July pick 6, your early thoughts?

I am sure we will be told to get our pick 6 on early, but it’s probably best to wait for late scratchings and any betting moves.

It’s certainly not easy but here are my early thoughts and would like your views to try and establish a reasonably priced perm.

IMO you have to have at least one banker.

Leg one
It’s a difficult start and we don’t want to go out early.
The field would be best but not a financial option.
Bayberry,Atyaab, Doublemint, Nebraas, Smoking Hot and a couple of bigger prices required.

Leg two
Here we can go short with Desert Miracle as a potential banker or add Kailene and Imbewu to be sure.

Leg three
Another difficult race where probably ten selections are required

Leg four July
I don’t think an outsider will win the big one and Rainbow Bridge, GTGL, Do it Again, Linebacker, Rascallion should be enough.

Leg five
Ok this will be my banker WOA and if you have big pockets add Captains Randsom and Princesses Calla.

Leg six
It would be great to have the field but we need as many as possible.
MKs Pride, Ultra Magnus, Captains Tatters are essential

Good Punting

Dave Scott if Escape Artist wins today then I will post my pick six selections. Else consider the July day a tricky card.

Most years the P6 on July Day pays bombs, think this year is no exception. For me, race 7 and 8, one could probably go "lighter" than the other legs.

Race 4, they are betting 5/1 the field, difficult to be confident on anything as the market suggests, probable a field race and hope the biggest outsider wins.

Dave, the two juvenile races, 5 and 6, historically through up a result, go as wide as your budget will afford. Sod's Law, it's the one you leave out, that puts you out looking at these two races.

Race 7, the first 6 in the betting and add a roughie, for me, that would be She's A Keeper. Whilst it is difficult seeing her winning off the rating, she has defied the handicapper on numerous occasions, so maybe she is better than rated, we'll know after the race.

Race 8, the top two in the betting should suffice (in P6 one), play a second P6, and leave the top two out and include the balance of the field. Depending on the previous results on the day, you know which P6 you will be shouting for:).

Race 9, field, you'd be very upset to go out in the last leg if you survive this far.

At first glance - yes, need to go wide in the first - Dream Destiny on his last run can't be left out imo; Leg 2 - Kailene has to be a big runner, but can't ignore Desert Miracle; very wide in Leg 3; the July, we all know the leading lights and for me I think one either goes with Got the Greenlight, or include the top 6 in the betting - for me I'd also be including Sovereign Spirit - willing to take my medicine if She's a Keeper wins; I'd include both War of Athena and Captain's Ransom, and then I'd go shorter in the last - Ikigai, MK, Warrior's Rest and perhaps Kasimir

Leg 1 - 10 horses that you like
Leg 2 - Imbewu, Desert Miracle
Leg 3 - 10 horses that you like
Leg 4 - Got The Greenlight
Leg 5 - War Of Athena
Leg 6 - 10 horses that you like

R500 for 25%

Leg 1 – 3/7/10/12/13/16
Leg 2 – 5/8/12
Leg 3 – 3/4/6/12/14
Leg 4 – 1/7/11/18
Leg 5 – 1/8/9/13
Leg 6 – 3/4/11/13

8640 i think

my bookie and tote has been told to close for 2 weeks and that the July has to move dates

I won't be able to afford more than 1% of the Perm - but here goes:

1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,10,11,12,15,16
3,8
2,3,4,7,8,12,14
1,6,7,8,11,14,16,18
1,13
1,3,6

R8,566

As stated, P6 divs historically pays very well on the day; so basically one would hope to reach the final leg and then cover

Let me enter the Lion's den:-

LEG 1: 1, 3, 4, 5, 7, 10, 13, 15, 16
LEG 2: 1, 3, 8, 12 (Possibly just 8 & 12)
LEG 3: 1, 2, 4, 5, 8, 12, 14
LEG 4: 1, 6, 7, 8, 9, 11, 12, 14, 16, 18
LEG 5: 1, 13
LEG 6: 3

10% = R504

my bookie and tote was told to close so im assuming it will impact the July any one else know anything?

Pilot officer wrote: my bookie and tote was told to close so im assuming it will impact the July any one else know anything?

Definitely racing, copied from a different thread :-

Gold Circle Media Release


Following President Ramaphosa’s National Address last night moving South Africa to Adjusted Level 4 and the media release from the National Horseracing Authority earlier today, Gold Circle can confirm that the Vodacom Durban July race day will go ahead on Saturday, 3 July 2021.

On course attendance at all race meetings in KwaZulu-Natal, from today until further notice, will be limited to essential services personnel; Trainers, Jockeys, Grooms, NHA Staff and Gold Circle Staff required to ensure each race meeting can proceed. No Owners, Gold Circle Members or Box/Suite Holders will be permitted access to either Hollywoodbets Greyville or Hollywoodbets Scottsville until further notice.

The Vodacom Durban July race meeting will be available to view on Tellytrack (DSTV Channel 249) and via the official broadcast on SuperSport 4 (DSTV Channel 204) from 13h00-16h00 on Saturday. The 1st race is off at 11h15 with the VDJ run at 15h00 and the 10th race off at 16h45

I won't be having a punt on the July this year but don't leave out paths of victory from your perms. Why is Warren riding it