Kenilworth, 28/07

Some thoughts :-

R1) I make Lucky Dancer the one they have to beat. Exposed form doesn't look flash, but has run against stronger.

R2) Anyone's guess.

R3) I don't believe Clipper Captain beat a particularly strong field when winning on debut, so I'd be prepared to take him on with Rock Of Asia, the only two time winner in the race, who should appreciate the extra 200m.

R4) Watch the betting on Fortune Flies, wouldn't have to be too clever to win this, however on exposed form, Secret Path drops in distance again and may prove better suited to sprinting at this stage of her career, make her the one to beat if no interest in Fortune Flies.

R5) Nothing to choose between Master's Spirit and favourite, Al Wahed. Siding marginally with the former if it comes up slightly soft, has run to stronger.

R6) - Call To Account will take some stopping, best bet on this card for me.

R7) Whilst the betting suggests a two horse race between Brave Move (12/10) and Fresnaye (15/10), i wouldn't write off the chances of Dynasty's Blossom (11/2), who could keep the more fancied two in the market honest if allowed to set the pace. All three tend to race fairly handy, would imagine it would be a case of who buckles first under pressure. Acid test for Brave Move, not a betting race for me, the two favourites are too short in the market for me. Gun to the head, Dynasty's Blossom.

R9) Although not well weighted, Hemmingway is not without a chance considering nos. 1 to 3 are all having their second run after a rest.

R10) These fairly lowly rated handicaps never fail to throw up the unexpected, however based purely on the draw, I will row in with Room At The Top, not a confident selection by any means.

The track should have dried out a fair bit, but there should still be some give in the ground.
Moderate southeaster ( headwind) expected.
Race 1: Not much between the top four and it will depend on which stays on the best.
Race 2: Mostly first timers- they should have swapped the first two races around for the sake of the bipot.
Race 3: We have Lanza running. He won his maiden comfortably and is still improving. He has come through that race well and has an ew chance here. Mr Crumford did not show in the Langerman, and has not quite fulfilled the promise shown when winning his second start. He ran a decent race this trip in the Nursery, and if repeating is the one to beat. Rock of Asia has won two nice races albeit over the minimum trip, and rates a lively runner even though giving 2kg for the extra win. Stable companion Sailor Sam is well tried and won’t be far off at the weights. Clipper Captain could be anything and has plenty scope for improvement on a nice debut effort.
Race 4: Secret Path improved nicely second start but is quite short priced here. Runaway Rebel is a long time maiden but is overdue her win. Spirit Festival should improve on a fair debut. Two unraced runners complicate matters.
Race 5: Very open.
Race 6: Call to Account is the class sprinter here and is a banker. Goodtime Gal is capable at best but is likely to need this run. Arissa has good Gauteng form. We have Freedom Charter running- she is fit and well and although this is on the sharp side for her, she has a good place chance.
Race 7: Brave Move goes from strength to strength and is another possible banker. Fresnaye and Dynasty’s Blossom are the main dangers.
Race 9: An open race- if he is at his best then Milton can do it here.
Race 10: A tricky race to end the day. Troop the Colour looks like he has more scope for improvement, and is my pick.

Played the treble Brave Move x Call to Account x Soqrat (worth my pocket money!)

Brett’s tips

htb Varsity Lover

WITHOUT LIMITS top 3

mydada wrote: htb Varsity Lover

Did stand out going to post.

well done with Lanza...

sw 1/6

Prince alfred

gregorypillay123 wrote: Prince alfred

Nice call

Nice Double Peter D