Vaal Thursday

Discuss below

All to come:

R1 Mohallela
R2 Flexible Fugitive
R3 Tundra Taita
R4 Llundudno
R5 Matthew Lips

16/1

R1 Mohallela, lots of money for Stanley Ferreiras first timer, has had a few decent sprinters but for me will really have to be pretty decent to beat the fav with a run under her belt. Thus M is the horse for me got some evens yesterday so hoping she finishes off.

R2 Wellspring is my tentative first selection. Tentative because Clinton binda hasn't had a winner in 101 runners. Of e/w interest is the Ferraris first timer who's decently bred. FF for me at that price from that draw I'll be taking on and prepared to look like a fool.

R3 Tundra Taita a worthy favorite for me and the exacta horse being Alec Laird's Summer sun, stable had a nice double on Tuesday and I think this horse is the only danger to the top selection.

R4 Another race where I'm not convinced by the favorite and thus will be siding with American Indian who seems to be coming along the right way, but at the prices not really worth a bet. Place money potentially on Kremlin King, being by judpot il draw a line through his debut run and maybe wasn't suited to the inside track lto so maybe a few places.

R5 Matthew lips looks the right one, but again no value at the price. Will be including Spanish tune as I don't think ML is as good a thing as a 6/10 shot.

R6 Start of the tricky races where it would be best to include as many as you can afford. At value I think 10's is too big a price on Kanonkop. Field for the exotics as can make a case for many including those at the bottom of the boards.

R7 Scott Kenny has a very strong hand in the race. My preference is for the bigger priced though Tokyo drift. Also liked Querari Vikings last run behind Maximizer. QV has dropped 11 points in the ratings since the start of the year (rightly so) but gets a plum draw and Marco keeps the ride so at around 6's may be the value.

R8 I feel Lucky lulu may be a false favorite. I think the last run flatters who form a little as the draw on that day played a huge role. Not saying it was a bad run, but the ones on the inside had no chance. I was on her stable companion Teenage dream in that same race who went down the inside and had no chance. So I'm gonna take a chance and brass her. Most of the fancied runners are drawn on the wrong side so that gets me to beautiful Shay and Beckoning. Got some 10's and dutched both of them. Preference for beautiful Shay who has been running decently of late or should I say better then her form represents and for me she is the e/w value.


Tricky card where I feel you need to bank where you can as you will need a few towards the back end.

My pa
1,8,10
8
1,2
5,7,8
3,4,6
2,5
R72

Tero wrote: All to come:

R1 Mohallela
R2 Flexible Fugitive
R3 Tundra Taita
R4 Llundudno
R5 Matthew Lips

16/1

Be careful of Llundudno....Delpech is alive on American Indian

Two real stalwarts running today. Henry Higgins and Vulcan must be such a pleasure to own. Both pushing 9 now and give their best every run. I am sure both will give their best once again today. I am going to be playing WW WP PW PP doubles on these two.

First 5 races to me look tougher than the betting suggests with first times, lightly raced horses and horses doing the trip for the first time. I would be very cautious on these races. Now that I have said that I recon all 5 will probably win.

Play well.

Race 1 –
8 MOHALLELA (AUS)
5 FLYING FABLE
1 ALRAUNE
13 SERENDIPITY

RACE 2 –
10 FLEXIBLE FUGITIVE (AUS)
8 BLACK DEVON
3 JUST AN AFFAIR
2 AHORSE WITH NONAME

Race 3 –
2 COOL DREAM
8 TUNDRA TAITA
1 AZKUR
6 SUMMER SUN

Race 4 –
1 AMERICAN INDIAN
6 LLANDUDNO
3 ESCAMILLO
4 GREEN BRIGADE

Race 5 –
1 MATTHEW LIPS
2 SPANISH TUNE
11 GONNAFLY
4 VICTOR YOUNG

Race 6 –
10 ARABIAN WORLD
3 PENTELIKO
1 AMSTERDAM
7 SCOTLAND

Race 7 –
5 TRADING PROFIT
6 QUERARI VIKING
7 BLAZING WINTER
9 CRAZY VISION

Race 8 –
5 BEAUTIFUL SHAY
12 SNOW PATH
14 COUNTESS JEMINA
1 LUCKY LULU

Is this a strike or beware card? Plenty of shorties

Has anyone heard of the first timer that d mansour is riding in race 1
Being backed a bit too much

Bob Brogan wrote: Is this a strike or beware card? Plenty of shorties

Think it is a watch card and keep the money for Saturday

DOUBLE (EACH/WAY)

TRADING PROFIT (WIN)
BECKONING (WIN)

65/1

TRADING PROFIT (PLACE)
BECKONING (PLACE)

4/1 :evil: :whistle: :kiss: