Re:Turffontein, Thursday 3 December

The Turffontein standside track hosts Thursday`s local races, an eight race card with a 12:40pm start time.


TRACK DETAILS

Race Track: Turf. 2700m oval track. Races up to 1160m straight course; beyond 1160m clockwise round turn with 800m run-in. Track rises 12m from 1600m to 800m marks, making it most testing circuit in SA.

Best Draws: Low-number draws favoured over 1400m and to a lesser extent 1600m.

Pen - 20
Going - Good
False Rail - 3,5 on the back straight to 8m on the bend with a 8m spur at the 700m mark.

JUMP TIMES

Race 1 - 12:40
Race 2 - 13:10
Race 3 - 13:40
Race 4 - 14:10
Race 5 - 14:50
Race 6 - 15:25
Race 7 - 16:00
Race 8 - 16:40

EXOTICS
Bi Pot (Races 1-6 )
P A (Races 2-8 )
Pick 6 (Races 3-8 )
Jackpot 1 (Races 4-7 )
Jackpot 2 (Races 5-8 )

BEST BET
Race 3 LAGERTHA 33/10*

*Odds correct at time of posting

.each way double
Lucy Belle
Iron Mike

Pirhobeta wrote: .each way double
Lucy Belle
Iron Mike

Lucy Belle scratched - anyway I thought Legal Star hard to beat (if they managed to sort out her issues) on the run behind War of Athena; danger imo is Rosaprina - put up her fair debut and could improve this trip

As to Iron Mike, has to prove he gets 1400, but a prime draw and a ratings drop does bring him into this - needs to beat My Kingdom imo

Frodo wrote:

Pirhobeta wrote: .each way double
Lucy Belle
Iron Mike

Lucy Belle scratched - anyway I thought Legal Star hard to beat (if they managed to sort out her issues) on the run behind War of Athena; danger imo is Rosaprina - put up her fair debut and could improve this trip

As to Iron Mike, has to prove he gets 1400, but a prime draw and a ratings drop does bring him into this - needs to beat My Kingdom imo

I like the same in race 3.

interesting sire in the first lance (jet master out the dam lyrical linda)

First two juvenile races. Nice to see sires like Rafeef and William Longsword whom I think are first-time stallions.


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Course configuration 8mt spur into the straight. Could suit the wider drawn runners and be the undoing of inside drawn horses [ remember Mount Pleasant]?

ATM's like the daughter of FRANKEL and the NO.99 are proving costly to follow .

NO.99 odds on now, not for me i'm afraid.

could still find ANOTHER to beat him :oops: :oops:

is nO.99 BANKER material for the P6 ??

These juvenile races always a bit of a guess - and let's face it, the betting no longer providing the clues one needs to survive the BP and PA; I see both Magner babies (especially Retallick) shortening in the betting - will watch with interest

R3: Mentioned already that I fancy Legal Star with the danger being Rosaprina; first-timer Greenhill seems fancied as well, but one would need to watch the betting on that one closer to the off.

R4: Number 99 overdue; first-timer Namib Desert may be good enough to demote 99 to the second box again; can't find anything else

R5: Open looking handicap; on form My Kingdom looks the right one, but has a slightly wide draw to overcome; quite a few others need to be considered as well, Indlamu (also drawn wide), City By The Sea (too high in the ratings imo); Back to Black, Miss Khalifa and Fresh from the US all seem held by MK; Iron Mike gets a rating drop and pole position, but the 1400 may be a stretch; Melchizedek has the draw and his rating keeps dropping, so may be the biggest danger to MK; Emaline faces stronger and not for me

R6: Interesting handicap; at first glance Prospector looks a shoe-in, but his last race when beaten by Pack Leader may not be as strong as it looks - on a line through Bold Matador, P ran to his rating, so I'm willing to take him on with Ice Lord who I think is ready to win; however on their last meeting, Eliud needs consideration as well; The Eighth Lord cantered in last time, did get an 8 pound rise, so may find it tougher, but not to be ignored; Major Return's last run can probably be ignored as he was bumped, and not a lot between him and IL either; the other Azzie inmate Cairon also could be a threat given riding arrangements - not easy

R7: As per the betting, very tough F&M Handicap; first choice for me is Plum Field, who seems overdue for that 3rd win, biggest dangers imo include Fly North, One-Oh- Wonder and the recent maiden winner Euphoriant, who looks well weighted here; obviously there are others to consider like Tartan Dancer and perhaps Anatura (but that one seems safely held by PF); for me I think Pin Up has a lot to do at these weights

R8: Due to the open nature of the previous 3 races, one might be tempted to go short in the P6 here, but again not easy; the one I would take chance with is the favorite Kwite a Trip, big weight but does seem capable and this is only a 1000, so might be able to get away with it; not a lot of others can be ignored though if KaT does get beat

Enjoy

As summed up by Frodo a tricky card.
Alexander stable give Prospector a winning chance today.
Good luck to Oscar

ELIUD ew BEND NOT BREAK best place bet BACK TO BLACK ew GANG LEADER ew