won 1 of his 4 starts and although his form falls a little short of some he is lightly raced and open to progression. /is a course and distance winner and a consistent horse hitting the frame in 5 of his last 6 races. He doesn’t have anything in hand but he is sure to give his running. Duchess Of Seville built on the promise she showed on her first 2 starts to get off the mark at the 3rd time of asking at Wolves. She absolutely bolted up beating some useful horses by 8 lengths. She is stepped up in trip here which should suit. A trappy race to call but I'm going to stick with last time out winner Duchess Of Seville at 17/2

Race 7: 8.20 – Book Now For Christmas Festival Handicap – class 6 – 3yo(0-60) – 2m

Inherited arrives in form having placed in his last 4 races. He remains a maiden though after 10 runs and connections hope the step up in trip will makes the difference and turn these placed efforts into wins. Point Of Control has yet to live up to her price tag and is stepped up in trip in the hope of eking out some improvement. Hanga Roa (IRE) has every chance off a basement mark if able to transfer his NH form onto the level. Noor Al Haya (IRE) has been holding her form well prior to disappointing last time out at Warwick. She is a distance winner and she is one to consider if able to bounce back. Double Accord has shown nothing in 3 maiden runs but could be a different proposition now handicapping. He is stepped up in trip which is sure to suit. His sire Double Trigger has a 22% s/r over course and distance with his progeny. Bell’arte (IRE) has shown limited ability in 10 starts and was soon exited from Mark Johnstons yard. She is stepped up in trip which could make the difference, her sire Zamindar has a 42.86% s/r over course and distance with his progeny. Not a race to set the pulses racing quality wise and one to be careful in financially. Inherited is sure to be popular but she is by no means a certainty. At the prices i think that Double Accord and Bell’arte makes some e/w appeal with slight preference for Double Accord at 10/1

gregbucks Wrote:

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> Why not change the thread to Dave jotting...


Or Glenn's

Had a bad week,lying here with my throat slit..

davetheflower Wrote:

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> Or Glenn's


O don't be like that, take the credit...<

gregbucks Wrote:

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> O don't be like that, take the credit...<


I will if a couple win..-

Fliksta could suprise the odds on in the first

that didn't work then. This weather is doing my tits in as the flat should have been done and dusted already.

I need Olney Lass to win here to get my Lucky 15 off to a winning start

Fairweather Friend a nice each way chance at Uttoxeter

Rocky Reef at Brighton just needs to turn up imo to win