R1 No bet race for me, if forced for a selection I'd say Justash.
R2 Tricky start to the PA il include a few runners, preference for me to Seal my fate and Gusheshe. She's a flirt if not such a let down I'd also have an e/w on but has let me down too many times.
R3 Connaught hotel, Quatro and Wild Horizon the obvious contenders. One for me which can improve and il chance an e/w on is King cruiser. I don't think quite suited to the inside track at turfontein and back to the vaal galloping track I think can surprise at a big price. Will definitely have some places here.
R4 Night on the hill looks the right one. Only horse I can see challenging is spectralight. Both horses for exotics.
R5 A trickier affair as it may appear. Il chance another e/w on angelic appeal. Besides her debut over a trip too short has had 4 runs at the vaal for two wins a 3rd and a 3.85l beating by frosty Friday. Not the worst form in the world. Another worth inclusion is sisters of mercy although over a trip probably short of her best 2 lengths to Wukkin up is not bad form at all. These two for me but suppose will have to watch the money and include some of the fancied runners too.
R6 I prefer Finchatton to Fareeq, not convinced on the latter for some reason and may take a chance and brass. Will back up Finchatton with my treasure and counter stroke.
R7 This race as the betting suggests is wide open. A horse with a MR of 48 the last few runs is third favorite and that to me means anything is possible here. Buster posy and Led Zeppelin the obvious contenders and deserve their inclusion. The horse mentioned earlier I also feel needs to be included, Shannon's boy. However this is a field leg for me in exotics.
R8 Never Give in could be anything and if money is anything to go by in the last 24 hours will probably start in the red. I again am hesitant to take such a price after beating an average maiden field with no winners from the formline. She did at least win comfortably. If looking past her it becomes wide open. There's likely to be a blistering pace on in which case it could play into the hands of Delighted. Others to include, riverine forest and shiver and shake. Shiver and shake is drawn well and I feel is better then her last few.
My best value bets:
R3 King cruiser place.
R7 Buster posy place.
R8 Delighted place.
Overall a wide open affair with plenty in with chances.
Play well.
The following user(s) said Thank You: Magi, Poncey
Race 2: Seal My Fate, would have been in need of her last run. A blinker strike. Her form prior to her break was very solid. Drawn in the middle of the field so should have a problem if the best going is on the outside. Seal My Fate beat Spider Flower by over 2 lengths on her comeback run and Spider Flower won two runs later beating My Angelface by 5,5 lengths. Using Spider Flower as a line horse Seal My Fate should be about 8 lengths ahead of My Angelface. It was My Angelface's debut that day and could know a bit more about racing today. I however am happy to take the 5/1 about Seal My Fate.
Race 7: Led Zeppelin, has finally cracked a draw. Was either drawn on the inside of the outside track or the outside of the inside track. With a good draw today I see him running a massive race and the 7/1 looks very good value.
Playing a double on these two and adding Never Give In in the 8th for a patent.
Does anyone give Melliflora a chance? I think this is the class horse in the race. After competing in several graded races, I think this F&M 78 should be perfect to notch her 3rd win. Also have the in form Karl Zechner aboard. I really like this today.
Merp wrote: Does anyone give Melliflora a chance? I think this is the class horse in the race. After competing in several graded races, I think this F&M 78 should be perfect to notch her 3rd win. Also have the in form Karl Zechner aboard. I really like this today.
I like it and I like the 8/10 a fixed place for doubles and trebles...
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