Turffies day night 19 Dec 2017

Post them "winnars"

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Its the Christmas season.. Peter was a disciple ... so as kinsman... so lets follow him tomorrow.. TWO WINNERS FOR SURE

Racing free seems some place value

Nice to see Jimmy Cook Syndicate with a runner.

Jive Five will be pretty good. not sure about the shoes

Chinchilla must be quite exciting

Gertjie the name means something to me

racing free would love to see the horse run well

3 Royal Resolution the one to beat

5 Fish River negative 2nd run after rest,must go close

7 Majestic Mambo looks above average can win this

R1 TUMBLING STREAM***
R2 ELENI***
R3 HIGHLAND HERO***
R4 INVINCIBLE LADY***
R5 SIM-ALLEY BANK*
R6 PACHUCO*
R7 MAJESTIC MAMBO***
R8 SECRET HARBOUR**

Race 3- I feel the wrong horse is favorite. Am in the camp of Party Beat. Hope there is a bigger drift so I can take some more.

My play for today:
race 1 - saint Michael
race 2 - someone exciting/cop shop
race 3- highland hero
race 4 - sunshine silk
race 5 - fish river
race 6 - pachuco
race 7 - majestic mambo
race 8 - takaduma

Happy punting

We have Craft Club running in the 4th.She returns from a break as she needed time to fill out and strengthen up.She will need this run.

Not the easiest of cards imo - 4 rather competitive maiden plates followed by 4 handicaps ... thoughts:

R1: Saint Michael deserving to be favorite after a good debut where he just faded the last bit to run third behind a subsequent winner; Tumbling Stream overdue, but SM has probably faced stronger; Hero's Honour imo comes out of a very weak maiden, and will have to improve some to trouble the top 2; first timers ?

R2: Someone Exciting made a great debut when going off at 50/1 and that was in soft conditions; so I prefer Eleni who finished 3.5 lengths in front of a subsequent winner (albeit in a weak field); Hafla is surprisingly (to me at least) again trying a sprint, and along with Dunas Douradas need some improvement imo; none of the first timers are finding any meaningful betting support, so Eleni looks a fair bet at the odds

R3: Party Beat got lost from a wide draw when supported on debut; has a plum draw today so is my first choice from Royal Resolution and Highland Hero; Gertjie ran on nicely in his debut and looks the only other one that may trouble the top 3

R4: Invincible Lady another who made a fair debut when finding betting support; not sure about the strength of that form though (imo both Pinfanta and Insignis made big improvement in their subsequent efforts), so I had an each way stab at Keep It Hot who should prefer the extra and is fair value imo; Candy Kisses and Sunshine Silk can't be ignored while Quick Glimpse will need some luck from the draw

R5: Tough little fillies and mares handicap; Fish River tries further, no certainty to stay though, which brings a lot of others into the race; I think La Bastide on her run in the Starling Stakes will be competitive at these weights, but only Movie Award and Charter Jet can safely be ignored here

R6: Another tough handicap for the boys this time; I think it's fair to say that Unrehearsed has been a big disappointment to connections thus far, must have some sort of chance, but I prefer others; Mioshi looks well treated here and has a good draw to boot, so definite chance along with stable mate King and Empire who has found the first 3 in 7 out of 10 tries over this track and trip; Trip to Troy and Pachuco boast pretty similar records, Pachuco has a pull in the weights - but a wider draw, so hard to split those two; jockey arrangements seem to suggest that Aurora Astralis is not the preferred one from the Tarry stable, so for a roughie I'm rather including Majestic Bay whose last runs in the soft can probably discounted - MR has taken a big dive so could upset from a plum draw

R7: Easiest of the handicaps imo; quite a few under sufferance here while Okavango Delta should find this too short; so I make it between the improving 3 year olds Majestic Mambo and Kremlin Judgement; MM impressive first win, so not the worst option imo for a P6 banker; bar KJ, next best for me is Collabro, followed by Gambado and Wheel of Time.

R8: Tough race to close; depending on how the P6 is structured and how Saint Michael goes in the first, one may be forced to look as Takaduma as a banker; second choice for me would be Rightful King, who should surely some day prove he is not a 69 :ohmy: but there are plenty of others to consider, including Hot August, Flag of France, Lauren of Rochelle, Timeofthevikings, Cannes (allowance will help) and Racing Free

Enjoy

Thanks Frodo

Collabro and Takaduma to pay for the holidays

Good punting

Race 1 the value is with 45 both improvers and had look on runs first time,2nd like 89 13 ..13 need further but tongue tie off could assist...3rd brassed party beat i make royal resolution htb as last run to far..de kock horse will it stay?4th i like 12 and 1 ...5th tough went for 39 ..6th tough 4 7 2 10..7th the fav was very coltish last time so im looking elsewhere 6 a big runner but hard race,,8th tough as well giving rightful king his last chance...