Kenilworth Saturday Jan 27 - Met Day

Frodo
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Re: Kenilworth Saturday Jan 27 - Met Day

7 years 4 months ago

Zietsman Oosthuizen wrote:

MasterOfMyFate wrote: Ratings guys? What did the first 6 past the post run to?

Oh susanna will be 116 rated after today.

2/3 linehorses in the race legal eagle , marinaresco and captain america ran to 117/118
Beaten on average 3 points but gave oh susanna 5 points sex allowance .... thus she ran to 116 rating.

What is interesting is that she will now be rated 8 points better than snowdance after today so in the July will have to give 4kg to snowdance but we know snowdance is atleast 5 points better than oh susanna .

Food for thought . If the july is run after todays new ratings are out it will be a matchrace between snowdance and african night sky .... ans wont get any penalty for running 14/15 points above his rating ...... but we dont know how effective snowdance will be over the 2200 but ANS will be even better .

So .... i think ANS will just run a prep before the july not to get a penalty and then win the july on todays performance in a canter.

I'm taking those ratings with a pinch of salt - as then African Night Sky ran to 118 and Safe Harbour to 110 ....and Krambambuli to 115 :ohmy:

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Zietsman Oosthuizen
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Re: Kenilworth Saturday Jan 27 - Met Day

7 years 4 months ago

#711378

African night sky ran to a 116/117 rating
Safe harbour ran to a 107 rating
Krambambuli ran to a 110 rating

Thats fact if you ask the handicappers monday

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Karma
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Re: Kenilworth Saturday Jan 27 - Met Day

7 years 4 months ago

#711392

Zietsman Oosthuizen wrote:

MasterOfMyFate wrote: Ratings guys? What did the first 6 past the post run to?

Oh susanna will be 116 rated after today.

2/3 linehorses in the race legal eagle , marinaresco and captain america ran to 117/118
Beaten on average 3 points but gave oh susanna 5 points sex allowance .... thus she ran to 116 rating.

What is interesting is that she will now be rated 8 points better than snowdance after today so in the July will have to give 4kg to snowdance but we know snowdance is atleast 5 points better than oh susanna .

Food for thought . If the july is run after todays new ratings are out it will be a matchrace between snowdance and african night sky .... ans wont get any penalty for running 14/15 points above his rating ...... but we dont know how effective snowdance will be over the 2200 but ANS will be even better .

So .... i think ANS will just run a prep before the july not to get a penalty and then win the july on todays performance in a canter.

Ziets, by no means am I on your level with handicapping etc (every aspect of form study) , (and will never be), but I will take you on with Last Winter

Are you living your life or waiting to die?

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vis
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Re: Kenilworth Saturday Jan 27 - Met Day

7 years 4 months ago

#711395

Only now watched replays of today’s racing. Had to cook all day for plenty of drunk okes and pretty gownless evening straps at a birthday bash. Accepted without checking the racing calender. Peophol.

Anyways...

Was in the pick6 in the last, small perm, but I said to myself a 3 year old filly. No way. Poephol. Amazing! Here is a replay:

Last Winter. Someone needs to give him a PK. Wake him up. What a finish ! Reminds of one of the greatest performances of all time, Mine That Bird, 2009 KTD, except he won. Watch the overhead from 2:20:

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Zietsman Oosthuizen
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Re: Kenilworth Saturday Jan 27 - Met Day

7 years 4 months ago

#711400

Karma , on wfa terms Last Winter will beat African Night Sky every day of the year but on handicap terms LW will have to give ANS 8,5kg after yesterday for 1,5L beating ... Last Winter ran to a 119 and ANS to a 116/117 yesterday but woth our handicapping restrictions ANS will not be penalised for running 6th .
Thats what make handicapping interesting and how to find bombs now and then .
Last winter took a long time to get going but once he put his head down he took off like a bullet .
Great race

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