Turffontein Sat 2 APR - EARLY THREAD

keniza999 wrote:

ShezaPunter wrote: In the Legal Eagle race, i cant see him being beat especially at Turfies?

and he doesn't play games.....

I have my concerns. .. Therefore can't banker in pick6 or include in multiples.

Too many top horses from this stable gets rolled.

Just Another Tipster wrote: WSB has abashiri at evens...that's a great price!

He will get beat today.

Dean321 wrote:

keniza999 wrote:

ShezaPunter wrote: In the Legal Eagle race, i cant see him being beat especially at Turfies?

and he doesn't play games.....

I have my concerns. .. Therefore can't banker in pick6 or include in multiples.

Too many top horses from this stable gets rolled.

Legal Eagle will win! Convincingly!

My best bet of the day, bull valley @33/10. Beat decent company very easily in first two races, tried hard when giving 5.5kgs to noah from goah over a distance probably too long and the dimgaans was just too long a trip. Has its issues and can be quite temperamental but if fit and well it'll doddle home.

Todays PA sent in by Mr H

www.africanbettingclan.com/index.php/ite...c-day-at-turffontein

Winning_Post wrote:

Just Another Tipster wrote: WSB has abashiri at evens...that's a great price!

He will get beat today.

hi WP can you say why? as all known form and expected improvement says other ways

The missing link wrote: My best bet of the day, bull valley @33/10. Beat decent company very easily in first two races, tried hard when giving 5.5kgs to noah from goah over a distance probably too long and the dimgaans was just too long a trip. Has its issues and can be quite temperamental but if fit and well it'll doddle home.

FAV been scratched will be big deduction now..

Pity was not keen on AB grrrr

Bet of the day for me is Thrust in the last. The break will have done him a world of good and he should comeback ready to go!

Value of the day is She's a Dragon. All the buzz for Negramaro but simply at a price I'd rather have SAD e/w.

Bob Brogan wrote:

Winning_Post wrote:

Just Another Tipster wrote: WSB has abashiri at evens...that's a great price!

He will get beat today.

hi WP can you say why? as all known form and expected improvement says other ways

I won't be bankering either, while the horse is on the up I still think it has some issues. It has been slow away a few times and hung very badly in its c&d win last time. It won't win if it hangs like that against Leigh, champagne haze and Brazuca. Also has the chance of finding traffic issues in a large field so not an odds on for me.

Magi wrote:

keniza999 wrote: It's strange how Tarry's big guns tend to run flat on big days whilst the lesser fancied runners come to life.....it's like clock work.

Well then it is a good opportunity to make tom......not so?

.....not so strange....Tarry sends out all his horses as triers.....I have observed that when he has coupled runners that one or more are handy to ensure a true run p(r)ace....as in the case last week with Stonehenge which I backed EW.....and also backed the eventual winner out of sentiment but Stonehenge a better result for me.... fluffed it by tiring late .....also had the 4 four past the post in small % Jackpot....when fit capable horses are up to make a pace they are to be included as possible race spoilers when the chasers cant run them down....

Bob Brogan wrote:

Winning_Post wrote:

Just Another Tipster wrote: WSB has abashiri at evens...that's a great price!

He will get beat today.

hi WP can you say why? as all known form and expected improvement says other ways

It looks that way Bob, unfortunately races aren't won on form and expected improvement these days it seems. I would rather tentatively trust certain trainer comments as to the well being of their runners. For me it's simple, if Brazuca brings the expected run today, Abashiri won't have a chance!

H

Bob Brogan wrote:

The missing link wrote: My best bet of the day, bull valley @33/10. Beat decent company very easily in first two races, tried hard when giving 5.5kgs to noah from goah over a distance probably too long and the dimgaans was just too long a trip. Has its issues and can be quite temperamental but if fit and well it'll doddle home.

FAV been scratched will be big deduction now..

Pity was not keen on AB grrrr

30% deduction at betting world but 0% showing at betx. Can they adjust it again because I checked with a small sum of money and I can bet on BV@33/10 while it shows the scratched horse has been taken out?