Turffontein 28/12/13

Haupie Wrote:

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> Pirhobeta Wrote:
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> > Haupie Wrote:
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> >

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> > > So what was Delpech trying flying from the
> 600?
> > > Suppose he knew what to expect from his mount
> > > going into the last 200?????
> >
> > some really strange runs by a few....I think
> the
> > pacesetter may have unsettled them....
>
>
> Yes, you may have a poiint, P. I think it was
> Striker who took Winning Leap to the front and
> entered the straight by 10 and still won by about
> 5. But that was years ago. And Striker is on the
> beach palying with his kid, not riding Winning
> Leap

And Winning Leap was not way out at the weights that day!!!

Lady Muffet...for some place value....

Haupie Wrote:

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> So what was Delpech trying flying from the 600?
> Suppose he knew what to expect from his mount
> going into the last 200?????


I agree - poor judgement; also Khumalo's ride on Cookie Monster was poor - neither would have won, but still poor riding imo

And now in the 8th, how come the 4 is the hot pot tote favorite :S

We are victims of the 3rd force><

going all or nothing. DDM to win it

Very tough race - and not one of these have shown that they really like soft conditions - possible train smash :S

Frodo Wrote:

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> Haupie Wrote:
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>

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> > So what was Delpech trying flying from the 600?
> > Suppose he knew what to expect from his mount
> > going into the last 200?????
>
>
> I agree - poor judgement; also Khumalo's ride on
> Cookie Monster was poor - neither would have won,
> but still poor riding imo
>
> And now in the 8th, how come the 4 is the hot pot
> tote favorite :S

Perhaps some ATC's into it???
The pools are not tiny and it is still short?!?!?!?

Frodo Wrote:

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> Haupie Wrote:
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>

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> > So what was Delpech trying flying from the 600?
> > Suppose he knew what to expect from his mount
> > going into the last 200?????
>
>
> I agree - poor judgement; also Khumalo's ride on
> Cookie Monster was poor - neither would have won,
> but still poor riding imo
>
> And now in the 8th, how come the 4 is the hot pot
> tote favorite :S

And plenty 12/1 on Betfair..............(often still a good pointer)

Ash Cloud
Lady Muffet

Mystic Tigress E/W

Top jocks remain top jocks...nice steady ride on Tresco...

Frodo Wrote:

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> Some thoughts (use it - don't use it)
>
> R2: Polar Palace needs to be above average to beat
> Solar Triptych on the latter's very good debut -
> News Flash best of the older runners.
>
> R3: Colby too short in the betting for a 3 yr old
> taking on her elders - but a PA banker; maybe
> Amaan could come back fresh to upset and the 5 yr
> old Galingale could still improve
>
> R4: Tough race - many with chances; for me
> Fantastic Mr Fox improving again and from a form
> stable will be right there; Vulcan's best form has
> been at the Vaal, so not for me, Memeza has good
> form this trip (last run under the lights the
> exception) and could place again - however stable
> has gone cold the last month or so; all of Dennis
> the Menace, Stavinsky and Cohiba in the race as
> well
>
> R5: Very tough race; I'm going with the runners
> that have shown a liking for the trip; so in no
> particular order I'm including Viking Hero,
> Nuggets and Torero Dancer; also can't ignore the
> money for Aurum Pot and while Jolly Good Sir has
> been better at the Vaal, he would have a chance as
> well if he could bring that form to Turffontein
>
> R6: Pinnacle Stakes where Ilha Bela (again) looks
> the part - won the Oaks very easily over the trip,
> so although that may not have been a strong field,
> it still shows that she gets the trip - the worry
> for me is that she has been on the boil now for a
> while and should have finished a lot closer last
> time in the Summer Cup; Silvous Plait often
> thereabouts and is suited to this trip, so should
> place again; Shimmering Gem on a line through Sky
> Rise could be better in here than it would appear
> looking at the ratings, is also suited to the trip
> and should also be right there, while Rhythmic
> Roxy is also not badly in - so must have a chance
> as well; Salutation inconsistent these days, but
> has a chance at best, while Menacing for me needs
> to show that he is effective over the 2450m
>
> R7: Novice plate, where Cookie Monster if able to
> repeat his run behind Gitiano, would have this
> field stone cold; has been struggling lately, but
> he has the ability and can't be ignored; Brad's
> Surge ran a great race behind Shadowofhissmile
> last time and looks great value at 25/1; Nicklaus
> apparently has a bit of a reputation, so no
> surprise to see him pop up; Mercado has not
> convinced me yet, but I do prefer him to his
> stable mate Lucky Luciano, Var Bay, Arkansas and
> Pegged for Glory
>
> R8: Difficult filles and mares handicap, where the
> spread in the weights bring a lot of runners into
> the race; first choice for me is Fortitude, who
> ran 3rd on Sunday over 1400 and will improve over
> the 1800; obvious chances to a lot of others
> including Tresco and Pinstripe Miss, while
> Imperial Empress off a low weight could make the
> trifecta/quartet pay
>
> R9: Suetan is improving after a rest and is my
> first choice; Sarge in Charge beat S last ime, so
> has an obvious chance as well; for me Taarish has
> a lost to find at these weights, so I prefer Cage
> Fighter for 3rd
>
> Enjoy (tu)

nice write up Frodo....(tu)