Turffontein Tuesday

Discuss below

Treble :-

R1) Date Palm X (R2) Miss Tycoon X (R3) Wisteria Walk

Form of Date Palms first run looks particularly strong. 5 winners!!! just the draw to beat?

Race 1: Silver Hub.

Race 2: Merengue.

Race 3: Image Award each way.

Race 4: Hidden Agenda.

Race 5: Walnut dash each way.

Race 6: American Indian (BB) best bet.

Race 7: Rocky path.

Race 8: Skiminac each way.

Arnica Montana 2/1
Balletto 12/10
Matloob 13/10

Turffontein

Race 1
Craig Mayhew
No 1 Adolfo - Well but will need the run
Sean Tarry
No 2 Latin Opus - Should need the run
No 7 Zuluonmystoep - May just need the run
Mike/Matthew De Kock
No 9 Arnica Montana - Is fit and well and should go close
No 12 Holborn - Will need the run
Mike Azzie
No 11 Hilton Mist - He was disappointing on debut but is working well
and I'm hoping for a better run over the longer distance
Chris Jonker
No 5 Silver Hub - He's showing nice work and hopefully he can run on
into the minor placings
Heinrich van der Westhuizen
No 3 Tiki Taka - Is fit and well and I expect him to run a good race
Robbie Sage
No 14 Romantic Era will need the run


Race 2
Dianne Stenger
No 2 Magic's First - She's fit and well and I'm expecting a decent run

Race 3
Mike/Matthew De Kock
No 6 Balleto - Fit and well, strong each-way chance
Romeo Francis
No 3 Soul Of Wit - Her last run was possibly a bit far. She should be
competitive over this course and distance

Race 4
Gary Alexander
No 5 Miyoshi - Will just need the run but could place
Weiho Marwing
No 7 Desert Sunset - Will need the run
Scott Kenny
No 2 Hidden Agenda - Fit and well and should be competitive again but
always tough to win 3 in a row.
Tyrone Zackey
No 9 Gonnafly could run into the Quartet

Race 5
Mike Azzie
No 2 The Sash - She needed her last two outings and I'm expecting a
better run from her this time
Robbie Sage
No 3 Viscountess Vivien Should need this run.
Tyrone Zackey
No 10 Walnut Dash can run into the Quartet

Race 6
Brett Webber
No 7 Earth Sky - He's very well but does need a good pace in the race
and if there is, he will be finishing strongly
Mike/Matthew De Kock
No 4 Indy Ice - Has an each-way chance
Robbie Sage
No 3 Dromedaris is always in with a chance

Race 7
Mike Azzie
No 2 Tapenzee - He needed his last run but does have a mind of his own
and is one that should always be included as he can surprise if he
decides to put it in
on the day.
Scott Kenny
No 4 To The Regiment - Ran a cracking good race last Saturday and the
2000 meters trip should be right up his alley
Tyrone Zackey
No 10 So long Spring did well last week and must be in with a chance

Race 8
Geoff Woodruff
No 11 Humour Me - Probably not forward enough to feature and will
probably need this run
No 2 Knight Owl - He's doing well at home and has had two useful grass
gallops. Could run into the money.

Date Palm and Matloob look hard to beat.


Good Punting

Arnica Montana
Balletto
Matloob

r1 DATE PALM as to be a certainty for me despite the draw, followed in by arnica montana. so value can be found elsewhere in the placings.

sparta1966 wrote: r1 DATE PALM as to be a certainty for me despite the draw, followed in by arnica montana. so value can be found elsewhere in the placings.

Imo, Kwikstix is the one to come on... 50/1..... I have a feeling Maroun has given this one a few runs in the sprints as education, and now steps it up to a distance which will suit it more...

I thought Saturday was a card to make some money - how wrong I was ; today looks a bit of a minefield imo, not made any easier in that our official formguide now seems to have an issue with recording the apprentice allowance correctly in the previous formlines:

In race 4 today, Lazarus Tree was ridden by JR Syster in his last run, carded to carry 56 kgs minus the 4 kg allowance - however in todays Computaform, it shows that LT carried 56 kgs .....

In Race 5 today, Comet Crystal was ridden by CF DIcken in her last run, carded to carry 60.5 kgs minus the 4 kg allowance - however in todays Computaform, it shows that CC carrried 60.5 kgs

What's going on ?

For me, weight is a big factor in form study, so how can one trust what is printed in the official race card - also I have yet to see someone come up with a plausible explanation on how the 400-finish times are recorded (therefor I still mostly ignore those)

Karma wrote:

sparta1966 wrote: r1 DATE PALM as to be a certainty for me despite the draw, followed in by arnica montana. so value can be found elsewhere in the placings.

Imo, Kwikstix is the one to come on... 50/1..... I have a feeling Maroun has given this one a few runs in the sprints as education, and now steps it up to a distance which will suit it more...

after going through the card and watching all the previous races, Kwikstix wasnt a play for me.

SILVER HUB, who at 100/1 is paying 33/1 for a top 7 finish
been by malhub i thought it would do better over the 1200. draw not good so only a small e/w on top 7 finish.
the one for me is HILTON MIST 25/1 e/w, who seemed to have something in hand after been given introduction over 1200.