My Jackpot analysis for Turffontein today.
KEY
F = top contender(s)
B = other contenders
O = unlikely contenders
Going = Soft
General comments: Some competitive handicaps in smallish fields. Construct multiple tickets from my recommended selections at the end of each Race. Add your own as needed. I did the analysis without reference to the odds.
RACE 5 CONDITIONS PLATE 1450m
F
3***+ RAN SMART CALL CLOSE, GREAT FORM, TRACK, TRIP SUITED, WINNER?
B
6*** DANGEROUS SORT, RESTED; CLOSE SECOND IN FEATURE; CHANCE
7*** AFTER BACK TO BACK WINS, ON FRINGES OF FEATURE EVENTS, CHANCE
1**+ TOUGH CAMPAIGNER IN HIGHER DIVS, CHANCE
4**+ THEREABOUTS, LAST 1LBW, APPIE ALLOWANCE
O
8**+ PENULTIMATE CLOSE 3rd FM81; THREE PRIOR WIN OVER SPRINT FM73, PATCHY, DOES NOT LIKE SOFT GOING
2** FRONTRUNNING SORT, RUN IN SUMMER CUP AND FEATURES, OFF FORM
5** HARD TO ASSESS, WON OVER 2450, LIKES SAND MORE
9* MORE A STAYER, RESTED, APPEARS TO LIKE YIELDING GOING
LEG 1 JACKPOT
3 x ALL SEPARATE TICKETS
3,6,7,1,4 x ALL SEPARATE TICKETS
3,8,2,5,9 x A FEW SEPARATE TICKETS
RACE 6 MR96 1000m
F
3***+ WON 2 OF LAST 3, LAST BY 2.20L IN 55.69s TRACK,TRIP SUITED, WINNER?
5*** EX KEN, NEW TRAINER, RESTED 7 MONTHS, HAS WON THIS CLASS, CAN HANDLE SOFT GOING
B
6**+ CD WINNER LAST MR80, NOT QUITE IN THIS CLASS YET
8**+ WON 2/5 LAST RAN 3rd 2.45LB THE 6, BEAT HIM THOUGH IN DEC15, LIKES VAAL MORE BUT CARRIES NOTHING 52kg
2**+ WON PENULTIMATE, TOUGH CAMPAIGNER, CAN HANDLE SOFT GOING
7** JUST OFF THE WINNERS, WENT CLOSE LAST AGAINST 6, FORM REVERSAL WITH 6?
O
1** GONE OFF THE BOIL A LITTLE, THEREABOUTS
4* TOUGH OLDER CAMPAIGNER, GONE OFF THE BOIL
LEG 2 JACKPOT
3,5 x ALL SEPARATE TICKETS
6,8,2,7 x ALL SEPARATE TICKETS
1,4 x A FEW SEPARATE TICKETS
RACE 7 FM 68 1200m
F
1***THIS MOGOK FILLY LOOKS LIKE SHE HAS SOME ABILITY, CHANCE
2***TRIPPI FILLY WON ON DEBUT AT 6-1 (BACKED IN FROM TWELVES)
3***ANOTHER DEBUT WINNER IN OPEN COMPANY NOW
7***HAS BEEN RUNNING OVER 1400/1450 WINNING PENULTIMATE FM68, LAST 2.25LBW VAL, CHANCE
4*** AFTER MAIDEN WIN WENT 4.10LBW 1000m, CAST SHOE
B
5**+ CLASS SUITED, BEEN RUNNING CLOSE over 1400M VAL (COULD BE A ***)
9**+ ON THE FRINGES OF PLACING LAST TWO AFTER WINNING FM67 TRACK, TRIP
6**AFTER FLUENT WIN 1200m VAL 7 JAN WENT OFF BOIL
10** ON THE FRINGES IN HIGHER DIVISION LAST TWO, BUT HASN'T BEEN WINNING THIS CLASS EITHER
O
11* SHOWS SOME EARLY PACE BUT TENDS TO FADE, RUNNING VARIABLE DISTANCES, CLASSES
12* CLOSING TYPE HASN'T DONE MUCH 4-6LBWs THIS CLASS
8 MAIDEN WINNER IN OPEN COMPANY. CAN'T SEE HER BEATING THE LIKES OF 1,2,3,4
LEG 3 JACKPOT
1,2,3,4,7 x ALL tickets
5,9,6,10 x A FEW TICKETS
5 x ONE TICKET
11,12,8 x PERHAPS ON ONE THROWAWAY TICKET with 3 AS BANKER IN RACE 5 (eg 3 x 3,5/6,8,2,7 x 11,12,8 x last leg choices
for R6)
RACE 8 MP FM 1600m
F
1*** BEEN 2nd 3/5 OF LAST RACES. GO CLOSE. POTENTIAL WINNER BUT ALWAYS FINDS SOMEONE TO BEAT IT. TODAY?
8***DECENT DEBUT 3.50LBW 4th 1400m 18 DAYS AGO. 1 MORE WINNER CAME FROM THAT RACE.
B
7** DEBUTED 5th 7.25LBW, RESTED 5 MONTHS, COULD BE ANYTHING
2**HAS BEEN CLOSE OVER 1400M VAL
3** THEREABOUTS. NOT WITHOUT A CHANCE
10** ON THE FRINGES 5LBWs 2x ONLY TWO RUNS. RESTED 77 DAYS. IMPROVEMENT TO COME?
O
4*+ MODERATE, 42 DAYS OFF TRACK:
5 CAN'T RECOMMEND
6 VERY POOR FORM
LEG 4 JACKPOT
1,8 x ALL TICKETS
7,2,3,10 x ALL TICKETS
4 x PERHAPS ONE TICKET
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