01/04 Sha Tin AWT
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Re: 01/04 Sha Tin AWT
5 years 2 months ago
Tim Carroll preview
This Wednesday sees an eight-race card on the All Weather (dirt) track from Sha Tin, which gets underway at 12.15pm. The feature of the meeting is the finale race 8, the Class 2 Cheung Sha Handicap (3.50pm), over the mile (1650m).
Joao Moreira was in sublime form on the weekend when booting home a five timer and now leads Zac Purton by two winners in a see-sawing jockeys title battle which looks sure to enthral us all until the conclusion.
Moreira became just the fourth jockey to ride 900 winners in Hong Kong joining elite company, Douglas Whyte, Zac Purton and Tony Cruz, and he should move into third spot somewhere in the near future.
My Next Best (NB) selection, EXCEL DELIGHT, goes in race 4 on the card, The Class 4 Kiu Tsui Handicap (1.45pm), over 6 furlongs.
The 4yo isn’t one of the stable stars from the John Size yard, but he wont need to be to win this.
He finished in second spot last time out over course & distance and probably would have won had he drawn a decent gate. On that occasion he was planted three deep and without cover for much of the trip, and was only chinned right on the line (not to mention it was reported he was kicked by the lead pony on the way down to the start).
The race maps completely differently for him today from the low draw in 2, and with early speed from the likes of 4,5,& 10, the selection should be able to box seat in behind the leaders without having to gas early, and just as importantly, he’ll be able to grab some cover.
The selections goes up 2lb in the handicap today, but I think he should be able to grab that back and a bit more with what looks likely to be a far more efficient run in transit.
He’s had the four spins on the dirt track (all over 6 furlongs) for one win and two silver medals, and with an in form Joao Moreira in the saddle, the selection should take plenty of holding out after a luckless run last time.
My each-way selection (EW) SUPER RED DRAGON goes in race 5, The Class 4 Pui O Handicap (2.15pm) over the mile (1650m).
It’s not to often I find myself siding with a one that has gone up in grade for being beaten, but I’m prepared to make an exception for the 4yo from the Chris So yard, and for several reasons.
Firstly, the selection is a lightly raced 4yo who is definitely progressing. Last time out he made up stealthy headway to grab the bronze in a race where he took a bit of a tug toward the rear after they dropped anchor up front.
This race looks more suitable as the tempo will be solid with the 3,9,10 & 11 all likely to look to go forward, and although going up in grade, SUPER RED DRAGON carries a massive 19lb less today.
The selection has been over the trip once on the dirt in this grade. On that occasion it was from a 2lb higher mark, he drew the widest stall and had to be snagged back to the tail before circling the entire field to run 4th to a horse who then came out and won a Class 3 at his next start.
Today from stall 2 the race set up should be far more suitable for the selection, and although he wont be on the front end, I suspect he’ll be able to sit a bit closer than he has been lately, and from the bottom of the weights, and with natural improvement, the son of Starspangledbanner looks a cracking each-way play here.
My best bet (NAP) on the card, FLYING GENIUS, goes in Race 6, The Class 3 Clear Water Bay Handicap (2.45pm) over 6 furlongs.
The 3yo from the Tony Cruz yard has won two of his 6 starts to date and was runner up last time out when having his first spin on the dirt.
He had to do plenty of early work from a wide gate that day, and he was only picked off late by an exciting type who was winning for the third time at just his fourth outing.
The selection had four of these in behind (in order 9,5,2,3) last time, and despite being worse off at the weights today due to Purton taking over from 7lb claimer, he had a tougher run than the others and, well as just stated, you have Purton taking over which goes a long way to offsetting the 7lb.
The race set up looks hugely interesting as both FLYING GENIUS and Just Not Listening To Me (9) diced for the early lead last time before the latter relented and sat in the box seat behind the selection.
Thus from stalls 2 & 1 there could be a bit of 'cat and mouse' between Moreira and Purton for the early lead, but I'd suggest chances are Purton will try to make all, although I wouldn’t be concerned if he elects to take a sit.
The selection stays on the same mark today, which looks more than fair, and in a race where he has drawn low after a few high draws, and with Purton now in the saddle for the first time, I suspect the son of All To Hard will go from the front and be very tough to run down.
Remainder of the Card:
Race 1 is The Class 5 Silvermine Bay Handicap (12.15pm), over 6 furlongs
Absolucool (1) and Chunghwa Jingshen (2) are both dropping down to Class 5 company for the first time. Neither have shown much to date, but both are lightly raced and any market support should be noted.
I’m keen on the chances of AURORA SPEED from the John Size yard. He dropped down to Class 5 company for the first time when 2nd over 5 furlongs at Happy Valley last time, which was a very solid effort given he was hampered on no less than three occasions and featured strongly in the stewards report.
The winner of the race then came out and was only beaten a head in a Class 4, and although going onto the dirt for the first time, (rarely a problem for the Size runners), and with the in form Joao Moreira on top, the selection looks the obvious play.
Race 2 is The Class 4 Kiu Tsui Handicap (12.45pm), over 6 furlongs
Handsome Rebel (1) drops down to Class 4 company for the first time and given he was placed two runs back at Class 3 level, he looks major player. Gracious Ryder was a winner four back at this level, but is on a 9lb higher mark
I’m going to take a proper swing with GOUTEN OF GARO in this. He’s been well held his last four runs but was a winner over 5 furlongs at Happy Valley in November. He looks the likely leader here, which can be favourable on the dirt, and this will be his first run on the dirt for 18 months.
The selection goes from the bottom of the weights, plus has a 3lb claim for Jack Wong, and the David Farraris 6yo is likely to make a bold bid for victory from the front, and at good odds.
Race 3 is The Class 5 Tung Wan Handicap (1.15pm), over the mile (1650m)
Not the strongest of Class 5 contests and I thought the class dropper, GOOD FIT, could be the way to play this one.
He’s a well-exposed type but has won eight times with his last four wins coming at a level above this. His last win (just over a year ago), was over course & distance and when the claim for Jack Wong is taken into account, he goes off a mark 20lb lower today, needless to say he looks dangerously handicapped.
He may need a bit of luck as he is usually ridden cold, but from the draw in 4, if the selection can navigate a clear round, he should take plenty of holding out off this mark.
Race 7 is The Class 3 Hap Mun Bay Handicap (3.15pm), over 9 furlongs
RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE was an impressive winner over course & distance last time when he had no less than six of these in behind. The runner up that day, Red Elysees, is 4lb better off today, and you would think he’d be a chance of turning around a short margin defeat.
But the selection was slow out of the stalls and although given a cool paint hugging ride by Moreira, the run should be marked up. It was the first local win for the former French trained runner (known as Infernal Majesty) but it was also the first time he had been over the 9 furlongs this campaign and the step up in trip was exactly what he was looking for.
They are likely to ride the selection quietly again, but provided he jumps cleanly he may sit closer to the speed and with only a 5lb hike up the handicap, the Michael Chang 5yo should go close to making in back to back victories.
Race 8 is The Class 2 Cheung Sha Handicap (3.50pm), over the mile (1650m)
The feature is a very decent looking contest to close out proceedings and looks open on paper.
Despite having to run off a career high mark, I thought the John Moore BUDDIES was the one to side with here. He’s a horse we have flagged up a few times with a bit of success, and the son of So You Think rarely runs a bad one.
The selection has drawn low in gate 3 today and looks the likely leader, which is ideal. At his last three wins he has led in two of those and sat second in the other, whilst those three victories came from stalls 2, 1 and 1, I’m sure you can see where I’m going with that?
He returns to the dirt having been 2nd from a wide draw last time on turf, but three of his four careers wins have been on the dirt and in a race that should set up ideally for him, I’m hoping BUDDIES can provide Joao Moreira with yet another winner in his quest for this years title.
Wednesday's Tote Placepot
With the recent introduction of Tote Placepot betting on Hong Kong racing, this week we will include a place-pot perm for races 3 through to 8.
As you would expect, we will use our Nap and our Next Best as bankers. Thus we will have bankers in the second and fourth legs, which will allow us to swing a little wider in the other legs. All up we will be playing 54 combinations (3x1x3x1x2x3), with a 10p stake costing £5.40 and so on. Good luck
Leg 1: GOOD FIT (2), KA YING BRILLIANCE (3), HIDDEN SPIRIT (7)
Leg 2: EXCEL DELIGHT (7)
Leg 3: KINGS RACE (3), STARLIT KNIGHT (9), SUPER RED DRAGON (14)
Leg 4: FLYING GENIUS (
Leg 5: RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE (2), RED ELYSEES (6)
Leg 6: BUDDIES (3), BEAR SLAM (11) MONGOLIAN KING (14)
The UK Tote are offering a Placepot pool on all Hong Kong meetings; you can place your bet here.
TIM'S BEST BETS:
1.45pm SHA TIN (Race 4)
EXCEL DELIGHT (NB)
2.15pm SHA TIN (Race 5)
SUPER RED DRAGON (EACH WAY)
2.45pm SHA TIN (Race 6)
FLYING GENIUS (NAP)
This Wednesday sees an eight-race card on the All Weather (dirt) track from Sha Tin, which gets underway at 12.15pm. The feature of the meeting is the finale race 8, the Class 2 Cheung Sha Handicap (3.50pm), over the mile (1650m).
Joao Moreira was in sublime form on the weekend when booting home a five timer and now leads Zac Purton by two winners in a see-sawing jockeys title battle which looks sure to enthral us all until the conclusion.
Moreira became just the fourth jockey to ride 900 winners in Hong Kong joining elite company, Douglas Whyte, Zac Purton and Tony Cruz, and he should move into third spot somewhere in the near future.
My Next Best (NB) selection, EXCEL DELIGHT, goes in race 4 on the card, The Class 4 Kiu Tsui Handicap (1.45pm), over 6 furlongs.
The 4yo isn’t one of the stable stars from the John Size yard, but he wont need to be to win this.
He finished in second spot last time out over course & distance and probably would have won had he drawn a decent gate. On that occasion he was planted three deep and without cover for much of the trip, and was only chinned right on the line (not to mention it was reported he was kicked by the lead pony on the way down to the start).
The race maps completely differently for him today from the low draw in 2, and with early speed from the likes of 4,5,& 10, the selection should be able to box seat in behind the leaders without having to gas early, and just as importantly, he’ll be able to grab some cover.
The selections goes up 2lb in the handicap today, but I think he should be able to grab that back and a bit more with what looks likely to be a far more efficient run in transit.
He’s had the four spins on the dirt track (all over 6 furlongs) for one win and two silver medals, and with an in form Joao Moreira in the saddle, the selection should take plenty of holding out after a luckless run last time.
My each-way selection (EW) SUPER RED DRAGON goes in race 5, The Class 4 Pui O Handicap (2.15pm) over the mile (1650m).
It’s not to often I find myself siding with a one that has gone up in grade for being beaten, but I’m prepared to make an exception for the 4yo from the Chris So yard, and for several reasons.
Firstly, the selection is a lightly raced 4yo who is definitely progressing. Last time out he made up stealthy headway to grab the bronze in a race where he took a bit of a tug toward the rear after they dropped anchor up front.
This race looks more suitable as the tempo will be solid with the 3,9,10 & 11 all likely to look to go forward, and although going up in grade, SUPER RED DRAGON carries a massive 19lb less today.
The selection has been over the trip once on the dirt in this grade. On that occasion it was from a 2lb higher mark, he drew the widest stall and had to be snagged back to the tail before circling the entire field to run 4th to a horse who then came out and won a Class 3 at his next start.
Today from stall 2 the race set up should be far more suitable for the selection, and although he wont be on the front end, I suspect he’ll be able to sit a bit closer than he has been lately, and from the bottom of the weights, and with natural improvement, the son of Starspangledbanner looks a cracking each-way play here.
My best bet (NAP) on the card, FLYING GENIUS, goes in Race 6, The Class 3 Clear Water Bay Handicap (2.45pm) over 6 furlongs.
The 3yo from the Tony Cruz yard has won two of his 6 starts to date and was runner up last time out when having his first spin on the dirt.
He had to do plenty of early work from a wide gate that day, and he was only picked off late by an exciting type who was winning for the third time at just his fourth outing.
The selection had four of these in behind (in order 9,5,2,3) last time, and despite being worse off at the weights today due to Purton taking over from 7lb claimer, he had a tougher run than the others and, well as just stated, you have Purton taking over which goes a long way to offsetting the 7lb.
The race set up looks hugely interesting as both FLYING GENIUS and Just Not Listening To Me (9) diced for the early lead last time before the latter relented and sat in the box seat behind the selection.
Thus from stalls 2 & 1 there could be a bit of 'cat and mouse' between Moreira and Purton for the early lead, but I'd suggest chances are Purton will try to make all, although I wouldn’t be concerned if he elects to take a sit.
The selection stays on the same mark today, which looks more than fair, and in a race where he has drawn low after a few high draws, and with Purton now in the saddle for the first time, I suspect the son of All To Hard will go from the front and be very tough to run down.
Remainder of the Card:
Race 1 is The Class 5 Silvermine Bay Handicap (12.15pm), over 6 furlongs
Absolucool (1) and Chunghwa Jingshen (2) are both dropping down to Class 5 company for the first time. Neither have shown much to date, but both are lightly raced and any market support should be noted.
I’m keen on the chances of AURORA SPEED from the John Size yard. He dropped down to Class 5 company for the first time when 2nd over 5 furlongs at Happy Valley last time, which was a very solid effort given he was hampered on no less than three occasions and featured strongly in the stewards report.
The winner of the race then came out and was only beaten a head in a Class 4, and although going onto the dirt for the first time, (rarely a problem for the Size runners), and with the in form Joao Moreira on top, the selection looks the obvious play.
Race 2 is The Class 4 Kiu Tsui Handicap (12.45pm), over 6 furlongs
Handsome Rebel (1) drops down to Class 4 company for the first time and given he was placed two runs back at Class 3 level, he looks major player. Gracious Ryder was a winner four back at this level, but is on a 9lb higher mark
I’m going to take a proper swing with GOUTEN OF GARO in this. He’s been well held his last four runs but was a winner over 5 furlongs at Happy Valley in November. He looks the likely leader here, which can be favourable on the dirt, and this will be his first run on the dirt for 18 months.
The selection goes from the bottom of the weights, plus has a 3lb claim for Jack Wong, and the David Farraris 6yo is likely to make a bold bid for victory from the front, and at good odds.
Race 3 is The Class 5 Tung Wan Handicap (1.15pm), over the mile (1650m)
Not the strongest of Class 5 contests and I thought the class dropper, GOOD FIT, could be the way to play this one.
He’s a well-exposed type but has won eight times with his last four wins coming at a level above this. His last win (just over a year ago), was over course & distance and when the claim for Jack Wong is taken into account, he goes off a mark 20lb lower today, needless to say he looks dangerously handicapped.
He may need a bit of luck as he is usually ridden cold, but from the draw in 4, if the selection can navigate a clear round, he should take plenty of holding out off this mark.
Race 7 is The Class 3 Hap Mun Bay Handicap (3.15pm), over 9 furlongs
RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE was an impressive winner over course & distance last time when he had no less than six of these in behind. The runner up that day, Red Elysees, is 4lb better off today, and you would think he’d be a chance of turning around a short margin defeat.
But the selection was slow out of the stalls and although given a cool paint hugging ride by Moreira, the run should be marked up. It was the first local win for the former French trained runner (known as Infernal Majesty) but it was also the first time he had been over the 9 furlongs this campaign and the step up in trip was exactly what he was looking for.
They are likely to ride the selection quietly again, but provided he jumps cleanly he may sit closer to the speed and with only a 5lb hike up the handicap, the Michael Chang 5yo should go close to making in back to back victories.
Race 8 is The Class 2 Cheung Sha Handicap (3.50pm), over the mile (1650m)
The feature is a very decent looking contest to close out proceedings and looks open on paper.
Despite having to run off a career high mark, I thought the John Moore BUDDIES was the one to side with here. He’s a horse we have flagged up a few times with a bit of success, and the son of So You Think rarely runs a bad one.
The selection has drawn low in gate 3 today and looks the likely leader, which is ideal. At his last three wins he has led in two of those and sat second in the other, whilst those three victories came from stalls 2, 1 and 1, I’m sure you can see where I’m going with that?
He returns to the dirt having been 2nd from a wide draw last time on turf, but three of his four careers wins have been on the dirt and in a race that should set up ideally for him, I’m hoping BUDDIES can provide Joao Moreira with yet another winner in his quest for this years title.
Wednesday's Tote Placepot
With the recent introduction of Tote Placepot betting on Hong Kong racing, this week we will include a place-pot perm for races 3 through to 8.
As you would expect, we will use our Nap and our Next Best as bankers. Thus we will have bankers in the second and fourth legs, which will allow us to swing a little wider in the other legs. All up we will be playing 54 combinations (3x1x3x1x2x3), with a 10p stake costing £5.40 and so on. Good luck
Leg 1: GOOD FIT (2), KA YING BRILLIANCE (3), HIDDEN SPIRIT (7)
Leg 2: EXCEL DELIGHT (7)
Leg 3: KINGS RACE (3), STARLIT KNIGHT (9), SUPER RED DRAGON (14)
Leg 4: FLYING GENIUS (
Leg 5: RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE (2), RED ELYSEES (6)
Leg 6: BUDDIES (3), BEAR SLAM (11) MONGOLIAN KING (14)
The UK Tote are offering a Placepot pool on all Hong Kong meetings; you can place your bet here.
TIM'S BEST BETS:
1.45pm SHA TIN (Race 4)
EXCEL DELIGHT (NB)
2.15pm SHA TIN (Race 5)
SUPER RED DRAGON (EACH WAY)
2.45pm SHA TIN (Race 6)
FLYING GENIUS (NAP)
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- manwatweet
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- manwatweet
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Topic Author
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- Posts: 2396
- Thanks: 519
- manwatweet
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Topic Author
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- Posts: 2396
- Thanks: 519
- manwatweet
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Topic Author
- Platinum Member
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- Posts: 2396
- Thanks: 519
- manwatweet
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Topic Author
- Platinum Member
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- Posts: 2396
- Thanks: 519
- manwatweet
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Topic Author
- Platinum Member
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- Posts: 2396
- Thanks: 519
- manwatweet
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Topic Author
- Platinum Member
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- Posts: 2396
- Thanks: 519
- manwatweet
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Topic Author
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- Posts: 2396
- Thanks: 519