Some rules to identify true favourites

  • Tero
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Some rules to identify true favourites

13 years 8 months ago
#163274
True Favourite Horse Racing Betting System

This horse racing selection method betting system will help you identify the best prepost favourites.

Here are the rules.

1. Eliminate 2YO races.

2. Concentrate on races from 1200 metres to 1600 metres.

3. Eliminate any prepost favourite that is first up from a rest.

4. Eliminate any prepost favourite that starts from wider than barrier six after scratchings.

5. Eliminate any prepost favourite that has not raced within the last three weeks.

6. Eliminate any prepost favourite that does not have a win strike rate of at least 25%.

7. Eliminate any prepost favourite that has a higher handicap weight of two kilos or more from its handicapped weight last start. Ignore this rule if its handicapped weight is no more than 56.5kg.

8. Eliminate any prepost favourite that has not won at the distance of the race or within 200 metres either side of the distance.

9. Eliminate any prepost favourite that did not run a place or within two lengths of the winner at its last start.

With these rules in place you'll identify fit, in form, true favourites.

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  • wonbyamile
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Re: Re: Some rules to identify true favourites

13 years 8 months ago
#163275
thanks tero....(tu)

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  • Unlucky_Dube
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Re: Re: Some rules to identify true favourites

13 years 8 months ago
#163278
I'm a value guy, and so if I was a favourite backer I would also add this rule,

* I will not bet on any favourite unless the starting price is over 2-1.

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  • Bob Brogan
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Re: Re: Some rules to identify true favourites

13 years 8 months ago
#163308
Dube there are favourites Value at 1/5

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  • rob faux
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Re: Re: Some rules to identify true favourites

13 years 8 months ago
#163316
Spot on Hibs.
This last tuesday my "best Bet" I had calculated to be a 7/10 shot.
I was delighted when I got my bets on at 13/10 and 14/10.....very good PERCEIVED value!
It won(thank goodness) so perceived value became actual value.

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  • pirates
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Re: Re: Some rules to identify true favourites

13 years 8 months ago
#163320
rob faux Wrote:
> Spot on Hibs.
> This last tuesday my "best Bet" I had calculated
> to be a 7/10 shot.
> I was delighted when I got my bets on at 13/10 and
> 14/10.....very good PERCEIVED value!
> It won(thank goodness) so perceived value became
> actual value.


someone should try explain that to a few of the presnters especially messrs andrews and terry way past his sell by date paine

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Re: Re: Some rules to identify true favourites

13 years 8 months ago
#163321
Unlucky_Dube Wrote:
> I'm a value guy, and so if I was a favourite
> backer I would also add this rule,
>
> * I will not bet on any favourite unless the
> starting price is over 2-1.

So are you not going to back the first one at the Vaal. Interesting.?

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  • Unlucky_Dube
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Re: Re: Some rules to identify true favourites

13 years 8 months ago
#163348
East, I have used my past records. And betting anything less than 2-1 is like spinning the wheel to me. I'd have good runs and bad runs. Overall in the long run on these bets I'd be slightly down or just about even. Where's the fun in that? When I looked at all my bets that I got at over 2-1, they won less often for sure, but often enough to return a good profit. Check your own records and I'm sure you'll see it was your longer shots making you more, even though they did not come in as often.

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Re: Re: Some rules to identify true favourites

13 years 8 months ago
#163378
Not very often do I back on the nose unless I get info.

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  • Loopy Logic
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Re: Re: Some rules to identify true favourites

13 years 8 months ago
#163539
eastexpo Wrote:
> Not very often do I back on the nose unless I get
> info.

Not very often will you win getting info...

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Re: Re: Some rules to identify true favourites

13 years 8 months ago
#163541
Loopy Logic Wrote:
> eastexpo Wrote:
>
>
> > Not very often do I back on the nose unless I
> get
> > info.
>
> Not very often will you win getting info...


Loopy = like today. was a cake to believe that Kalaam was worth a punt. A unfashionable stable. -

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  • ismikle
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Re: Re: Some rules to identify true favourites

13 years 8 months ago
#163563
Loopy Logic Wrote:
> eastexpo Wrote:
>
>
> > Not very often do I back on the nose unless I
> get
> > info.
>
> Not very often will you win getting info...


AMEN !!!!

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