Turffontein inside Saturday 9/9

Upon first inspection card looked fairly straight forward, but after studying looks a lot trickier then I initially thought.

Will be playing around the following:

R1 Brightnumberten place
R2 Tie Dye Place
R4 Silken Place
R7 Initially liked spring indeed but upon further inspection, monarch air e/w.

In the last two runners that are overpriced for me are Resolute Captain and Space tornado, preference for the former and at 7/2 a drum I think may be worth a good bet.

Play well.

Back for another ago after a bit of a 'mare on Thursday; smallish fields in general and a few races where the favorites seem hard to beat - I think divs are not going to be near those that we saw on Thursday - thoughts:

R1: Hampton Court very short imo - don't think there will be much between him and Brightnumberten, so the bright one is the value; Sailor Man should be held by him as well courtesy of a widish draw, but I agree that SM is place value at these odds; betting support again for Savitar, but many of the others are putting their hands up for the 3rd and 4th places

R2: On form I think Ossetra will be very hard to beat and could start much shorter; Ice Art faded much too tamely for my liking last time, so the one to make O run could be Microbe, who comes out of some strong formlines - has drawn wide though, so I think O is home and hosed

R3: As in the 2nd, I think on form Vaquero stands out and will prove hard to beat if there are no issues like AHS injections - if he does need the run, I think it becomes competitive, not a lot between Llandudno (may improve with blinkers) and So Long Spring, while Innovation has the plum draw and could improve over the extra ground; stable mate Master Sword made a smart debut, but may need another run around the turn; others like Escamillo, Michael and Harrington Port look moderate but could sneak a minor place

R4: Dalley the right one - last run too bad to be true, but on previous form should be back to winning ways - probably not at best at this track, so Bandola could make her run; roughie imo is AP's Lily who is best in and could upset this distance which she tries for the first time

R5: Handicap with no obvious standout - should lie between the top 4 in the betting, with Bankable Teddy probably capable of upset.

R6: Pinnacle Stakes for the females - not cut and dried imo; will depend if Myfunnyvalnetine gets the 1450 and the readiness of the classy looking Smokey Affair; Shatoosh actually looks better over 1600, so I'm guessing that Striker will be setting a sedate gallop and hold on from the other two; Sylvan on Fire looks held at the weights but is lightly raced, so could still be improving and make the other 3 run

R7: I fancied Hatfield Square last time, but she got just too far back and I think today she will be a bit handier and run down Beautiful Shay; imo Spring Indeed has something to find at this track, still can't be ignored along with Sammi Moosa is better than her last run, but like SI this is probably not her best track

R8: A trappy contest imo, none of these have ever won at this track, and some are badly off form; it probably lies between At a Glance, Curbstone Shuffle, Silver Duchess, Cinnamon Slew and Shine Bright

R9: Not an easy close; my first choice is Duzi Moon, who has the draw and has won twice this track and trip; I fancied Dawnbreaker last time, but he returned not striding out - gets another 2 point drop and blinkers fitted over a trip which would arguably suit him better; not to be ignored imo; Shotgun Rider gets Striker and pole position, so obvious inclusion as well; Nephrite always thereabouts, may be better down the straight, but another with a chance with Lake Kinneret (could still improve) and West Coast Warrior (bad draw)

Enjoy

Also going for this EW treble
Ossetra 11/10
Spring Indeed 19/10
West Coast Warrior 8/1

With some wins on west coast warrior, i think 8/1 is a great price, and i really cant see spring indeed and ossetra be beaten?

good luck to all

Race 1: There really isn't anything to seperate BRIGTNUMBERTEN and HAMPTON COURT in this weak maiden event - runs behind Marmook and Quinlan put them both on par .SAILOR MAN will test them since they need at least 7 or 8 lengths on what they have shown to beat him. HAMPTON COURT might have the most scope for improvement. Sardius and Savitar worth some attention. Son Of A Legend should be suited to further - but could pull off a surprise in such a weak field.(The risk/vs return on these favourites do not warrant a bet - EW or places on Sailor Man might give some return , depending on payouts)

Race 2: ICE ART is obviously frustrating her connections, and must be better than she's showing. Ossetra an obvious contender, if showing further improvement for the 4th run in a row. Microbe must be respected on run behind Rockin Russian - which is a horse currently sitting at 79 ranking on my national ratings for 2016 Season, Microbe kept on well behind this one and should be suited to the longer trip. 2 Subsequent Winners emerged from that race as well. Horse was quietly fancied on debut in from 25/1 - 14/1, should be better for the break. I will be watching Microbe's run with interest. Tie Dye could also surprise. (Once again risk vs return does not warrant playing these horses - at 6/1 Microbe may have presented some value if you can still get that)

Race 3: On form LLANDUDNO should be able to crack his maiden win. Some optimism is evident aroound VACQUERO, INNOVATION and MASTER SWORD

Race 4: Dalley has strong credentials at this trip but I prefer Silken in this one, BANDOLA has to be respected from a stable with excellent staying benchmarks.

Race 5: Amsterdam and Bankable Teddy have much the same profile here and are both rested, may be in need of that little extra - on that match I would give Bankable Teddy the edge. Dawn Assault and Wild Horizon would be looking to exploit that potential and I cannot really seperate the two of them. 1800m may be right at the bottom of WILD HORIZON'S range.

Race 6: Looks to be between Lady Starlett and Smoky Affair, With MyFunnyvalentine not out of it. Lady Starlett and Myfunnyvalentine look evenly matched, depending on which one stays the extra better - but Smokey Affair having beaten Red Light Girl at the sprints and then running 2 lengths back to Ektifaa cannot go unnoticed.

Race 7: Nothing seperating Hatfield Square and Spring Indeed. Perhaps Braxton could show the necessary improvement. Sammi Moosa can complete the quartet.

Race 8: very close between AT A GLANCE, SHINE BRIGHT, NAVETTE BEAUTIFUL EMMILEE, AND RUSSIAN FRIEND -With SHINE BRIGHT just edging them, so weak CURBSTONE SHUFFLE should be able to show some natural improvement here. Like Vaquero Beautiful Emmilee is the only runner for her stable today -worth watching at value.

Race 9: The last race on the card is a little bit of a brain teazer. I have about four contenders and all difficult to really assess. DUZI MOON, LAKE KINNERET, MAMBO SYMPHONY and SPANISH TUNE...with others that recommend as well. DUZI MOON looks the better on what's exposed - but SPANISH TUNE or LAKE KINNERET could come with improvement. Ultimately i will go with the Full Mast line - a horse I have ranked in position 175 Nationally and which was beaten by MAMBO SYMPHONY in the last start. So I will count on that one following up.


Race 1: (1) SAILOR MAN (2) HAMILTON COURT (3) BRIGHTNUMBERTEN
Race 2: (1) MICROBE (2) ICE ART (3) OSSETRA
Race 3: (1) LLANDUDNO (2) VAQUERO (3) INNOVATION
Race 4: (1) SILKEN (2) BANDOLA (3) DALLEY
Race 5: (1) WILD HORIZON (2) DAWN ASSAULT (3) BANKABLE TEDDY
Race 6: (1) SMOKY AFFAIR (2) LADY STARLETT (3) MY FUNNY VALENTINE
Race 7: (1) BRAXTON (2) SPRING INDEED (3) HATFIELD SQUARE. (4) SAMMI MOOSA
Race 8: (1)SHINE BRIGHT (2) CURBSTONE SHUFFLE (3) BEAUTIFUL EMMILEE
Race 9: (1) MAMBO SYMPHONY (2) DUZI MOOON (3) SPANISH TUNE

Small places bet on Purdey

Quick double for Lerena

That was a very good race -- ICE ART finally coming good -- and really showing some spirit.

Adams wrote: That was a very good race -- ICE ART finally coming good -- and really showing some spirit.

A lot down to jockeyship there.Lerena is top class.

If Vacquero is fit and well, he should go close here. Ran in a good race LTO.

Innovation the value

Great ride from Muzi to get him home !

MasterOfMyFate wrote: Great ride from Muzi to get him home !

Objection!!