Kenilworth, 17/06

Think there are a few good bets to be had on this card, in order of preference :-

R4, Crimea (22/10), this horse has improved with every run and is knocking at the door. Having it's peak run, and going to trust jockey Andrews's judgement having ridden stable companion, Rosalie Runs as well. On a line through Flying Squadron, who finished ahead of Rosalie Runs two runs back, Crimea should finish ahead of the stable companion and win this.

R6, Boomps A Daisy (7/10), an improving 3 year old bumping some well tried older horses and three year olds not well in under the race conditions or can't be seen as potential winners on exposed form. Fancy the above double.

R2, Nexus (9/10), this is in a tricky race, not so sure it should be so short in the market having opened at 12/10, I see the stable companion, Green Archer, as the danger, unfortunately this horse has forgotten the way to the winner's enclosure, therefore rowing in with Nexus.

Too Cute Win. Finding Camelot Win. Super Silvano Win

Pick 6:

12/1,3,5,8/4,5,7,9,1/F/12,11,10,9,3,2/14,13,12,6

Double

Djokovic onto Nexus onto Too Cute onto Skidoo place

Txs Bayern whilst I trust and value your input as I know you are an astute form studier i just worry about the jockey bookings in the Crimea race! I wonder who had the choice or if they were put on by Nel. Bernie riding many winners at the moment so I'm a little confused to be honest. Nevertheless the place double with Boomps works out at 6/10 so I'll have a proper strike on that. Thanks in advance.

Race 1
Candice Bass-Robinson
No 1 Alaskan Night - Expect a fair run first time
No 5 Gold Medal - Will need the experience first time out
Glen Kotzen
No 2 Bravo Charlie - Has not shown enough to be confident and needs further
No 11 Rock The Night - Taken time to mature and will need this outing
Justin Snaith
No 4 Flowerscape - Very nice type, could run into the money
No 9 Over The Odds - Needs a lot further and a run or two before seen at best
No 12 Tango With Tigers - Expecting him to be green - will need the experience
Brett Crawford
No 6 Macthief - May need the run
Eric Sands
No 8 Morse - Nice horse, wants further

Race 2
Candice Bass-Robinson
No 1 Our Mate Art - Small field, top weight.Hopeful
No 3 Ben Hur - He is fit and well and will have a good each way chance
here but Nexus still looks well in.

Race 3
Vaughan Marshall
No 1 Binoche - Shows good work at home but will be green
Glen Kotzen
No 2 Clouded Leopard - Quite quick, but needs to strengthen up
No 8 On Captain's Side - Shows promise , quick and super pedigree -
expecting to be in the money
Greg Ennion
No 4 Floreana - Speedy filly, hoping for a nice run
Justin Snaith
No 5 Lilac Sensation - Class filly and should be in the money on debut
Adam Marcus
No 6 Mississippi Burning - Will be green and will come on from the experience
Mike Robinson
No 11 Stylish Icon - She's taking on a decent field but should run well
Candice Bass-Robinson
No 10 Sailing Ship - Brought her back to 1000 meters now, after over
racing last time and she must have a good winnning chance

Race 4
Paul Reeves
No 5 Duntoche - Is recovering well from her run last week and she
should have a good each way chance

Race 5
Mike Robinson
No 2 Elusive Victor -Ignore last run. He should do better at this
Kenilworth course
Paul Reeves
No 4 West Of Seattle - Has an each way chance

Race 6
Mike Stewart
No 4 It Is What It Is - Is much improved since being fitted with
cheek pieces and i'm expecting another good run
Candice Bass-Robinson
No 2 Nastergal - Top weight and should run a fair race if the 1000
meters is not too short
No 6 Gimme London - Needed her last run and should improve this time

Race 7
Andre Nel
No 5 Dalibhunga - May need the run
Mike Stewart
No 4 Al Wahed - Has his second run after a rest but is improving
Paul Reeves
No 8 Skidoo - Disappointing last run. hoping for a better performance
Candice Bass-Robinson
No 1 Bernie - Good each way chance
No 6 Dragon Power - He has strengthened up well now and looks well in
at the weights here. Good winning chance

Race 8
Mike Robinson
No 1 Bronzed - Nice horse but might need the run
No 8 Here's The Master - Nice horse but will need the experience
Glen Kotzen
No 9 Step Right Up - Has had one promising gallop, can be competitive
Dean Kannemeyer
No 10 Azores - Nice colt but will need the run
Adam Marcus
No 11 Quintay - Will be green and will come on from the experience
Justin Snaith
No 12 Silver Host - Decent sort, which can place but needs further
Mike Stewart
No 5 Epic - Has been very disappointing. We will try dropping him out
and hope to see him running on
Geoff Woodruff(Lucinda)
No 3 Brother Louis - Is doing very well and should be competitive
No 4 Destruction Boy - Is improving and seems better suited to this distance

nexus

Jay's rock - my punt for the day!!

booms a daisy - my double for the day

lilac sensation (sister to snowdance)

super silvano

MissT wrote: Txs Bayern whilst I trust and value your input as I know you are an astute form studier i just worry about the jockey bookings in the Crimea race! I wonder who had the choice or if they were put on by Nel. Bernie riding many winners at the moment so I'm a little confused to be honest. Nevertheless the place double with Boomps works out at 6/10 so I'll have a proper strike on that. Thanks in advance.

Have not yet looked at the card but sort of agree with Miss T here... if it is 1000 / 1200m race I can go with Andrews, but if further where some sort of pace judgement is required ... not for me, even if a 2 horse race ... my 5c worth. {meanders off to check the card}

kenilworth race 4 normally when one is stuck between choosing stable companions none of them win I like Duntouche race 4 only 4yr old in the race and did finish ahead of Bernard's horse by about 1l on grey missile formline also drawn gate 1

R3 Too Cute looks the right one, but worried about Deliverance 3rd run after rest
R4 2,3,5 in p6 with slight preference for no 2 Crimea
R6 Marcus horse looks banker
R7 Bernie riding Bernie looks right. Adding 2,3,5,6,7 in P6
R8 Preference for Ashbury Park, but adding 1,2,3,13 for P6

Have fun

Super Silvano into evens - looks a banker.

Any comments from Peter D about today's racing would be most welcome.

Brandenburg onto super silvano cover pw

CHATUCHAK (WIN)

LAST 10 RUNS
4 HAVE BEEN OVER C/D

27/February/2018
Was the maiden win (by 1.75 lengths)

24/March/2018 (MR 76 HANDICAP)
Post maiden run,Finished in 2nd place (0.75lengths of the winner)

28/April/2019 (HIGHLANDS STUD WINTER GUINEAS (Grade 3)
Finished in 9th place, 5.15 LENGTHS OF RAINBOW BRIDGE

11/November/2018 (MR 80 HANDICAP) was actually 4runs back and last time he went over 1600m
From draw 13--13
Carrying 60.5kgs
Finished in 5th place
1.80lengths of winner Hudoo magic
Was to far back and running on at finish
HUDOO MAGIC is now a Mr92

CHATUCHAK LAST 3RUNS HAVE BEEN OVER THE 1400M

4.65Lengths of Vardy
A win
And 2.25 lengths of the winner

LOOKING AT CHATUCHAK LAST RUN OVER C/D WHEN DRAWN VERY BADLY AND CARRYING 60.5KGS AND FINISHING ONLY 1.80LENGTHS OF HUDOO MAGIC(MR92)

GIVES HIM A REALLY GOOD CHANCE TODAY FROM DRAW 1 AND ONLY CARRYING 54.5KGS!!

3runs back NEXUS ran over C/D carrying same weight from draw7 finishing in 2nd place!! Comparing that to CHATUCHAK LAST RUN OVER COURSE AND DISTANCE/FIELD/WEIGHT,CHATUCHAK LAST RUN WAS MUCH BETTER AND DIFFICULT THAN NEXUS RUN!!