THE RULEBOOK: What to look for picking a horse

I would like to get other's viewpoints of what are the key qualities to look for when making your selections...How do we choose which one is the right one?

What I am suggesting is a Rulebook of things to look for so we can rate the meeting using these rules...perhaps I can even packet it into software and distribute it freely amongst the clan members...will make being a part of the "clan" even more worth it... I will start with Rule 1 and you just edit and add the post with your additional Rules...let's see if we can put a Rulebook together during April guys/girls...we could even have a weghting factor based on Maidens, Low MR (85) and High MR (85+) eventually, so let's see where it goes.

I allways look at 3 KEY factors and the one does not go without the other ...(1) Form, (2) Intent, (3) Value....at the end of it all I will class them into these 3 or perhaps we find more KEY factors...

I will start of with my 1st Rule when I look at the chances and anyone feel free to add the important things for you that comes up 1st when you look for your winners. Mine would probably shock half of the racing community but mine is based more on finding horses that has definate place probabilities and because of that I would like to take out as much of possible of the "risk" factor...not knowing what to expect ...and therefore this is my 1st Rule...

THE RULEBOOK:

1) The horse must have run in the last 21 days

Rule 2) I like my selections to have a good to excellent jockey. Win ratio greater than 7%.

Every race has its own 'rules' - a rulebook is impractical imvho

Frodo Wrote:

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> Every race has its own 'rules' - a rulebook is
> impractical imvho


Thanks for the opinion Frodo IMVHO I do not agree...at the end it is just data that we are analyzing and if we allocate points to the rules @ scale the data qualifies for we have a probability factor...things starts standing out that did not catch the eye in the past...

To each his own(

Loops I would prefer to call it method of studying the racecard...


1. Follow Big Stables ... I do believe you increase your chances with this basic approach
2. Inform stables and jockeys (Last 30 runs)
3. Form of horse
4. Alumite stikes ... You can sometimes get good value

There are plenty more, these are just the basics...

I just look at price

Here is mine:

1. Price
2. Trainer with one horse at a visiting centre, with top jockey on board and first time blinkers.
3. Trainer and jockey combination with a 100% win strike rate obtainable from the sporting post who's hot and who's not.

Howzit Loopy Logic

I agree RULE 2: THE NO OF HORSES IN A FIELD AFTER ALL SCRATCHINGS SHOULD BE 13 OR LESS.

Don't let big fields fool you into believing that there is value infact there is more risk than value. In my books I'm trying to avoid risk by selecting more certain bets than value bets (even if it's at a lower pay out.at least my strike rate will stay high and my money keep growing in my bank balance).

1 - over a 1400m race - look for horses who have run places or just out of the placings over further (1600 1800 2000), few lengths off the winner & may drop in class (except maiden races naturally) - usually get nice odds.
2 - horses for courses & good form over race distance & the going
3 - trainer/jockey combo
4 - breeding
5 - price

and to read what is said on this forum regarding the days racing(tu)

90% of the races go to the top 10% trainers
90% of the races are won by the top 10% jockeys

i started making money when i stopped backing unreliable/out of form/poor jockeys&stables

This is probably the first time I have disagreed with so many posts in one topic:

Using the price as you first pointer???? Are you joking???? Bookmakers would love to hear you say that.....

How about using your head and make your own opinions - you'll be surprised how you'll improve your punting. It's far more rewarding finding your own winners than listening to other people in my opinion....

1. Look at the form - know the race card like the back of your hand
2. Understand racing (think why a trainer has entered a horse into a specific race)
3. Look at the horse in the parade ring and watch it canter down to the start. There is nothing more annoying than backing a horse that goes down short. (obviously this only applies to race time punters).

I've learnt to make my own opinion after working for a Cape trainer and trust me, it's eye opening to see how prices tend to be misleading..... This method works