Turffontein Tues 11/2/14

PS Races 2,3,4

Winning_Post Wrote:

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> I think most will agree that JADE BAY and SHARP
> DESIGN look to fight out the 6th however (on form
> that is) is could be far more open than what first
> meets the eye. Firsty TOMMY GUN ran an absolute
> cracker from start to finish 02nd Feb which was in
> the soft and it's also he's 2nd run after a rest.
> SHE'S A STUNNER looks well in at the weights and
> is 7,50 kg's better off with SHARP DESIGN for a
> 2.75 length beating however SHARP DESIGN is having
> his 3rd run after a rest. MISS OCTOBER, KINEMATIC
> COUNTESS, MIDNIGHT SERENADE and RODEO DANDY look
> well beaten at the weights and they could find it
> tough against some of the heavy weights. That
> leaves us with CROWN GOLD, now before you laugh
> just have a look at his course and distance
> record, it's pretty decent and there was
> absolutely no disgrace in his last start when just
> stopping late the last 60 - 80m, however that was
> over 1160m, tonight CROWN GOLD back over his
> favorite 1000m trip is 5.50 kg's better off with
> SHARP DESIGN for a 3.25 length beating @ 33/1. For
> me probably the best EW chance on the card.

Well spotted, thanks for sharing with us WP....(tu)

Frodo Wrote:

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> Looking forward to tonight's meeting -only
> 'isolated thundershowers' predicted, so we should
> be good to go (tu)
>
> Sharp Design imo prefers softer condition, and I
> think the going will be too firm by tonight to see
> him at his best - so the others come into the
> race, especially Jade Bay and She's a Stunner, who
> looks to be well in in this handicap.
>
> Barring any 'first timer springers' the two
> juvenile races look to be 2 horse contests, in
> both I think the 2nd favorites in the market look
> the better value (Captured Wind and Snow Call)
>
> Best bet for me no doubt is the maiden Woodstock
> Express in the last, I liked his last run behind
> Turks Turban, he has a good draw (unlike his main
> rival Leeuloop Jet) and he also receives weight
> from LJ - can not believe that he is available at
> 9/1
>
> In the conditions plate (5th race), at first
> glance everything points to the 3 yr olds Forest
> Indigo and Lance, but l think that Meissa is
> better than his rating and off level weights (bar
> the allowance that FI is getting) with the 3 yr
> olds I think he is a runner; another who is very
> well in here, is Approachable and despite a wide
> draw, I would not fall off my chair should he run
> into the first 4

Further thoughts in addition to the above:

R1 and R2 - as stated above I prefer Captured Wind in the first (has now shortened in the betting) and Snow Call - imo Jo Malone needs lots of improvement (beaten 6 lengths by Green Crest, who in turn finished behind Snow Call)

R3: If Mary Stuart is not too badly in need of a run, I think she will have too much speed for these; Extra Zeros is better over 1200 and not much between the others (with the exception of Speed Dial who looks a no-hoper) - MS the value imo

R4: Mistaken Identity looks the right one, but much too short at 1/1 imo - African Goshawk worth another chance as her debut (when finding lots of money) was in the mud - and could put matters right tonight; also Wat's Up Sarge made a good debut in a fast run race - not to be ignored either

R5: Race of the night - I think Forest Indigo is rated too high, still prefer him to Lance, but not by much; however as stated above Meissa (I have him much higher than 86) and Approachable can't be ignored at these weights; also I don't think it is wise to ignore The Hangman - if returning to his form before his injury, he is in the one to beat

R6: The Tommy Hotspur imo will be fought by the top 4 in the weights - imo Sharp Design may be better on softer ground and Miss October obviously has to put her poor sand effort behind her, but not much to split them; for me (face awaiting the egg) Tommy Gun is not in this class as well as being out at the weights, while Crown Gold could maybe sneak into 4th should one of the top 4 fail; the pace here is going to be very fast, so maybe the two fillies could run the colts down from behind - another cracker of a race

R7: Weak maiden fillies where the 4yr old Veracruz does not have to be a superstar to win this; however being by Fort Wood out of Cholula, she is probably looking for further still. Obvious other two are Mrs Hancock, and Summertime - can't really see anything else

R8: As stated above I really fancy Woodstock Express here - imo he has run a few points above his rating when 2nd to Turks Turban, while I have some of the others like Empire of Fire and Steelwing running a few points lower than their ratings - I make the danger Leeuloop Jet, but he will need lots of luck from that draw - imo the older handicappers like Commodore Al, Microstate and Blue Spirit have had their chances and will be upstaged by their younger rivals - but I could go to bed with lots of egg on my face

Enjoy (tu)

Money for the George Scott runner in the last, definitely better on the outer track....

Also including Mulberry Bay in the 7th, debut wasn't a bad effort in the soft, just never got into the race last time out...

Sharp design 3/1. Even with the weight great value!

gregbucks Wrote:

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> Money for the George Scott runner in the last,
> definitely better on the outer track....
>
> Also including Mulberry Bay in the 7th, debut
> wasn't a bad effort in the soft, just never got
> into the race last time out...

Definitely not stable money, I can assure you 100%.

Kingscall Wrote:

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> Sharp design 3/1. Even with the weight great
> value!

3/1 for a place would be great value..............LOL, Just Kidding, must have a big chance here but I reckon with JADE BAY'S recent form he has about 5 lengths to find.

Win double..........

Red Rover (Ntl) onto Lance (Tvl)

HaPpY pUnTiNg and enjoy!!!!!!!!!!

For me the best bet tonight is Forest Indigo, there is 2,04/1 available on Playabets. He was a top 2 year old and ran two very good races in the Cape. With only 47,5 kgs on his back he will be very hard to beat IMO. Alec will have a line through Lance and again IMO Forest Indigo is a better horse than As You Like who beat Lance last time out at level weights. If The Hangman and Meissa we fully fit they would also come into the reconing. I make Desert Sheik the main danger as he had breathing problems last time out and absolutely took off over the last 200 meters. Going big on wins with Forest Indigo and will take some covers with a swinger and exacta box with Desert Sheik.

Play well. (tu)

Racing guide for Turfies tonight available FREE at www.logicfinvalue.com

Have a great evening at the races,

Loopy

Loopy Logic Wrote:

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> Racing guide for Turfies tonight available FREE
> at www.logicfinvalue.com
>
> Have a great evening at the races,
>
> Loopy


X(

I make Raise the Red the best bet on the cardX(