Royal Randwick - Saturday

It's the 5th richest race day in the world on Saturday, as all eyes turn towards Royal Randwick Race Course in Australia for THE CHAMPIONSHIPS. It will headlined by the world’s richest open sprint race, the $2.5 million Darley TJ Smith Stakes, the world’s richest mile, the $3million The Star Doncaster Mile and iconic feature race the $2million BMW Australian Derby. Hollywoodbets.net will have open win, place, exacta, trifecta and quartet betting available on the whole card!

GROUP 1 FEATURES:
Inglis Sires' Produce Stakes ($1,000,000) - 06:35 (R5)
BMW Australian Derby ($2,000,000) - 07:10 (R6)
Darley T J Smith Stakes ($2,500,000) - 07:50 (R7)
The Star Doncaster Mile ($3,000,000) - 08:30 (R8)

For tips on this big race day click here:
www.sportsnews.com.au/horse-racing/donca...ck-racecourse/107458

For info on this big race day:
www.heraldsun.com.au/sport/superracing/i...ibdy7y-1226880276376

Race Card via Race Net:
www.racenet.com.au/form/race-form-a_new....andwick-raceclub-nsw

Don`t know how the aussies do it, and they have bookies!!!!!

We've priced up fixed odds betting for the four Group 1s. If you want to listen to it live click here for TAB AUS radio:
www.tabtouch.com.au/RRLive

Race 5 - Inglis Sires' Produce Stakes ($1,000,000) - 06:35 (R5) - PREVIEW

Gerald Ryan dominates Sires Produce Stakes with his talented quartet of youngsters
www.foxsports.com.au/more-sports/horse-r...frf41l-1226880943991

IF the Golden Slipper is the best form reference to the ATC Sires Produce Stakes, then Believe Yourself is the horse to beat in the Group 1 $1 million juvenile race at Royal Randwick on Saturday.

Believe Yourself ran a very good fourth behind Mossfun, Earthquake and Bring Me The Maid in last week’s Golden Slipper, and is the first home from that race to back up in the Sires.

It is rare that none of the Slipper placegetters are starting in the Sires but this has certainly provided Believe Yourself with an opportunity to claim a major race win.

Trainer Gerald Ryan said he wasn’t surprised by the filly’s fast finishing fourth in the Slipper and added she has come through that race in very good order.

``It was always our plan to set her for the triple crown so that is why she only had the one lead-up run into the Golden Slipper,’’ Ryan said.

``She’s a quality filly and the 1400m will suit her. All going well she will also run in the Champagne Stakes.’’

Ryan, renowned as a master trainer of juveniles, has four of the 11 starters in the Sires and his quartet dominate betting.



Believe Yourself is early equal TAB Fixed Odds favourite at $3.80 with stablemate Peggy Jean while Ryan’s other pair Lucky Raquie and Time For War are $8. The only other Sires runner under $11 is the Peter Snowden-trained Kumaon at $6.

Ryan deliberately sent Peggy Jean, Lucky Raquie and Time For War straight to the Sires rather than a Slipper start.

``I’ve always felt these three were better suited at 1400m and their owners were happy to go to the Sires,’’ he explained.

Ryan said he will instruct apprentice Damien Thornton to carry the whip in the left hand when he rides the unbeaten but erratic Time For War.

The Rosehill-based trainer also has his stable sprint star Snitzerland primed for the Group 1 $2.5 million Darley T.J. Smith Stakes (1200m) while Koroibete lines up in the $2 million BMW Australian Derby (2400m).

The likelihood of a rain-affected track and extreme outsider barrier will make it tough for Snitzerland but the mare is a definite starter, Ryan said.

``Snitzerland could not be going any better but we just have to hope the track improves,’’ Ryan said.

``We will probably have to go forward from that gate but how far forward is up to Brenton (Avdulla) and also how much speed there is early in the race.’’

Koroibete has disappointed Ryan in three runs this preparation including his 10th to Gallatin in the Tulloch Stakes last week.

``He needs to improve — I’m hoping getting to 2400m brings out the best in him,’’ Ryan added.

The favourite takes the first Group 1 - Inglis Sires' Produce Stakes ($1,000,000) - 06:35 (R5).
Unofficial result
1st - PEGGY JEAN
2nd - SCRATCH ME LUCKY
3rd - CORNROW

Next feature at 07:10
BMW Australian Derby ($2,000,000) - 07:10 (R6)
The 2014 Australian Derby is a Group I set-weight race for three-year-olds held over a distance of 2400 metres at Randwick Racecourse with total prizemoney of $2,000,000.

BETTING:

1 CRITERION 22/10

2 PUCCINI 7/1

3 THUNDER FANTASY 7/1

8 GALLATIN 10/1

4 SAVVY NATURE 10/1

13 SINGING FLAME 10/1

5 TERONADO 10/1

12 TUPAC AMARU 14/1

10 BEST CASE 25/1

11 CRIME FIGHTER 25/1

9 HOOKED 25/1

14 CADILLAC MOUNTAIN 40/1

17 SURGING WAVE 50/1

6 KOROIBETE 66/1

16 MOUNTAIN VIEW 66/1

15 SOLO SAGA 66/1

7 SURGE AHEAD 66/1

18 HERESDECASINO 100/1

2014 ATC Australian Derby preview
www.theroar.com.au/2014/04/10/the-champi...ll-preview-and-tips/
It’s not often a $2M race has to settle for third banana, but such is the Australian Derby’s fate in the revamped autumn racing schedule.
The Rosehill Guineas is the clear and obvious form reference, with the first five horses in betting all coming from the race, including the first four home. Because it was held on a slow track, punters should be able to get a clear line in similar conditions.
Criterion exploded away to win at Rosehill, using the time-honoured technique in Sydney of railing up on soft ground while other horses are moved to supposed better ground six to ten horses off the fence.
Hugh Bowman had no problem saving many lengths and having plenty to spare as he crossed the line. Drawn in barrier one, that combination will likely look to do the same again.
Thunder Fantasy was next home, and after sitting next to Criterion in the run, took the longer way home to finish three and a half lengths in arrears. If you swap the runs, you probably swap the result.
Teronado was the third horse, putting in his patented eye-catcher, simultaneously franking the Australian Guineas form from Flemington, where he, Thunder Fantasy and Criterion finished in the same order as at Rosehill.
Savvy Nature was good alongside Teronado and shouldn’t be forgotten. John O’Shea said this horse wouldn’t be racing over staying trips any more after his failure in the Victorian Derby, but he has obviously changed his mind.
Puccini was favourite in the Rosehill Guineas, but fired up after Michael Walker’s saddle slipped and was never in contention. Connections were unhappy with his ride and dumped him unceremoniously, despite the Kiwi jockey having delivered three wins on the trot for them, including the Group 1 New Zealand Derby. Tough crowd.
Gallatin and Singing Flame bring the Tulloch Stakes formline to the race, fighting out last week’s result on the heavy ground after previously meeting in a Kensington Benchmark 70. There was a nice gap to the others in the Tulloch, but that form doesn’t look top class at this stage.
Sometimes the path less travelled, is less travelled for a reason. The favourites with the Group 1 form to fight this one out.
Selections: 1.Thunder Fantasy 2.Criterion 3.Puccini 4.Teronado

Racenet's Top 5 for the 2014 Australian Derby
www.racenet.com.au/races/australian-derby

CRITERION – Won well last time out in the Rosehill Guineas, racing away from a strung out field in the heavy going. Likely to get the same conditions here and ran a bold fourth in the Victoria Derby in the spring which provides confidence that he will run the trip out. Barrier one may be a hindrance for him because of his racing pattern but with even luck in running he is the horse to beat again.

THUNDER FANTASY – Classy runner with a decent amount of experience under his belt. He is also a stakes winner and stakes placed on multiple occasions. Handles the ground and has the services of a top jockey in Damien Oliver. Right in it.

SINGING FLAME – Went desperately close to pulling off a brave front running performance. As long as that run hasn’t blown the wind out of his sails then he is a live chance. Only needs to get find the front again to give a sight in the straight and if the pace of the race is slow to moderate then he can win.

GALLATIN – Hard to ignore his Tulloch Stakes win and showed he handles a wet surface. Coming into form at the right time and the 2400 metres should be no problem for him. If he can cop the seven day turn around then he is right in this race.

TERONADO – Gives every impression he will appreciate the step up in distance. Was sound late in the Rosehill Guineas and got through the wet ground well. If the race is run as a true staying test he will be there at the finish.

Australian Derby Favourites

Learn more about the horses that are betting favourites for the Australian Derby:

In the past 10 years, 2 of 10 Australian Derby Favourites have won - average price = $2.38

In the past 10 years, 6 of 10 Australian Derby Favourites have failed to place - average price = $3.23

Since 1983, 7 Australian Derby winners have won at double figures - average price = $15.43

Since 1983 the Australian Derby favourite has won 10 times and been placed 9 times. Below is a table of the history of favourites during that period (excludes equal favourites).

Darley T J Smith Stakes ($2,500,000) - 07:50 (Race 7) - PREVIEW
NOTE - this is the same race BLACK CAVIAR won last year and in 2011!!
www.races.com.au/2014/04/11/2014-tj-smit...de-betting-analysis/

The feature sprint showdown on the Doncaster Mile Day program in Sydney this weekend is the TJ Smith Stakes 2014, the Races.com.au team’s form analysis and betting preview for which are detailed below.

There are a capacity 18 runners set to face off in this year’s $2.5 million Group 1 Darley TJ Smith Stakes (1200m), the classic running as Royal Randwick Race 7 at 3:50pm (AEST).

Two emergencies also still lay in wait for a scratching, the first emergency Irish Fling however already withdrawn.

The top three rated TJ Smith Stakes acceptors are also the only three in the mix under double figures at Ladbrokes.com.au to win with current betting led by the market mover Lankan Rupee.

Steady money continues to come in for this Mick Price-trained four-year-old, Redoute’s Choice gelding Lankan Rupee now into $3.80 to make it three Group 1 wins on the trot.

They’ve won all five of their starts since November last year including the coveted Oakleigh Plate – Newmarket Handicap Group 1 sprint double this autumn in Melbourne.

While yet to race in Sydney under race conditions, the TJ Smith Stakes favourite did win their Randwick trial last Friday indicating they could handle the reverse way of going.

The only other barrier could then be the wet track at Randwick, Lankan Rupee yet to run on anything worse than a Dead (4).

Following Lankan Rupee in the TJ Smith Stakes betting markets are then triple Group 1 winning Queensland champ Buffering ($6) second-up for the season after a below par seventh when resuming here in mid-March and Tom Hogan’s Irish raider Gordon Lord Byron ($ coming via a Group 1 George Ryder upset from a fortnight ago.

To help you figure out with this top trio are the ones to lock into your TJ Smith Stakes trifecta tips for this weekend, below are our must know facts and stats on the race.

2014 TJ Smith Stakes Form Facts & Betting Stats

Last year’s TJ Smith Stakes winner was the Peter Moody-trained Black Caviar (in her career swansong) who came off autumn wins in the Lighting Stakes and William Reid Stakes, jumped from barrier one (of 11) and was ridden by Luke Nolen
This year Moody’s only chance of going back-to-back is with emergency runner #20e Flamberge ($71)
Barrier one that produced Black Caviar 12 months ago to win then belongs this year to the favourite #3 Lankan Rupee ($3.80) who will be ridden by Craig Newitt
Horse Racing Tip
The favourite Lankan Rupee has the inside alley which Black Caviar won the TJ Smith Stakes from last year
Join now to bet with
The most successful TJ Smith Stakes barrier since 1983 is gate five with five winners followed by four with three winners; this year those gun gates belong to #12 Aeronautical ($101) and #6 Tiger Tees ($26) respectively
Favourites have won three of the past 10 TJ Smith Stakes with four in that time failing to place
This year’s Lighting Stakes winner #14 Snitzerland ($17) is in the mix for the TJ Smith Stakes drawn out wide (21), as is the William Reid Stakes champ #6 Tiger Tees ($26) in barrier four
The William Reid Stakes has twice produced the TJ Smith Stakes winner in the past decade with Black Caviar also completing the double in 2011
Along with #3 Lankan Rupee (Group 1 Newmarket Handicap, 1200m, Flemington, 08/03/2014) and #4 Spirit Of Boom (Group 1 William Reid Stakes, 1200m, Moonee Valley, 21/03/2014) the other last start winners are: #2 Gordon Lord Byron (Group 1 George Ryder Stakes, 1500m, Rosehill, 29/03/2014), #6 Tiger Tees (Group 1 The Galaxy, 1100m, Rosehill, 29/03/2014), #15 Steps In Time (Group 1 Coolmore Classic, 1500m, Rosehill, 22/03/2014) and #20e Flamberge (Group 3 Sebring Stakes, 1200m, Rosehill, 05/04/2014)
Mares have won the TJ Smith Stakes four times in the past 10 years; the three mares in the mix this year are: #14 Snitzerland ($18), #15 Steps In Time ($17) and #21e Peron ($101)
The only filly to win in that time has been Melito (2010); the two fillies out to be the next this year are #17 Sweet Idea ($17) and #18 Villa Verde ($16)
The most successful age group in the past decade has been six-year-olds with three wins; six-year-olds in the mix this year are #1 Buffering ($6), #2 Gordon Lord Byron ($, #4 Spirit Of Boom ($26), #6 Tiger Tees ($26), #7 Bel Sprinter ($51) and #15 Steps In Time ($17)
Gai Waterhouse is the most successful TJ Smith Stakes winning trainer since 1983 with three wins from nine starters; this year she’ll be after her fourth with #17 Sweet Idea ($17)
Nash Rawiller is the most successful TJ Smith Stakes winning jockey with 2 wins from seven rides since 1983 along with Luke Nolen (2 from 3); this year Rawiller rides #6 Tiger Tees ($26)
Over the distance the horses with the best record are: #1 Buffering (25-10-6-3), #2 Gordon Lord Byron (17-5-3-4), #14 Snitzerland (11-5-1-0), #15 Steps In Time (8-4-2-1), #5 Rebel Dane (6-3-0-0), #6 Tiger Tees (8-3-0-1), #9 Fontelina (9-3-1-0), #10 Famous Seamus (11-3-1-3), #12 Aeronautical (12-3-2-1), #13 See The World (11-3-2-2), #8 Shamexpress (10-2-2-2), #16 Zoustar (3-2-0-0), #17 Sweet Idea (6-2-3-1), #3 Lankan Rupee (5-2-0-1), #20e Flamberge (8-3-1-1) and #21e Peron (3-2-1-0)
#17 Sweet Idea is undefeated at Randwick and is trained by the TJ Smith Stakes’ most successful trainer Gai Waterhouse Bet now with Ladbrokes.com.au
At the track horses with the best Randwick record are: #10 Famous Seamus (6-2-0-2), #17 Sweet Idea (2-2-0-0), #12 Aeronautical (7-2-1-0), #1 Buffering (3-1-1-0), #11 Sessions (3-1-1-0), #13 See The World (4-1-1-1), #6 Tiger Tees (4-1-0-0), #15 Steps In Time (1-1-0-0), #16 Zoustar (2-1-0-0) and #18 Villa Verde (2-1-0-0)
Winners of the Track and Distance are then: #1 Buffering (2-1-1-0), #6 Tiger Tees (2-1-0-0), #12 Aeronautical (4-2-0-0), #13 See The World (3-1-1-1), #16 Zoustar (1-1-0-0) and #17 Sweet Idea (1-1-0-0)
In the wet horses with the best Heavy track record are: #1 Buffering (4-2-1-0), #2 Gordon Lord Byron (3-2-1-0), #6 Tiger Tees (2-1-1-0), #10 Famous Seamus (1-1-0-0), #13 See The World (3-1-0-0), #17 Sweet Idea (1-1-0-0) and #20e Flamberge (2-2-0-0)


Read more: www.races.com.au/2014/04/11/2014-tj-smit...lysis/#ixzz2ye73Q1un
Races.com.au, home of the best horse racing bonus offers

Darley T J Smith Stakes ($2,500,000) - 07:50 (Race 7) - BETTING

3 LANKAN RUPEE 2/1

2 GORDON LORD BYRON 11/2

1 BUFFERING 13/2

5 REBEL DANE 8/1

6 TIGER TEES 12/1

17 SWEET IDEA 14/1

18 VILLA VERDE 14/1

14 SNITZERLAND 16/1

8 SHAMEXPRESS 20/1

11 SESSIONS 25/1

15 STEPS IN TIME 25/1

7 BEL SPRINTER 40/1

10 FAMOUS SEAMUS 40/1

12 AERONAUTICAL 66/1

13 SEE THE WORLD 66/1

SCRATCHED
20 FLAMBERGE (0%)
9 FONTELINA (0%)
19 IRISH FLING (0%)
21 PERON (0%)
4 SPIRIT OF BOOM (0%)
16 ZOUSTAR (0%)

Morning all
Where can i stream the races?

Not sure Johnny,but i have managed to watch Aus racing on a bookies site before