July formlines...your thoughts?

(THIS WAS MY STATUS UPDATE LAST NIGHT)
Tribal dance.....go take the 40/1 and thank me forever after the 7 july 2012....go sell your house and put it on a eachway....40/1 to win and 7/1 to run in the first 4 placings

(THE CONVERSATION THAT FOLLOWED)
Andrew Bon
WHY WILL HE RUN ????
Like · · See Friendship · 17 hours ago ·
Zietsman Oosthuizen
for the last 3 days i studied every race these horses,TOP 24 TO FIGHT OUT JULY FIELD(ACCORDING TO MYSELF) BEACH BEAUTY BULSARA CASTLETHORPE CHESALON ENGLISH GARDEN ETON SQUARE GALANTHUS GOLD ONYX ILHA BELA ILSANPIETRO
JACKSON PIERRE JOURDAN POLAR BOUND POMODORO ROYAL BENCHER SAGE THRONE SEAL SMANJEMANJE SOLO TRAVELLER TALES OF BRAVERY TOP SELLER TRIBAL DANCE VETTEL
VIVA MARIA ran in last 6 months and analysed every july entry in that race and wrote a report on every run ...i did every formline possible....my whole report and formline analyses is 14 pages long ,so i think i did a thorough job of it. If Tribal Dance gets in and can be ridden handy he have Jackson 6 lenghs beaten on the weights ....and Jackson must still have a dream run race like all his previous races !want to know more?
14 hours ago · Like

Andrew Bon
You have not answered my question.??????
10 hours ago · Like · 3

Greg Naidoo
You guys still think horse racing is a science.. If that is the case, how do you factor in every possible scenario for pace, slow starting, horses checking etc? Weights are merely there to balance scorecards, not win a mathematical quiz. I agree with Bonsky here.
7 hours ago via mobile · Like
Zietsman Oosthuizen
why not andrew?he ran 4th to jackson in Politician stakes less than 3 lenghs, 3rd behind jackson in investec derbyGr1 6 lenghs back but had the worst race and was ridden from way back , 2nd to Variety club in Winter GuinnessGr3 exactly the same distance jackson got beaten by Variety club in KZNGuuiness ridden from back without the best of run ,then he won the the east cape derby by 3 lenghs ridden ridden handy....jackson and Variety club got hammered a rating of 116 for investec derby and Tribal dance only a 105.....the next race over 1600m he got beaten by variety club the same lenghs jackson got beaten.....the handicapper slipped up badly and they didnt penalised him for the east cape derby....he is by far the best handicapped horse in the race.....does it make sense mr Andrew Bon?Hope you can get the camera on him again...
3 hours ago · Like

Andrew Bon
Zietsman, you are missing the point. All your form is correct. That is not rocket science. The horse is currently 25th on the log and if you back him now you do your money in cold blood. When the horse won the East Cape Derby, the trainer told me that he would probably run him in the KZN Derby and not the Vodacom July. All i was trying to get out of you was.... do you know that he is a certain acceptor and running. That is all dear Sir.
3 hours ago · Like
Zietsman Oosthuizen
i hope so,the july going to be a very fast run race,he is the horses with the longest kick and will relished the trip and is best handicapped.i dont think the following horses deserve a place in july field:(i also put on how they performed in stakes and graded races in last 6 months JET JAMBOREE (0) , HOUSE OF WAX(won listed,4th Gr2),CAPTAIN’S WILD(5th listed,4th Gr3) ,GALILEO’S DESTINY(5th Gr3 over 1400m),BULSARA (5th Gr2), LION IN WINTER(3rd Gr2,4th Gr2 ,5th Gr3), TOP SELLER(2nd listed),and i think mdk will withdraw solo traveller also to make sure ilha bela gets in.your thoughts andrew?
2 hours ago · Like

I WANT YOUR CLANNERS VIEWS PLEASE....AM I MAD OR DO I HAVE A VERY GOOD POINT?

it's not a fore(mline)gone conclusion

Go back and tell bonski that Tribal Dance is 19th on the last Log and there has been scratchings above him...

HIbs, Bonski get something right, come on. <

YOU AGREE WITH ME HIBS,SHREK,GREGBUCKS,OU RYPERD,TITCH,SCOTIA,SYLVESTER AND ALL THE OTHER "EXPERTS".....OR DID YOU GO AND HAMMERED THE BOOKIES BEFORE YOU REPLY WITH A "THANKS ZIETS,I WENT AND SOLD MY HOUSE,I OWN YOU BIG TIME!!!!"...LOL:)-D

I would wait for the final field to be announced, should still get a nice price on Tribal Dance if he runs but I think he's short of a prep run for the July.

Would love him to win for the Ekstein family.

Great analysis, I must say boet!!
Don't listen to anyone else!!you got 40/1 good for u mate, I always liked Tribal dance, but will only tk a place if in final field

thanks:)-D

Brilliant analysis and thanks I will definitely take the place bet - Tribal Dance in the July

I still believe Jackson is a Superstar and will make enough improvement come july Day to take the honours

@ Zietsman,

There are a few unknowns like the Barrier Draw and he has not been at Greyville before, so my 2 cents advice is
don't lose the house , horses make fools of men and I have seen furniture disappear etc. before the house was REALLY LOST.
Your analysis is sound!

Zietsman ".....he (Tribal Dance) has Jackson 6 lenghs beaten on the weights ....and Jackson must still have a dream run race like all his previous races".

No offence, Zietsman, but I think you have gone mad.......