HOLLYWOODBETS KENILWORTH TUESDAY 31 ST JANUARY

Probably stating what most punters know already.

Race: 2, number 2 Rosh Kedesh for a win.

The horse was drawn on the inside of the track, draw 1 on debut over the sprints and was slow out the gate and never quiet got away from the rails when most winners we're down the centre to the outside. The winner Noble City was never going to be caught, but Rosh Kedesh did stay on resolutely until the line and did find its stride eventually. It started 18/10 and at the post went off 6/10, very uncommon for a first timer in a big field on that day.

Tommorow, it's drawn 2 over 1400m, hence draw advantage around the turn. It's main rivals all drawn 9, 10 and 11 which is tough on a reduced Kenilworth straight to make up ground as you turn. With the 6 scratched, perhaps it's only other horse to consider is the 3. The horse should come on from its debut, the speed will not be intense out the gate so should be in the first 4 and should stay on best of all to the line. Intrestingly the horse opened up 5/2 on Sunday with WSB, now trading at 13/10. Looks like the owners and those in the know want to recover lost funds from its debut. Vercingetorix horses generally prefer 1400m to 2000m. I think there is still value to be had at the current odds.

Just my take.

Computaform az-pgl-dsi-ag-cdn-aztabstorage.4racing.c...WORTH@2023.01.31.pdf

Think the Fourie double
Autumn Moon
Future Swing
could be worth a nibble @ 11/1

Played the treble :-

1 Horse Racing South Africa HOLLYWOODBETS KENILWORTH RACE 2 2023-01-31 13:15 2. ROSH KEDESH M/Win 1.25 Pending
2 Horse Racing South Africa HOLLYWOODBETS KENILWORTH RACE 4 2023-01-31 14:25 8. FUTURE SWING M/Win 2.00 Pending
3 Horse Racing South Africa HOLLYWOODBETS KENILWORTH RACE 7 2023-01-31 16:10 8. HOLD MY HAND M/Win 0.91 Pending

It certainly does look like ROSH for the DOSH 👍

Lovely sunny day with a forecast moderate headwind and expecting it to get to 30C.
Race 1 Of the raced runners, Kennedy looks the one to beat after a useful debut. The two first timers must be respected. Our filly, Lady Renee will find this a bit short and she will need this run, but we are expecting a much better effort from her as we think that we have sorted out her issues that were holding her back.
Race 2 Rosh Kedesh had excuses when backed on debut, but I can't have him at the price. Promettere had good Durban form and probably needed his last run when drawn wide, and I make him the one to beat. Marshall Field and Rainbow Colours have wide draws to overcome but have top jockeys so can't be discounted.
Race 3 MSW are always tricky and Autumn Moon is my first choice, but quite a few with chances
Race 4 Beyondtheboundary was considered good enough to contest the Daily News, where he appeared outclassed although running above his rating, but a good win last time after a lengthy break. He has been given a 7lb penalty but still looks well enough in at the weights to win again and gets a nice draw. Future Swing and Gimme a Star look the two dangers.
Race 5 Quite an open race but I think that Montien is progressive and is my pick.
Race 6 Open race, and I'm hoping that Treasure Hunt can put her best foot forward after a disappointing effort last time.
Race 7 Hold My Hand looks a class above on her Guineas run, and despite her moderate effort in the Paddock, she should win this. Open if she fails, and perhaps Silverlinks is the main danger.
race 8 Elusive Trader is down to a very competitive rating and with a top jockey this could be his opportunity to win. Wylie Jack next best but an open race.
Race 9 Another very competitive handicap. My filly Everlasting is better than her last effort and can win under a low weight. Distinction and Hunting Trip I think the ones to beat.

9 Captain Casanova 14.29 12.50 14.29 10.00 7.14 6.67 7.14 5.56 5.00 4.00 3.33
They had a full go there....
Unfortunately for the connections got going too late

GIMMIE A STAR

bayern wrote:

Played the treble :-

1 Horse Racing South Africa HOLLYWOODBETS KENILWORTH RACE 2 2023-01-31 13:15 2. ROSH KEDESH M/Win 1.25 Pending
2 Horse Racing South Africa HOLLYWOODBETS KENILWORTH RACE 4 2023-01-31 14:25 8. FUTURE SWING M/Win 2.00 Pending
3 Horse Racing South Africa HOLLYWOODBETS KENILWORTH RACE 7 2023-01-31 16:10 8. HOLD MY HAND M/Win 0.91 Pending

So far going according to plan.
Let's hope the handicappers have Hold My Hands MR right.
If so should win very comfortably.....
16 MR points better off than any other horse,so around 8 lengths.

Alarming drift on the favorite.


Is the jock going to bring it too late...