TURFFONTEIN SATURDAY 23 APRIL

COMPUTAFORM news.tabonline.co.za/FieldsPDF/Computafo...NTEIN@2022.04.23.pdf

Only one ride each for Domeyer and Superman.


Sent from my Ferrari using Tapatalk

R3, Climate Control (6/10), whilst short in the betting, should win this. Try and watch the debut run, drawn extremely wide in open company, but ran on smartly to finish fourth. Back against his own age group with a fair draw, got to be the one they all have to beat. An anchor in all multiples.

bayern wrote:

R3, Climate Control (6/10), whilst short in the betting, should win this. Try and watch the debut run, drawn extremely wide in open company, but ran on smartly to finish fourth. Back against his own age group with a fair draw, got to be the one they all have to beat. An anchor in all multiples.

Obvious chance - but imo the betting is wrong - at double the odds currently, I'd rather take my chances on Eye of the Prophet

A week later - but I don't believe there should be any weather issues this week; would be interesting to know the feelings of the connections in the Feature - bringing these high class horses to peak is a fine tuning exercise, so some would have preferred to race last week - others may have needed the extra week - be that as it may, let's try to find the winners.

R1: For me Vasilkos boasts the strongest form here - only beaten a short-head by Magic Tattoo - who is somehow amongst the entries of the Computaform Sprint :ohmy: Lebanese Pound made a fair debut taking into consideration that he pulled up lame and for me is the biggest danger to Vasilikos; of the raced runners Mercantour is next best, but I think the field he raced in may not be as strong; interesting debutante is the stablemate to Lebanese Pound, who gets the services of Kennedy - so who knows, but on exposed form I'd go 8,3,4

R2: None of those that have raced have shown great potential, although 3 of them have had only one run to date, so not surprising that the debutante from the Peter yard to be ridden by Kennedy has been priced up as favorite; I think this race is a bit of trappy affair, but of course the favorite could be good enough to make a winning debut - may pay to follow the stable comments (if we get them somewhere) or watch the betting closer to race time

R3: Does look the proverbial boat race between Climate Control and Eye of the Prophet, unless the unraced Tarry debutante can cause an upset, which seems unlikely given the lack of betting support to date; Climate Control of course made a very smart debut when drawn wide against older horses, but a look at the times over the same track and trip, shows that Eye of the Prophet is not out of it

R4: With all the scratchings, only 4 runners are left; on ability, Quest from Afar stands out head and shoulders, but there has to be a slight worry about the 1600m trip - arguably her worst run to date was over the trip (beaten 4 lengths by Marigold Hotel receiving 3 kgs) - still the quality of opposition is such that I would take a chance to bank her in the P6 - if not, any of the other Matchett inmates could win imo, so either bank, or take all 4

R5: As reflected by the betting, seemingly not too much between the top 4 contenders in this Maiden; I would include all 4 as (on collateral form) there should not be more than 2 lengths between them - Porfirio has the added advantage of only having his 3rd run, so probably a narrow first choice; one that could boost the quartet dividend is Takagari - best run arguably over 1700 where he was only a few lengths behind Jaipur Jewel

R6: A competitive Pinnacle Stakes - although Paisley Park is trying the trip for the first time, he runs as if it would suit and should be at his best as this is his third run after a break of more than a year - some of his competitors have been on the go for a while, so his main danger imo is Imperial Master but he seems a difficult ride; I think the price on Paisley Park is rather skinny, but he does shape up as another possible banker in the P6 as the dangers all seem to have something against them; Golden Pheasant seems to have gone 'over the top'; ExpressfromtheUS has not won for almost a year and never over this distance; Green Haze is honest, but 1800 seems to be at the bottom of his range these days; Nartjie has something to find at the weights - so I'd go 4,5,3

R7: The Spook Express - where there is a 12kg spread in the weights, but the top weight Smoking Hot is best in and must have a good chance of pulling this off; for me the dangers are Un Deux Troix (who tries blinkers), She's a Cracker and Aryaam (not sure what happened last time) off only 50 kgs; the 3 yr old Quiet Rebellion and Opera Glass are the top 2 on the boards, but although they probably need to be included, they don't form part of my top 4; any but those 6 would be a bit of an upset imo

R8: The big one on the day, for me should be fought out by the 2 top rated fillies Princess Calla and Zarina; Princess Calla may have appreciated the additional 7 days up here and Aldo takes the ride (in preference to Zarina ?) - but jocks have been wrong before and Zarina has been up here a while so won't be a push-over; a danger amongst the younger fillies may be Under Your Spell - tries 1600 for the first time, but was of course the champion juvenile filly last season - so could be worth throwing into the P6; She's a Keeper for me has a place chance at best over this trip and Sparkling Water is also better over further and could be using this race as a sharpener as she is entered for both the Challenge and the Gerald Rosenberg next week - the rest are outclassed imo

R9: Bit of an anomaly in the ratings here imo, as the best weighted runner is a 1-time winner (out of 19 tries) 4yr-old filly (Purple Shadow) who has won her race on the Poly in KZN - one wonders how she got that rating as she seems to be a no-hoper here; after the scratchings, this race does not look that hard to win and all 3 the Peter runners must be in with shout with Tiger in the Sun looking to upset the party - can't really see anything else - maybe Follow My Path who comes in to draw 8, or Little Rain - has come down from a rating of 78 to 55 (and 10 points in her last 3 runs of which 2 were not too bad)

R10: Competitive handicap to close the meeting - I'll just watch the rugby instead

Enjoy

R8) 11 Under Your Spell e/w
R9) 10 Follow My Path e/w

Someone betting on the night shift, under your spell into 7''s, watch it's last run, off the bit the whole way, going backwards at the 500, down the inside, gets going, gets bulked and runs 4th, bit sick that I missed this

Race 1. MERCANTOUR impressed me on debut and I think is the one to beat. Yeni and the two PP horses to chase him home.

Race 2. Lottery. 4.5.7.8.9-GIN for the shortlist

Race 3. In agreement with Bayren, 2 by many lengths folllwed by the 5 and the 3

Race 4. What Frodo said

Race 5. Open, perhaps the 1 with a better draw this time around.. followed by 3 and 8, then 4,2,6 and 5.

Race 6. This is wide open, I like 3 and 1

Race 7. Difficult again. 1,2,4,6,7,8,9 must be included but it doesn’t ens there.Upset highly possible imo

Race 8. Banker 1 in all bets. 2,3,7,11 to fill the qt

Race 9. 1 and 4

Race 10. What Frodo said

P6

1.4
1.2.3.4.5.6.8
1.3.4.5
F
1
1.4

Treble R1,R3 and R8

Bi.

4.5.7.8.9
2
1
1.3.4.5.6.8 (can only go with 1 and 3)
1.3
1.4.6.8.9

Pa

2
1
1.3
3
1.4
1
1.4

The Empress Club looks to be a cracker - I don't like Princess Calla today at all, even though the stable says she will win by 100m.

She is one of those horses that travels and always looks a winner, but when coming under pressure at this level in a race scenario, she tends to find one or two to beat her. I can understand the stable comments though, at work, she probably would beat Horse Chestnut in a gallop with the way she travels oh so sweetly.

I like Sparkling Water. Yes, she is winning and running over much further, but remember - she is also UNBEATEN over any distance under 1600m. She is now with her own sex and even with the shorter trip, I make her a decent cut above this field. I highly doubt she will take her place in the Champions race next week.