Kenilworth Tuuesday 14/5/13

Discuss Tuesdays racing below...

Haven't decided about how to structure my bets as yet but my early calls are the following:

1 - Darling Moon
2 -
3 - Saint Deportista
4 - Caprisa
5 - Life's design
6 - Dressed in cotton
7 - Royal Folly
8 - Pirate Flag

1) Wet Autumn Mist
2) Nordic Warrior
3) Maria's Daughter
4) Legal Trip
5) Fairyinthewoods
6) Captain Harry
7) Lord Jonathan
Dan Patch

1) King's Summit
2) Nordic Warrior
3) Rainbow Warbler
4) Legal Trip
5) Fairyinthewoods
6) Dressed in Cotton
7) Royal Folly
Just Ask

race 1 no.5 darling moon

race 4 no. 1 temple tiger

race 5 no. 9 fairyinthewoods

race 6 no.6 dressed in cotton (Burger King double?)

break a leg and all the best to those with runners!

(tu)

I'm afraid prices for the first very wrong.those that price up ar
e imo devious.majority of money should be on the top two and I cannot see either in first three.this must surely be the oldest trick in the book.maybe dutch a few longshots.should workout.

Fairyinthewoods

zaeem Wrote:

---

> I'm afraid prices for the first very wrong.those
> that price up ar
> e imo devious.majority of money should be on the
> top two and I cannot see either in first
> three.this must surely be the oldest trick in the
> book.maybe dutch a few longshots.should workout.

Why don't you name the horses that you are referring too. They are betting 11/2 bar Darling Moon (which is 16/10), so if you feel another horse in the race is a bigger price than you feel it should be, that's the one to punt - nothing devious about that:S, if anything, you should be happy

I am referring to darling moon and hakahana and to a lesser extent als bonanza.you seem irritated.did I say something wrong.I cannot feel happy when punters lose.surely prices steer people to and away from selection.if the bookies know that say kings summit has a strong winning chance its in their interest to hide that horse and put up a horse that appears to have winning credentials at the top.but the race will tell.

200 favourites have wonn from 558 races 35.8% the highest win rate in the country

hibernia Wrote:

---

> 200 favourites have wonn from 558 races 35.8% the
> highest win rate in the country


what is the benchmark stat for favourites winning.there can never be an answer to that so I'm suggesting that that stat is neither here nor there.

zaeem Wrote:

---

> I am referring to darling moon and hakahana and to
> a lesser extent als bonanza.you seem irritated.did
> I say something wrong.I cannot feel happy when
> punters lose.surely prices steer people to and
> away from selection.if the bookies know that say
> kings summit has a strong winning chance its in
> their interest to hide that horse and put up a
> horse that appears to have winning credentials at
> the top.but the race will tell.


If you do your own tissue prices it will throw up some value in your eyes and none in others.
When I have time,like this week I pick a couple of races,normally 8-12 runner fields and not maidens.
Yesterday,I made Kahals Secret a 5/1 shot,12/1 was available so I punted it ew.