Not been doing well at the Vaal lately, nor anywhere else for that matter lol, so have reduced stakes accordingly until hopefully my wheel of fortune changes again. Hopefully today but some tricky races...
R1 I would prefer a higher draw but Angie Bee was right there lto until fading late, was also reportedly coughing that day and I think will go close here despite being up against the boys. Time To Be Great could also have a better draw but appears to be a different beast at this course. I'll dutch and exacta the two.
R2 E/w with LG and GW again for me with Winter Breeze. Jockey on Pippi a concern so She's A Flirt and Slim-Alley Bank may prove the main dangers but plenty have chances.
R3 Back down in trip with a reasonable draw, I think Il Duce represents decent value. A repeat of his effort 4th Feb would put him in the vicinity imo.
R4 In this line-up, I hope one or two of the more fancied ones, though there seems little quality in the entire field, will fail to fire and a 100/1 shot has a good day. I'll chance Blazing Berry with the R1 e/w. Has had some shocking draws of late and has mostly been dropped to the back of the fields as a result, the horse simply isn't good enough to get close from that far back. the exception to that was the run to Beating Heart three back. On this course, with a high draw, he might find a repeat of that run easier to accomplish and though that might still be well short of good enough, at triple figures I'm happy to chance it.
R5 I don't think I'll be majorly surprised if any of them win, they all seem to have some sort of chance. I think American Story might prove to be a little better than the rest though with Angelic Appeal a possible e/w.
R6 Finchatton has gone well with a big weight before and may just come out best but with the weight turnaround I think Roman Carnival could go very close and My Treasure always has to be respected here... 3/1/3 in 7 c runs and 3/0/1 in 4 over c/d.
R7 Led Zeppelin has his best draw for a while here and will go very close imo. He is my selection here but Shannon's Boy has come to form lately and also from a "poor" draw finished just ahead of LZ in his penultimate run, will do a small cover and exacta. Buster Posy and All Night Flight also likely to be in the mix in another race where plenty have claims.
R8 Never Give In for me but if failing, in order of preference, Riverine Forest, Defining Looks and Delighted will be looking to take advantage.
Be(s)t of luck to all
Last edit: 9 years 4 months ago by Englander.
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