USO - Advice please

  • Alcaponee
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USO - Advice please

16 years 2 months ago
#54754
Can anyone explain why Darryl would include a scratching in the PA when he has selected the fav? Does not make any sense. By doubling the amount you spend you double up without the scratching.

The only benefit would be if something else shortens to favouritism. The doubling up scenario becomes a non issue.

Very strange and in my view of no benefit to the uneducated punter.

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  • Jack Dash
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Re: Re: USO - Advice please

16 years 2 months ago
#54755
The favourite may not be the favourite at race time, so you do get the insurance of being guaranteed the favourite if you 'live' selection happens to drift.

It is better to take the fav AND the Scr, rather than doubling the spend.

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  • Alcaponee
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Re: Re: USO - Advice please

16 years 2 months ago
#54757
Thanks Jack -I do understand that hence "The only benefit would be if something else shortens to favouritism. The doubling up scenario becomes a non issue."

18/10 Mohican closest rival 5/1. There will need to be some cash on the tote for something else to shorten to better than the fav.

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  • Jack Dash
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Re: Re: USO - Advice please

16 years 2 months ago
#54760
You are probably right for today and most often. But as happened with Delpech on a fav 2 weeks ago, the fav drifted off the boards and ran last the whole race, then taking this free insurance could save you, and pay a big dividend to boot. It's a pro play imho. And it's for free. But each to their own.

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  • Justanotherpunter
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Re: Re: USO - Advice please

16 years 2 months ago
#54771
Darryl would like to come through 2/3 if Mohican runs a place,hence he has added the scratching.

If he spends R1000 he would come through 666/1000 times if the favourite places,ie :66%

How does doubling his spend help if he takes 2 horses and only comes through 1/2 ie: 50%

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Re: Re: USO - Advice please

16 years 2 months ago
#54791
Jap - your comment "How does doubling his spend help if he takes 2 horses and only comes through 1/2 ie: 50%"

You are forgetting that 1 of the 2 is a scratching and if the only runner does not win you're gone anyway. I am saying that if you choose only the fav or only the scratching you get the same result.

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  • Jack Dash
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Re: Re: USO - Advice please

16 years 2 months ago
#54797
Alcaponee Wrote:
> if you choose only the fav or only the scratching you get the same result.

not true.

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  • nagboy
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Re: Re: USO - Advice please

16 years 2 months ago
#54799
Darryl put 3 horses in the last leg. the favourite, Mr Minary and a scratching so that if the favourite ran a place he would at least double up.

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  • Justanotherpunter
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Re: Re: USO - Advice please

16 years 2 months ago
#54802
Mohican placed and he came through 2/3 with Mohican and the scratching as Mr Minary ran unplaced ie: 2/3 is 66% as opposed to 1/2 which is 50%.

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  • Justanotherpunter
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Re: Re: USO - Advice please

16 years 2 months ago
#54803
I think you may just have misunderstood what he said Al

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  • Alcaponee
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Re: Re: USO - Advice please

16 years 2 months ago
#54811
I did - thanks Jap - I now understand what you mean. What I am saying Nag if he had spent the same amount and only had 2 in the leg, the scratching or the favourite, he still would have finished at 66%.

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