DURBANVILLE 9/01/2018
- Sammy Silver
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- davetheflower
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Re: DURBANVILLE 9/01/2018
7 years 5 months agodurbs wrote:50m more and I think it wins.Stiff again Bayern.bayern wrote: R7, whilst Romantic Crusade (2/1) is the one to beat, actually think Bon Bon (12 to 14/1 depending where you look) is a serious runner here. At first glance the exposed form doesn't look flash however she is down in class on her last run, and has dropped 9 points in the ratings since October. Her last run was against much stronger company, and she clearly wasn't up to that class tiring in the last 400m after leading. On a line through Amazingly (run of the 30/11), Bon Bon is 5.5kgs better off with Evelina (33/10) for a 2.5 length beating, and Evelina and Romantic Crusade are weighted to finish just about on top of each other (run of the 27/09). Forgot to mention, also has Bushy Park (7/1) cold at the weights on the same Amazingly run.
Bon Bon at the current price must be the value in the race.
Or if jockey started riding a bit earlier,he seemed to be stuck in a pocket for a while.
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- bayern
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Re: DURBANVILLE 9/01/2018
7 years 5 months agodavetheflower wrote:durbs wrote:50m more and I think it wins.Stiff again Bayern.bayern wrote: R7, whilst Romantic Crusade (2/1) is the one to beat, actually think Bon Bon (12 to 14/1 depending where you look) is a serious runner here. At first glance the exposed form doesn't look flash however she is down in class on her last run, and has dropped 9 points in the ratings since October. Her last run was against much stronger company, and she clearly wasn't up to that class tiring in the last 400m after leading. On a line through Amazingly (run of the 30/11), Bon Bon is 5.5kgs better off with Evelina (33/10) for a 2.5 length beating, and Evelina and Romantic Crusade are weighted to finish just about on top of each other (run of the 27/09). Forgot to mention, also has Bushy Park (7/1) cold at the weights on the same Amazingly run.
Bon Bon at the current price must be the value in the race.
Or if jockey started riding a bit earlier,he seemed to be stuck in a pocket for a while.
Just watched the replay, not the cleverest ride from a good possie turning for home

Anyway, we box on.
Guessing has never been widely acclaimed as a good gambling strategy.
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