DURBANVILLE 9/01/2018

durbs wrote:

bayern wrote: R7, whilst Romantic Crusade (2/1) is the one to beat, actually think Bon Bon (12 to 14/1 depending where you look) is a serious runner here. At first glance the exposed form doesn't look flash however she is down in class on her last run, and has dropped 9 points in the ratings since October. Her last run was against much stronger company, and she clearly wasn't up to that class tiring in the last 400m after leading. On a line through Amazingly (run of the 30/11), Bon Bon is 5.5kgs better off with Evelina (33/10) for a 2.5 length beating, and Evelina and Romantic Crusade are weighted to finish just about on top of each other (run of the 27/09). Forgot to mention, also has Bushy Park (7/1) cold at the weights on the same Amazingly run.

Bon Bon at the current price must be the value in the race.

50m more and I think it wins.Stiff again Bayern.

davetheflower wrote:

durbs wrote:

bayern wrote: R7, whilst Romantic Crusade (2/1) is the one to beat, actually think Bon Bon (12 to 14/1 depending where you look) is a serious runner here. At first glance the exposed form doesn't look flash however she is down in class on her last run, and has dropped 9 points in the ratings since October. Her last run was against much stronger company, and she clearly wasn't up to that class tiring in the last 400m after leading. On a line through Amazingly (run of the 30/11), Bon Bon is 5.5kgs better off with Evelina (33/10) for a 2.5 length beating, and Evelina and Romantic Crusade are weighted to finish just about on top of each other (run of the 27/09). Forgot to mention, also has Bushy Park (7/1) cold at the weights on the same Amazingly run.

Bon Bon at the current price must be the value in the race.

50m more and I think it wins.Stiff again Bayern.

Or if jockey started riding a bit earlier,he seemed to be stuck in a pocket for a while.