Champions Day-28th April 2012

Love Struck is a big big runner today, he travelled wel and ready for a big fight. Rapid flow smart filly expect a top run as she won on this track before.

Champions Day where more than a 3rd of the horses entered come from 2 stables - everybody has an opinion - my thoughts:

R1: Troubled Waters to give the Tarry stable a good start to the day - at best this trip and on a line through Festival Spirit should hold the main danger Golden Crest
R2: After hearing Chesney van Zyl on USO, Franny looks very hard to oppose - imo Genuine Leather and Sea Shadow will fight oout second while according the MdK Umneeyatee needs more ground
R3: De Kock and Marcus and a horse that's unbeaten and according to MdK will be even better over the 1160 - so Soft Falling Rain obvious PA banker imo - value in the race could be Mogok's Desire to place; not sure about War Horse (may now need further) and the blinkers - Zestful needs more improvement to beat MD again - dark horse is Ziperana who could be anything
R4: Uptothemoon beat Jackodore before and is better off at the weights - good value imo; however the Tarry coupling has had 9 runs over this trip between them for 5 wins and 4 places - so both must be included in everything - Carey's Qui could surprise, but all of Control Freak, Welwitchia (better 1400) and Variometer (better 1000) are not ideally distance suited imo and Torra Bay faces much stronger here
R5: IF Val de Ra is fit and ready she will win; What a Winter to benefit if VdR is not 100% - imo Shea Shea's last win flatters him a bit and JJ needs a lot of improvement on his last run (and also now could prefer 1200)
R6: Who will stay the Derby trip - MdK says Silver Flyer will stay; if he's right then SF will be right there and the same applies to Pomodoro, E-Jet and Brook's Club; imo Zambucca will definitely stay and is good each way value at current odds - interesting jockey arrangement on Royal Becher, who could be the surprise package
R7: Apparently Seal is not going to go the front - so pace is going to be huge factor in this race - I think Bravura has the class, the right jock and is going to set his own pace and lead all the way - Dancewiththedevil needs a strong pace but could run on for 2nd; imo Europa Point is vulnerable over the 2000 while imo both Flirtation and English Garden have a few lenghts to find at these weights
R8: Who will stay the Oaks trip - Mdk very confident about Ilha Bela, and while she did come from far back in the Filles Classic, it does not automatically follow that she will see out the 2450 - still the one to beat, but the odds definitely a bit skinny imo - Kalami has an obvious chance and Avenue of Gold will at least see out the trip; Markofdistinction can't be ignored and the dark horse for me is Tresco
R9: A MdK benefit
R10; Gorongosa very hard to beat at these weights imo

ATC for me - Troubled Waters, Franny, Gorongoza

Enjoy (tu)

preparing for egg in the face but love struck would have been better off running in the 2yo group 2 feature on tuesday at scotsville

I'm back, whats been happening in the world of racing...:S

Frodo Wrote:

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> R6: ... imo Zambucca will
> definitely stay and is good each way value at
> current odds - interesting jockey arrangement on
> Royal Becher, who could be the surprise package

> R7: ... I think Bravura has the class, the right jock and
> is going to set his own pace and lead all the way

(tu) and (tu)

:)o

gregbucks Wrote:

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> I'm back, whats been happening in the world of
> racing...:S

Good to "read" you again

We all had a massive coup and are millionaires, how was KP?

silver flyer take the double into the july(you can always back something else afterwards but get on now)

What a winter this is gonna be....double with Soft Falling Rain.

All the best today boys hope you make pots full of cash!!!

Englander Wrote:

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> gregbucks Wrote:
>

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>

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> > I'm back, whats been happening in the world of
> > racing...:S
>
> Good to "read" you again
>
> We all had a massive coup and are millionaires,
> how was KP?

As always it was fantastic, didn't want to come back...:X

Great you had a good time and I know that leaving feeling GB... still, big wins today and you can give it all up and buy a nice little pad in Marloth Park!

Hey Frodo, thanks for the preview(tu), can't see Val De Ra loosing over the 1000metres...

Thanks Frodo for your summary.

Obviously opinions will differ, But i have done the following during the week.

Doubles and trebles with

Soft Falling Rain
Ilha Bella
Atlantic Oak.

Backed Umneeyatee on the nose ( did not include in my ATC).
Gonna take some multiples with Gorongosa.