Found this card really tough for some reason.
Just one and might not even be a bet if (as I expect) it's morning price contracts significantly.
Race 5 - Sugar And Shake looked a different animal last time when allowed to lead over 1200m and showed absolute bags of speed. It was an impressive performance and he looks unexposed as a sprinter, and could well be even better over the minimum trip. He's gone up 5lbs for that success and takes part in a tougher grade here today, alongside his draw possibly not been too great (statistically it's fine, mind). However, he showed scintillating early speed last time, having the entire field (bar the runner-up) off the bridle some what out. He sort of finished the race at the one pace, doing enough to win, but I do think he'll be much better over this minimum trip if showing the same dash.
The other appealing aspect is his current price of around 8/1. Although I agree that Trip Tease should be favourite, I think 11/10 is too short. Not the greatest fan of his rider for one, and I don't think he was that impressive last time. Although he went past the runner-up nicely enough, he didn't exactly keep that momentum up. Maybe he was idling which would possibly indicate that there's more improvement to come, but in an open enough heat, I'd have to swerve him at those odds. Hang Fire is consistent but looks a little in the grip of the handicapper at the moment, as although he's been running outside of handicap company for quite a while, he doesn't win as often as he should, especially over this trip. It's an open race and a difficult one to call, but I'd be backing Sugar And Shake at odds of 5/1 or upwards, given he should improve for the drop in trip, still has progression within him off this mark and has a top jockey aboard.
(tu)
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